softwaredoug
5 months ago
If there’s anything that this horrific event has taught me it’s to step away from social media political rabbit holes. These places amplify and feed upon themselves, and can lead you to a dark place where you’d glorify this kind of death.
After all this is exactly how to shooter himself ended up thinking he had to assassinate Kirk.
boothby
5 months ago
> If there’s anything that this horrific event has taught me it’s to step away from social media political rabbit holes.
This presents a conundrum to somebody wanting to stay abreast of current events. The president of the US is always-online to the point that not posting to twitter for a few hours sparks rumors that he's died. And if you look back a few decades in American history, assassination of politicians and activists happened long before the advent of social media.
tim333
5 months ago
You can skim it without going down the rabbit hole.
LightBug1
5 months ago
Like a bead of water circling a drain ...
throw0101a
5 months ago
> The president of the US is always-online to the point that not posting to twitter for a few hours sparks rumors that he's died.
Trump was not publicly seen for four days.
Hard to believe that there were zero opportunities for some kind of public interaction, even with cabinet members or civil service / WH staff folks. POTUS just 'disappearing' for several days is a bit odd.
It didn't help that they tried to provide 'proof of life' by posting golfing photos… that were taken a week before.
AlecSchueler
5 months ago
The video released in response to the shooting was also entirely AI generated.
fawkesalbus
5 months ago
[dead]
softwaredoug
5 months ago
I think its interesting he basically does no rallies these days. In the first admin he was always doing rallies. Have we seen the end of Trump rallies?
disgruntledphd2
5 months ago
He doesn't care about re-election anymore, hence no rallies.
softwaredoug
5 months ago
I’m not sure there’s much use to “staying abreast of current events” for most people. Media (social/traditional) focuses on amping up your anxiety and putting your side against there’s. Rather than a balanced view of the details. Alarmist headlines and hand wringing tweets are engineered to anger and outrage you. It’s very hard to keep up with news while keeping your rational brain engaged.
If something truly momentous happens about it, you’ll hear about it.
If something happens that impacts you, you’ll find out when it happens and then you’ll get informed if there’s anything you can do about it.
boothby
5 months ago
> If something truly momentous happens about it, you’ll hear about it.
From who? And where are they getting their information?
It bears mentioning that you're presently participating in a political conversation on social media.
AlecSchueler
5 months ago
> If something happens that impacts you, you’ll find out when it happens
Sure but I live in a few and democratic country and like to think I also have some hand in shaping the direction of society. That's gone if I live a purely reactive life.
notmyjob
5 months ago
Discord again?
Seems like all of these shooters get a lot of encouragement and support on discord.
qcnguy
5 months ago
Have never been able to believe they called a communications app Discord. It didn't hurt them but that seems like a very negative word to use as your brand.
forinti
5 months ago
Howard Stern noted once how people who disliked him spent more time listening to him than those who liked him.
Kirk seemed to have invested heavily in aggravating people in order to make an audience. It seemed so obvious to me that I don't understand why those who disliked him would waste their time trying to debate him.
lostlogin
5 months ago
His rallies didn’t seem to be full of people who didn’t like him.
forinti
5 months ago
Of course. There's a ton of people who want to see their beliefs validated and he offered them this through this false debating.
The people who tried to change his mind were blind to the trap he set up. No logic would ever change his message.
Of course, he shouldn't have died because of this, but that's another issue.
somenameforme
5 months ago
The point of debate is not to change the other person's mind. That's very rarely going to happen, and even less commonly immediately. The point of debate is to provide context and information that somebody may not have been aware of. The reason for this is that the views we decide to adopt are not entirely conscious. They're driven by a large number of issues that coalesce on a subconscious level, but that takes time to change.
For instance people trend more conservative as they age, but there's no real simple point where you wake up one day and like 'ok, I now officially love guns, babies, and 'Merica.' It's a very gradual process that's driven by things like life experience and the accumulation of knowledge, all processed on a subconscious level. As you age you'll find that you often will think the 'you' of 10 years ago was a naive idiot, and this never really seems to stop. Yet if the 'you' of 10 years from now talked to you today, it's unlikely he could change your mind on a single thing, even though he is literally you.
When people are young we naturally have this confidence that the views we hold must be true and just, because we are absolutely certain that they are. And so we if we just had the time and attention, we could convince anybody of their correctness, so long as they remained logical. But over time, one learns that people who may believe the exact opposite of you think the exact same thing, and it's not necessarily the case that one side must be wrong. People, no less intelligent than one another, can see the same evidence and simply come to different conclusions.
aklemm
5 months ago
Well then his death proved Stern wrong. Soooo many people in my feeds out of seemingly nowhere talking about much they liked his videos, and that aligns with reports of how much money he made at it.
user
5 months ago
aklemm
5 months ago
The same can lead one to making a martyr out of a despicable voice.
fallinghawks
5 months ago
[flagged]
zahlman
5 months ago
> I got flagged here on HN for stating (right as the news was breaking) that the shooter could just as likely be right wing as left
I don't think you should have been flagged for such an observation in general, but assigning a prior of equal probability strikes me as frankly absurd. It would be much harder for someone on the same ideological "side" to have a motivation to murder. False flags really aren't that common, in general. This is the same kind of conspiratorial thinking behind Alex Jones' "crisis actors".
Also, your comment was off-topic to the sub-thread. People were discussing whether Kirk would be seen as a martyr. The ideology of the shooter has quite little to do with that.
> (I'll probably get downvoted again for this lol)
Commentary like this is inherently obnoxious, and tends towards self-fulfilling prophecy.
yepitwas
5 months ago
> It would be much harder for someone on the same ideological "side" to have a motivation to murder.
Is the likelihood lower or higher if it already happened (at least) once last year?
Is it lower or higher if you’re aware of the hostile dynamics between TPU and at least one popular very much violence-encouraging even-farther-right influencer? Nb this group has opposed Trump for being too timidly white supremacist. Would that shift your guess at the odds?
Safe bet if you’ve been paying attention to this stuff for a few decades was about equal odds right or left winger, and maybe somewhat higher right, if the target’s a right winger (almost certainly the attacker is, if relevantly affiliated, right-affiliated if the target’s a Democrat or otherwise left) or else (in either case of political affiliation of the target) there’s fair odds of apolitical notoriety-seeking or straight up lunacy without a strong political motivation.
[edit] nb I’m not saying 100% that the guy won’t turn out to be coming from the left, but I think if you’re playing the odds on something like this and go “must be a leftist” you’ve misread the situation in this country.
tim333
5 months ago
It doesn't sound conspiratorial to me. It seems a lot of shooters are right wing, I guess because they like guns and the right tends to be more pro gun.
Also "just as likely be" <> "equal probability".
zahlman
5 months ago
> It doesn't sound conspiratorial to me.
The conspiratorial thinking is jumping to an assumption of a high probability of a "false flag". In reality, the base rate of such attacks is low.
> It seems a lot of shooters are right wing
Many right-wingers would dispute the methodology behind these statistics, but that's beside the point. This information, however, is more or less rendered irrelevant by the circumstantial evidence that this was a political assassination, combined with the fact that the victim was right-wing.
> Also "just as likely be" <> "equal probability".
It quite literally means the same thing. If I flip a coin, the result is (ignoring all the standard gotchas) just as likely to be heads as tails. If I flip a coin, the probability of a heads result (ignoring all the standard gotchas) is equal to the probability of a tails result. The information content of the previous two sentences is the same.
tim333
5 months ago
I use just as likely in the manner of it's just as likely to be sunny tomorrow as not, ie. of approximately similar likelihood, not exactly 50/50.
throw0101a
5 months ago
[flagged]
notmyjob
5 months ago
You’re being disingenuous of course but the reality is that politically motivated killers kill people they don’t agree with.
NoGravitas
5 months ago
You may be underestimating how much the Nick Fuentes aligned segment of the far-right hates the Charlie Kirk aligned segment of the far right. The recent split over the Epstein files coverup has exacerbated this.
notmyjob
5 months ago
The sine qua non of “groyperism” as it’s come to be known is total ineffectuality if not self defeatism as a political stance. How many groyper shootings have we had now? Fuentes is permitted to do his thing, unlike others who have been taken down (thank goodness!) for what seem to me to be very clear reasons.
danaris
5 months ago
But politically-motivated assassinations in the US are very rare, and almost exclusively lone actors (not part of a movement).
The assassination attempts (whether successful or failed) on prominent political figures in this country have almost all been carried out by people with personal reasons to want to kill them, not politically motivated killers killing people they don't agree with.
yepitwas
5 months ago
Two right-wingers can disagree with one another to pretty extreme degrees.
This is like thinking Christian-on-Christian violence over religion is implausible and claiming someone suggesting it’s in-fact plausible is being “disingenuous”—surely it can only be someone from a different faith entirely.
user
5 months ago
throw0101a
5 months ago
In what way do you think I'm being disingenuous?
notmyjob
5 months ago
[flagged]
throw0101a
5 months ago
> I suspect you are not actually an idiot in reality.
Opinions vary.
LocalH
5 months ago
[flagged]
mkfs
5 months ago
The NYPost reported his roommate was a MtF trans person, and that the two were in a relationship: https://nypost.com/2025/09/13/us-news/charlie-kirk-shooter-t...
NoGravitas
5 months ago
[flagged]
bitlax
5 months ago
What outlets do you trust?
mkfs
5 months ago
Yeah, it's one of the oldest newspapers in the US (founded by Hamilton in 1801). What's your point?
yepitwas
5 months ago
[flagged]
bitlax
5 months ago
[flagged]
yepitwas
5 months ago
[flagged]
bitlax
5 months ago
[flagged]
yepitwas
5 months ago
I would (no joke) appreciate any pointer the actual evidence for this. I’ve seen only extremely vague hearsay and a screencap of using a filter to look like a video-gameish woman so far.
[edit] I’m not setting a trap, I actually would like to see it if there’s more than that, I’m not prepping to pounce on anyone who tries to help me out here.
bitlax
5 months ago
If you're sincere, how would you comprehensively describe the background of the shooter and his modus operandi? What sources have you used to gather this information to this point?
yepitwas
5 months ago
Which answers do I need to give for you to help me out here? Are you going to? I'm not looking for an argument.
bitlax
5 months ago
Here's the thing: you're posting from an eight-day-old account. Maybe you're an alt of someone I've already been speaking with. Maybe you're a cocksure but confused college student. I have no idea. But you've made an appeal and I'm not cynical. You're asking me to do your work for free, and not doing so is my prerogative, as is your ability to say what you want about me. I think if you write for a bit about this situation I'll be able to see where it's going, and if I still think you're sincere we can go from there.
yepitwas
5 months ago
I've tried to figure out what the evidence is for this and come up with extremely little. I've tried, and can't find it. A lot of people seem really confident in it. I want to read what they're reading, and I cannot find it.
[EDIT] FWIW I've yet to see anything that makes me confident enough to assign any strong and specific guess about the guy's motivations. I'm confident in "he was very online" and "he played Helldivers a lot, or at least spent a lot of time communicating with people who do" and that's about all I'd feel comfortable confidently asserting if someone asked me for the "TL;DR" on where we're at on that.
bitlax
5 months ago
Ok, interesting. I'd take a look at the Nexis Essential with Nexis+ AI plan.
mvdtnz
5 months ago
I don't believe there's any strong evidence of this as yet.
LocalH
5 months ago
The totality of the engravings on the bullet casings is the evidence.
The only "evidence" that has connected Robinson to the left is a now-deleted Guardian article that has been parroted as evidence long after it was retracted.
mvdtnz
5 months ago
Can you walk me through how the engravings lead you to conclude he's a "groyper"? I don't follow.
unparagoned
5 months ago
Weren’t pretty much all the engravings game related?
Was there like a song in a playlist that had like 50 followers the only link?
immibis
5 months ago
[flagged]
LocalH
5 months ago
And the right calls everything it doesn't like "Communist".
Still, have you looked into what a groyper really is?
bitlax
5 months ago
[flagged]
vitanuova
5 months ago
[flagged]
cindyllm
5 months ago
[dead]
estimator7292
5 months ago
[flagged]
criddell
5 months ago
> the only options left
There are lots of options left. The big one would be to vote and to help others vote. In 2024, only 42% of young people cast a ballot.
OutOfHere
5 months ago
What is the point of voting when gerrymandering decides the outcome? We don't have a functional voting system by any stretch of the imagination. If we did, gerrymandering wouldn't be a thing, and we'd be using ranked-choice or range-voting. So many of the right-wing states have banned these superior voting methods because they're so afraid the ones in power will lose immediately. Granted, it's true that Trump won the popular vote in 2024, but note that voting rights have unfairly been denied to many citizens, especially in right-wing states, so was it really an honest win?
somenameforme
5 months ago
Gerrymandering has no effect on votes for president or senate, and ranked choice/range voting has no impact on gerrymandering. To eliminate gerrymandering you'd need to have an at-large/seat based voting system instead of district based. In other words - instead of voting for a representative, you'd vote for a party - and the party would then fill the seats they won at their discretion. Another option is multi-member districts which is a 'softer' version of the same idea.
user
5 months ago
frugalmail
5 months ago
what "peaceful means of protest" has the government shut down exactly?
lostlogin
5 months ago
Cutting university funding if they don’t block protests. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cqly0zrnnv3o
jeremyjh
5 months ago
The ones at many Ivy League schools.
platevoltage
5 months ago
Literally every Israel protest.
reliabilityguy
5 months ago
> Literally every Israel protest.
I just googled and found at least three pro Palestine protests today. One is in NYC.
So... seems like nothing was banned, and this is why you were downvoted.
platevoltage
5 months ago
So was your issue with hyperbolic use of the word "literally", or are you rejecting the premise all together, because you would have to try really hard to deny that there has been an unrelenting crackdown on pro-Palestinian protests on college campuses in the name of "anti-semitism"?
reliabilityguy
5 months ago
I did not downvote you. I think people who did disagree with your claim that literally every Israel protest is banned. BTW, it is hard to understand what does "Israel protest" even means. Does it mean it is a pro Israel protest? Pro Palestinian?
I think formulating your claims better could have avoided the downvotes, and allowed others to understand what you mean exactly.
twixfel
5 months ago
I think it's quite clear what he means tbh, unless you don't follow American politics.
platevoltage
5 months ago
Whoever just downvoted this, how about using your words instead.
notmyjob
5 months ago
How many of these people were in lockdowns during their formative years? I don’t think it’s _all_ social media.