a month ago
For those getting excited about regime change:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_protests
Not to be insensitive to the Iranian people, but it's like France in a lot of ways, they riot/protest so much that the information content of any given riot/protest movement is minimal.
a month ago
Most protests don't lead to regime change.
a month ago
Until they do.
a month ago
_nepal has entered the chat_
a month ago
WSJ wont open for me, but was able to find it via MSN: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/iran-protests-enter-thi...
not sure where to pull that doesn't have tracking, not seeing it on archive yet.
a month ago
It will probably be crushed like all the other protests, unfortunately. But iran is in a worse state then it's ever been. The catalyst for this round is a currency collapse and a looming water crisis. Sadly, the Revolutionary corps seem well funded from oil money.
At the moment Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china (something which Israel and the US should be much more proactive about IMO) in preparation for the next round of hostilities in which they will no doubt be humiliated again. They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time and retain what's left of their shattered ambitions and ego.
Still we can always hope for a regime collapse. From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing.
a month ago
> Iran is rebuilding it's rocket stockpile with help from china
Has this been confirmed?
> From a foreign policy point of view they are weaker then ever. Security wise i don't know how they are doing
Iran's borders encompass a bit of a shitshow. Its dominant ethnicity is less than three fifths the population [1]. Its next three-largest ethnicities, Azeris (14%), Kurds (9%) and Gilaki (5%) meanwhile, have bordering extant or aspiring nation-states.
(To the extent there is a hilarious if bastardly alliance in the region, it would be between Israel and Azerbaijan. Israel provides firepower. Azerbaijan gains the Azeri (and maybe Gilaki) majority north of Iran, cutting off Armenia's southern border and giving it a land border with Turkey for more pipelines.)
a month ago
>helping the latter seize Iran's northern and Azeri/Gilaki-majority territories
Wont't ever happen because Aliev is the OG of multipolarity/mnogovektornost and this would prevent him from scamming all of his neighbors at the same time.
a month ago
https://www.cnn.com/2025/10/29/middleeast/iran-rebuilding-ba...
> European intelligence sources say several shipments of sodium perchlorate, the main precursor in the production of the solid propellant that powers Iran’s mid-range conventional missiles, have arrived from China to the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas
a month ago
>Its dominant ethnicity is less than three fifths the population
Is that being framed as a problem? The US is the same, and I expect a few others too?
a month ago
i hope only the best for the people of iran because they seem to be completely fantastic people and iran is an absolutely majestically beautiful place. and, selfishly, i would love to be able to visit one day. ugh, the whole situation is just so sad.
a month ago
Normally, yes - but now, after a humilating defeat - the regime is revealed to have squandered the riches. If you dont even have imperial glory to show for the billions spend- you are bankrupt, even in the eyes of fanatics.
a month ago
>They are probably hoping to hit more then 1 hospital and 3 residential blocks next time
Are they planning to bomb more buildings in Gaza?
a month ago
I don't know. It's possible that one of their hundreds of indiscriminately fired missiles might land there. Iirc the sole casualty of one of their major attacks was a gazan in the West Bank.
a month ago
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a month ago
They're all the "security threat" in the area. If you can call it that. There is no security, the entire area is one giant mess of insecurity!
a month ago
Yes.
Iran inflicted hezbolla on Lebanon, Assad on syria, persecutes their own ethnic minorities and has attacked saudi arabia, qatar and Israel. If they haven't outright stolen land that's only because they are 70 times the size of Israel.
All that off the top of my head.
a month ago
Is it your position that, since the Islamist government of Iran is the enemy of Israel, we can be certain it is good in both its foreign and domestic policies?
a month ago
a month ago
The timing of this seems rather suspect.