no_wizard
a day ago
For a company that is supposedly data driven like Amazon likes to tout, they have zero data that RTO would provide the benefits they claim[0]. They even admitted as much[1].
I wouldn't be shocked if one day some leaked memos or emails come to light that prove it was all about control and/or backdoor layoffs, despite their PR spin that it isn't (what competent company leader would openly admit this?)
[0]: https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2024/10/over-500-amazon-...
[1]: https://fortune.com/2023/09/05/amazon-andy-jassy-return-to-o...
tpurves
a day ago
They'll have plenty of data to support the primary motivation: that enforcing arbitrary RTO policies will absolutely aid in generating staff turnover and voluntary attrition without having to payout severance costs. The policy gives them less direct control over who they lose, but I'm sure the data also points to any critical replacement employees being willing to work for less on average. That's the data they are looking at.
heavyset_go
a day ago
Agree with this, but do want to let employees know that if this happens to them, that changes in working conditions can be considered constructive dismissal even if you quit.
hansvm
a day ago
Yeah, that only buys you unemployment though, not severance (which is typically much greater but comes with an NDA of some kind).
sparky_
a day ago
Man, nothing makes you appreciate EU labour protections like reading the HN comments.
hansvm
a day ago
I'm mostly with you in general. Especially for the amount we pay in taxes, we really ought to have better protections for vulnerable people.
For me in particular, if I were fired a year into every job and had to be unemployed for ten, counting all the health insurance bullshit and whatnot you have in this country when you're unemployed, I'd still be better off financially than in any EU tech job I've found. HN isn't exactly a representative sample of the sort of people who benefit from EU labour protections.
nradov
a day ago
Man, nothing makes me appreciate USA labor laws like reading the HN comments. I (unironically) love how it's easy to get a job here; since firing is easy, employers are more willing to take a chance on hiring someone. Plus it would suck as an employee to be forced to give your employer 4+ weeks of notice if you want to resign. Whereas in the USA with at-will employment we can quit tomorrow with zero notice and suffer no financial penalties.
DanielHB
20 hours ago
I have worked both in the EU and in Brazil and I do have to say that the Brazilian system is better. Labor protection is high (25 vacation days, guaranteed overtime pay, etc), but companies can still fire people. However doing so involves paying severance proportional to how long you been at the company.
When you leave a company you need to give one month notice (so you can't just get up and leave). I never seen a "layoff" (you get notice that you are leaving, but still have your job for a few months and usually no severance) like they do in the EU. When you are fired, you are out of there the same day with your severance and unemployment benefits.
This specific practice does have a few problems:
1) companies not firing about-to-retire employees who have been at the company for 10+ years because of the huge severance required. Instead they just wait for them to retire. However employees also really don't want to get fired in their last few years either before retirement because of how the pension system works, so it balances-out. 60+ year old people usually take it easy, but they are usually not just showing up for a paycheck.
2) Younger employees trying to get fired instead of quitting. If you been at a company for 3-4 years and you want to leave it is really a lot more beneficial to get fired instead. I have seen this happen, but not nearly as much as you would think (at least in IT).
Although you would think companies would want to "recycle" employees by firing them every year to prevent the severance from piling up. The math doesn't really work out like that on top of all possible disruptions of such high attrition rate.
Wytwwww
19 hours ago
> like they do in the EU
EU is certainly not a single country and states have sometimes wildly different rules and labor laws. That specific situation is impossible at least in some countries.
DanielHB
17 hours ago
I used quoted "layoff", in my experience when people are let go it happens during a reorganization mediated by an union where some positions are found to be unnecessary and people are given notice that their employment is being terminated but still work for a few months.
Since this is mediated by an union it only happens if there is a good reason (usually financial problems). I never seen it on an individual case basis it is always multiple people at the same time.
Wytwwww
12 hours ago
Yes but in some EU countries it's very unlikely that any union would be directly involved and the company would still be required to pay severance.
user
19 hours ago
ryall
a day ago
Must be nice to work under the eternal threat of being laid off on a whim.
unsnap_biceps
a day ago
They absolutely have the ability to make exceptions for the critical people that they don't want to leave. I am aware of a few L7s that have permanent exceptions for WFH beyond the new year because of them being very critical to specific projects.
regularfry
a day ago
I wouldn't be surprised if it's even more straightforward than that. They've got some very expensive office space that's extremely under-utilised, and they're probably at risk of the rent getting raised on a lot of it unless they can increase footfall.
ghaff
a day ago
If you have way-underutilized office space that you can sell or not renew leases on, you can shed it like a former employer was doing when I left. Otherwise, there's basically no value in how many or few people are filling the space unless they're actually delivering some business value to the entity paying for the lease. (Unless, maybe, it relates to promises made to some local jurisdiction that gave you tax breaks.)
DanielHB
20 hours ago
You underestimate the "it looks bad on my numbers" effect. For example, if you have real state that you can't get rid of, for the company it doesn't matter if the people use it or not if it doesn't affect productivity. But it sure does matter for some accounting department close to the CEO.
It is like that old adage that goes along the lines "Tell me the incentives and I will tell you the outcomes"
regularfry
a day ago
A lot might depend on how long a lease was signed, and what penalties there might be for breaking it.
ghaff
a day ago
Sure. Breaking leases have costs. But the cases I have some direct experience with are generally simply not renewing them.
galleywest200
a day ago
For what it is worth, Amazon has built (as opposed to just rent) very large buildings in Seattle, WA and Bellevue, WA. It could be a sunk-cost fallacy sort of deal going on here. They even built giant ~~testicles~~ glass spheres with plants in them.
dgfitz
a day ago
I don’t think I buy that answer. They’re on the hook for the money either way. Ego?
notyourwork
a day ago
They lease a lot of buildings too. Paul Allen owned a bunch of the area.
jacobr1
a day ago
subleasing is an option, though demand is down across the board
underlipton
a day ago
That's assuming no corruption involved, which would be weird, given the previously-mentioned circumstances. Who stands to lose if the building is sold at a loss or the lease isn't renewed? Are they connected to the executives pushing the RTO decision in any way? It need not even be a direct connection. Who's got CRE MBS in their portfolios? Whose friend does?
samtho
a day ago
Amazon also has mastered the art of getting cities to bend over backwards for them, offering tax breaks and land because Amazon wants to bring X number of jobs that pay over $100K/year to the city. Well, now these offices are vacant and the high paid workers are not even in the city like Amazon promised. The cities that helped Amazon foot the bill for their offices are not super happy and want either the results they promised or for Amazon to pay back what the city had invested.
heavyset_go
a day ago
The ownership class has stake in commercial and prime residential real estate. You don't have to look further than that.
grugagag
a day ago
I speculate this is part of it, and this is tied to a lot of key people who can enforce this type of move. Big companies also want to legitimize their business by having a presence. Without any presence virtually anyone start competing them, chipping at their business.
DanielHB
20 hours ago
Both your arguments seems a bit tinfoil-hat. Grandparent is implying that all the execs making the RTO decisions are personally invested in business real state (why would multiple execs own a bunch of downtown real state?). Although a point could be made for companies who own their real state wanting to prop its value up before liquidating (so a pump and dump) it still stretches believability.
You are implying most companies really think that much about long-term unquantifiable effects.
I can see a better argument being made about executive with big ego likes sitting at the top of his ivory tower (his top-level corner-office) looking over the masses below him.
heavyset_go
13 hours ago
> Grandparent is implying that all the execs making the RTO decisions are personally invested in business real state (why would multiple execs own a bunch of downtown real state?)
That is not what I am implying. The owner/investor class have portfolios that depend on commercial and prime real estate holding, and continuing to increase in, value. They might not personally own buildings themselves, but they own companies and financial instruments that do.
Maybe execs themselves are lucky enough to be that asset rich, maybe they aren't, but it's their jobs to call the shots based on the desires of their respective boards.
grugagag
16 hours ago
Im not implying most companies think long term, just the very large ones and their interests are tied to some commercial real eastate they don’t want to lose on. Im not sure I understand your tinfoil hat argument here, at least it doesn’t make sense to me in this context.
nateglims
a day ago
I think it's even more basic: they think it will be just like it used to be before 2020.
neilv
a day ago
> they're probably at risk of the rent getting raised on a lot of it unless they can increase footfall.
Raised, because the property owner has other investments that are affected by the presence of people, such as nearby restaurants and stores?
Or is a valuation of the office property itself affected by how many people are physically in the building or area?
umeshunni
a day ago
That makes very little economic sense.
schmidtleonard
a day ago
It makes sense if a counterparty extended Amazon a benefit in exchange for driving foot traffic and now the benefit is at risk because they are not driving the foot traffic.
umeshunni
10 hours ago
How would that even make sense at Amazon's scale? A company that makes $500B in revenue is somehow beholden to some random commercial real estate company that owns a few billion in commercial real estate.
Dr_Birdbrain
a day ago
I’m not familiar with this—why would the rent be related to the amount of footfall?
refulgentis
a day ago
I don't understand, like, I can see each handwave -
1. They're paying a lot in rent.
2. if they don't have workers in the office, then, adjacent spaces for ex. food service is less valuable.
3. If adjacent space is less valuable, the landlord is motivated to raise Amazon's rent to compensate
4. Therefore, they're making people go back to work to avoid rent increases
4 years on, and it seems a little bit odd it took that long for it to play it. But it seems (much) cheaper and sensible to find somewhere else to rent than give in to a threatening landlord who sees you as responsible for any shortfalls in adjacent revenue, instead of the anchor tenent you are.
hn72774
a day ago
Amazon owns most of its downtown Seattle real estate.
Low occupancy means balance sheet write downs, and higher cost of capital.
reaperducer
a day ago
If adjacent space is less valuable, the landlord is motivated to raise Amazon's rent to compensate
Real estate is very much driven by supply and demand. Moreso than many other industries. If the adjacent space is less valuable, it gives Amazon leverage to lower its rent.
therockspush
a day ago
You're right about Amazons leverage.
In Santa Clara county we have our local behemoths trying to get their property valuations dropped. https://www.bizjournals.com/sanjose/news/2024/11/08/tech-goo...
The way commercial real estate lending is tied to lease rates usually means its almost impossible for them to go down unless you operate at these scales.
Most commercial landlords around me would rather have prime main street spots stay empty than refinance because of lower lease rates.
user
a day ago
nradov
a day ago
Huh? I've never seen a commercial office space lease that had rent increase terms based on "footfall". You're not making any sense.
tomcam
a day ago
With respect, I'd like to suggest that they don't need to prove their preference to you. And I am genuinely trying to discuss a policy, not to be argumentative. I am also not assuming it's any better than remote. Maybe it is, I have no clue.
If I ran a company, and I have, I would want the ability to require that people work at the office. (I didn't always require it; in fact, my last company was 100% remote for 21 years.) I wouldn't feel like I had to defend that policy to anyone.
Put another way: why would Amazon need data for this? What's wrong with simply telling people they have to come in? If you don't want to come in, why not just find a remote job?
BriggyDwiggs42
a day ago
They’re legally allowed to do this already. We’re questioning why they’re doing it because it could still be an action driven by bad motivations, which would inform us more as to the nature of amazon and its leadership.
8note
a day ago
The culture of Amazon is to demand data and anecdotes for every decision, and how that will make customers better off.
> If you don't want to come in, why not just find a remote job?
This is why it's described as a layoff, and they should just announce that it's a layoff and do their paperwork.
makeitdouble
a day ago
You are discussing a different point IMHO. The parent is focusing on the PR aspect of it.
Amazon gave ample justifications for their moves, even if they had no obligation to explain anything, as you point out. Given they put their reasoning on the table, it's fair game to question it and call bullshit.
> What's wrong with simply telling people they have to come in?
On this very specific point, and irrelevant to the thread, I see a company of the size of Amazon as having more social obligation than a startup selling rainbow headphones for instance. I don't know if their shareholders see it that way, and it is totally legal for Amazon to not give a shit. But that's what I'd see as "wrong", in a moral sense.
idiotsecant
a day ago
You don't have to defend it, but if your motivations are that you want to have some measure of control over the serfs you own, be prepared for people to also mock and scorn you for it.
That right to have an opinion cuts both ways, bud.
tomcam
a day ago
Do you feel that if you ran a business, you should be unable to control the (legally allowable) terms of employment, bud?
Wytwwww
18 hours ago
> you should be unable to control the (legally allowable) terms of employment
But it's not about that? You're implying that nobody should have any right to criticize or share their opinions about your decisions because you/the company have the legal right to make them.
tomcam
12 hours ago
> You're implying that nobody should have any right to criticize or share their opinions about your decisions because you/the company have the legal right to make them.
You hallucinated that, bud. I am implying no such thing. Life may get easier for you if you respond to what people actually say instead of what you imagine they say.
user
7 hours ago
user
7 hours ago
thayne
a day ago
As the entity responsible for the livelihood of your employees, do you think it is fair to change the terms of their employment, in a way that can have a serious impact on their life, just because you feel like it?
tomcam
12 hours ago
I like that question, and personally, I wouldn’t do it. But fair is pretty subjective here, especially when in my view a company has the right to make its own policies.
antisthenes
a day ago
> If I ran a company, and I have, I would want the ability to require that people work at the office. (I didn't always require it; in fact, my last company was 100% remote for 21 years.) I wouldn't feel like I had to defend that policy to anyone.
This is tangential at best. It all depends on the original understanding of when an employee came on board.
If you hired someone with the understanding that it's a remote position and there is nothing that requires to be present in the office (e.g. lab work or doctor/nurse), then if you want them to suddenly come in, you do need to defend it.
Not doing so makes you an ass.
tomcam
12 hours ago
> If you hired someone with the understanding that it's a remote position and there is nothing that requires to be present in the office (e.g. lab work or doctor/nurse), then if you want them to suddenly come in, you do need to defend it.
Thanks. I tend to agree with you. I just realized as I was reading your point that I am assuming most Amazon employees were hired with either no explicit remote policy or were working on site before the remote policy took place.
bestcoder69
a day ago
permitted to force RTO without any data != ought to force RTO without any data
tomcam
a day ago
Why though?
eutropia
a day ago
My favorite recently acquired pet theory about the amazon RTO is that it's driven by real estate occupancy rates in their incredibly expensive new hub offices, several of which also received massive government tax grants with strings attached(0):
> "Now consider that Amazon spent $4-5B to build its two headquarters buildings in Seattle in 2015/16. Almost certainly it will need to refinance those loans in the next couple of years.
> When that refinancing window opens, two things will determine Amazon’s real estate bill. Interest rates, and the value placed on the buildings. The latter will be driven almost entirely by occupancy rates.
> So the answer to “why does Amazon care about occupancy rates” is that by driving those rates up, it can maximize the valuation of its properties, decrease to loan-to-value ratio of its financing, and secure the best interest rate possible.
> The size of the prize is massive.
> One point of difference in the interest rate attached to a commercial loan across a 10-year term equates to $100M in interest payments. Given Amazon will need to refinance several billion in commercial real estate over the next few years, the stakes of increasing occupancy could have a billion dollar price tag. Way more than the cost of pissing off employees. Way more than hiring to replace those who quit."
changoplatanero
a day ago
How would you even gather data to support this? You can't a/b test company culture.
ouddv
a day ago
There were countless natural experiments available from teams that had differing levels of in-person attendance; as well as teams that either were or were not colocated, and teams that took steps (or didn't) to align their in-person appearances.
After all, there _were_ teams that never pivoted to WFH.
no_wizard
a day ago
Sure you can. Why can't you?
Its lack of imagination and inability for upper management leadership to even consider that the way they "always done things" may no longer be the best way, and they need to evolve with the times.
For instance, find a group of teams that work on a similar function, have some of the teams RTO, and have some WFH, and see if there is any tangible difference in the results and what they are.
Thats off the top of my head. Never mind that there are actually more scientific approaches that can be used than what I've suggested, and there are researchers that are clamoring to do this as well.
changoplatanero
a day ago
> For instance, find a group of teams that work on a similar function, have some of the teams RTO, and have some WFH, and see if there is any tangible difference in the results and what they are.
I'm not sure I buy this. In my mind the downsides to permanent working from home are these intangible things like team cohesion, speed of onboarding, effective cross functional collaboration, etc. Some of these issues wouldn't manifest themselves in a measurable way until more than a year later.
no_wizard
a day ago
Firstly, there are better more scientific ways than I what I proposed at thinking about it for maybe 30 seconds.
Secondly, you're saying this
>In my mind...
There's still no objective metric being cited?
>the downsides to permanent working from home are these intangible things like team cohesion, speed of onboarding, effective cross functional collaboration, etc.
But we can prove these things can work well remotely. If they didn't, remote only companies would have such a higher bar to clear and that would be proven already. Gitlab did great in their IPO, and they're 100% remote. Zapier has grown strong and steady, 100% remote, Deel has grown quickly since 2019, also 100% remote etc.
Clearly none of these businesses have issues collaborating.
>Some of these issues wouldn't manifest themselves in a measurable way until more than a year later.
So measure it as long as it takes. 1-2 years is a blip comparatively, and lots of companies already have internal data they could use to make this determination: look at employee performance and satisfaction rates before they worked from home and compare it to after they worked from home. Lots and lots of people worked at the same place before WFH became far more common, and after it became far more common. I imagine this is true at Amazon as anywhere else it would be.
What I find entirely humorous about this is its executives that want hybrid / RTO by a large margin, and comparatively few employees want hybrid / RTO and prefer working from home.
Do you think this would even be a conversation if it was the inverse?
dgfitz
a day ago
I don't understand why CEOs and executives who lurk on here don't just come out and say what the deal is. I can only assume because that doesn't happen, they would rather not say, which in turn actually says volumes.
no_wizard
a day ago
Forgive for not understanding, but what do you mean by 'because it doesn't happen'?
The studies don't happen or something else?
It would be nice for that group to chime in and actually engage in the conversation for once.
dgfitz
a day ago
> I don't understand why CEOs and executives who lurk on here don't just come out and say what the deal is. I can only assume because that doesn't happen...
Which part of that was unclear?
no_wizard
a day ago
Whats the "I can only assume because that doesn't happen..."
what are you assuming doesn't happen? I think I might be overly dense, but I still don't follow.
dgfitz
a day ago
Why don’t CEOs just come out and actually say why RTO is such a priority.
I thought that was clear. I suppose it was not. Thanks for your patience.
Edit: to be clear I don’t believe any of the messsging so far. “Collaboration, water-cooler talks” etc. that’s all bullshit.
user
a day ago
paulcole
a day ago
> I can only assume because that doesn't happen, they would rather not say, which in turn actually says volumes.
If a CEO posted on here, “Here’s data that shows RTO was better for us” would that change anyone’s mind here?
No, people who hate RTO would continue to hate it.
JumpCrisscross
a day ago
> people who hate RTO would continue to hate it
It's honestly mindblowing that we're having so much difficulty parsing multiple optima. RTO works. WFH works. Hybrid works. They don't each work for everyone or every company. But these are preferences, not hard and fast rules.
It's like people arguing over whether driving on the left or right side is better. It doesn't matter. As long as everyone in a system is in sync, it works.
paulcole
a day ago
> It's like people arguing over whether driving on the left or right side is better. It doesn't matter. As long as everyone in a system is in sync, it works.
I 100% agree with you and this is a great analogy.
The biggest problem of all is that the left-lane (remote) contingent will say, “I don’t care what lane you drive in as long as I get to drive in the left lane.”
JumpCrisscross
a day ago
> biggest problem of all is that the left-lane (remote) contingent will say, “I don’t care what lane you drive in as long as I get to drive in the left lane."
Which obviously doesn't work. But what also doesn't work is companies pretending they're WFH or hybrid friendly when they're really not.
paulcole
a day ago
No, my point was that people who like remote work like to believe that as long as they are working where they want to work (their homes) then everyone else is happy as well if they can work where they want to work.
They miss the point that Person A working in an office while Person B works at home is generally not what Person A wants. Person A generally wants to work with other people in the same physical space.
The pro-remote crowd does not mind upsetting others as long as they can continue to work from home.
AbstractH24
19 hours ago
That’s making a lot of assumptions about Person A
paulcole
17 hours ago
Do you think there are no Person As in the world?
And you think I’m not making assumptions about Person B?
no_wizard
17 hours ago
Why does anyone have to cater to Person A? Frankly if people can work where they want to work that’s fine, but you’re saying that because one person wants to be in office their entire team does too?
paulcole
16 hours ago
Believe it or not, that’s not at all what I’m saying.
Let’s say Person A wants to be in the office with other people also in that office. Then Person B wants to work in their home and doesn’t care where other people work.
If Person B gets their way (thru remote work) then Person A is dissatisfied. If Person A gets their way (thru companywide RTO) then Person B is dissatisfied.
My point is Why should anyone have to cater to either Person B or Person A?
Whichever choice a company makes, someone is going to be dissatisfied. There are no right or wrong choices here, just choices.
The employees have choices, too. They can get new jobs or they can deal with a situation they find dissatisfying in some way.
no_wizard
11 hours ago
This is more reasonable, and I agree with it.
I think people should be able to work where they are most productive, assuming the work can reasonably accommodate such things, and business process and culture should adapt / grow accordingly.
If a bunch of people really want to work in an office together, go ahead. Want to work from home? go ahead. Want to work hybrid? Have at it.
The problem is, business culture hates worker flexibility, but sure loves executive flexibility.
intended
a day ago
The evidence shows that WFH is more productive. There’s multiple papers on this topic at this point. Including one from the NBER as I recall. https://www.nber.org/papers/w30866
https://www.weforum.org/stories/2021/06/working-from-home-co...
paulcole
7 hours ago
The NBER study you linked seems to say that WFH saves workers 2 hours per week not that it increases their at-work productivity. It goes on to say that they claim to work more but it doesn’t say they actually get more done as a result.
intended
2 hours ago
> There will be a 5% productivity boost in the post-pandemic economy due to re-optimized working arrangements and less time spent commuting, NBER adds.
If this isn’t good enough do search yourself. There’s multiple papers and analyses by this point.
And these are all analyses to satisfy the all important business productivity goals of our corporations.
For humans, the actual workers? The saved time on commute, improved quality of life and invigoration of local markets far outweigh those corporate gains.
BriggyDwiggs42
a day ago
I hate RTO, no doubt about it, but I also would admit that it’s less productive if the data emerged to support that conclusion. Personally, I’d be happy to have the economy take a small hit in productivity in order for a lot of workers to have much better lives.
no_wizard
a day ago
It would, if such data existed, and was proven to be reasonably obtained in a nonpartisan fashion. Same metric I used for the productivity studies of working from home. The ones with the most data and least bias indicated an up and to the right trajectory of both productivity and satisfaction.
intended
a day ago
Business research is quite non partisan, it’s about making money in the end.
https://www.weforum.org/stories/2021/06/working-from-home-co...
There’s multiple studies done at this point that very clearly show WFH benefits.
paulcole
a day ago
I can assure you that any data found would certainly be determined by you to be unreasonably obtained in a partisan fashion. You want the numbers to go up and to the right!
https://enewspaper.latimes.com/infinity/article_share.aspx?g...
> It’s true that widespread studies based on standard measures of efficiency have found that fully remote employees are 10% to 20% less productive than those working on company premises.
The surely partisan and unreasonably obtained data:
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3846680
https://drive.google.com/file/d/1kqbngD8pemqxAkZmWCOQ32Yk6PX...
no_wizard
17 hours ago
The problem with both those studies is one only focuses on workers in Asia - with no comparative studies in US, Canada or Western Europe- and the other gets all its negative data from an IT outsourcing firm in India, and even notes that within the US productivity rose by at least 2%. Its own summary is misleading when you read it.
I’ve seen both of these as initially RTO advocates rolled them out a lot but lots of folks poked holes in the research, especially since the bigger body of studies around the topic disagree with the takeaways by a wide margin.
no_wizard
11 hours ago
To add to this, the IMF did a broad global meta analysis of all the different WFH studies, and found it was at worst neutral, and at best increased productivity by a median of 2-9%.
That's the most objective study I've been able to find, largely because it aggregates all available research at the time of its publication together and does a reasonably good job of making sense of it.
dgfitz
a day ago
> No, people who hate RTO would continue to hate it
What a microchasm of today. People don’t like being told “I’m smarter than you and this is the best thing.” Just isn’t in the cards anymore.
Yeul
a day ago
As a boss you have the right to treat people like shit but you shouldn't complain about not being able to fill vacancies that way.
jacobr1
a day ago
>What I find entirely humorous about this is its executives that want hybrid / RTO by a large margin, and comparatively few employees want hybrid / RTO and prefer working from home.
Converting an in-person culture to a remote culture can be hard and many companies haven't done a good job. A functioning team can go remote, but over team, many companies are starting to see where it falls down. For example, you don't have a culture of writing things down and decisions are made it meetings, or informal conversations. Tons of a context gets lost. Also discussions must be serialized. Most "planning" sucks over remote meetings because of this. Things like breakout rooms help parallelize discussion - but companies that are async first can run rings around the "marathon meeting" type cultures. Working in person smooths over many of the inefficiencies and minor disconnects this causes.
And onboarding and training new people is much harder remotely ... if you don't actually have an onboarding process. In person, people can somewhat onboard by "learning through osmosis" and the natural connections of just meeting people, building report, helping them out. A few zoom training sessions and then getting tossed in the deep end is going to work for some people, not for others and then will bring an organizational toll over time. Companies like GitLab have remote-first ways to approach this ... but without similar investment, things will degrade.
And third, it is that is much harder to gain visibility and micromanage a remote team. If you don't have good async processes, written culture, or metrics, managers can get in the trap of "not knowing what everyone is doing," not being sure if they are on track for success or failure. Plenty of ways to avoid this, but plenty of things are much harder without approaching them from a remote-first mindset. Interpersonal issues on the team: old playbook, take them out to lunch for coffee for an informal conversation. New playbook, avoid or have an awkward conversation over a 30 minute 1:1 zoom, where you could be being recorded so nothing of consequence is said. Checkin on sales to see if the quarter is on track: walk down the sales area and assess the vibe. Tons of a excitement and backslapping and gongs, no worries; everyone looking glum, I need a have a deep conversation with the regional manager. New playbook: review salesforce data that you know is bullshit and are frustrated you can't figure out why things aren't like they used to be. Is it because all the new hires we brought on don't seem to be productive? Did remote kill everyone's mojo? Are my middle managers able to hold their team to account?
sien
a day ago
For Amazon, the apparently have really good tooling to examine what people, at least coders, are doing.
This is from presumably an Amazon employee :
"Amazon has these numbers easily accessible as reports on their code systems runnable at any manager level, and many other ways to inspect what the team is doing and the risks you might have. I find them useful. Bus factor is one way to think of it. Another is it lets you spot silos, or engineers who aren't working with others, or places where you can't as easily move engineers around (so you can fix that).
Some developers fear fungability, they think that that one system only they know is job security. I see it the other way, I see that as a technical risk, but also a thing that might be keeping a great engineer from working on more important projects. Or the way to work on something else when you get fed up with that one system you hate."
from :
no_wizard
a day ago
>Converting an in-person culture to a remote culture can be hard and many companies haven't done a good job.
The crux of it seems to be an inability to adapt then. Excuses or no excuse, that is the problem. Why are rewarding companies that aren't adapting?
>And onboarding and training new people is much harder remotely ... if you don't actually have an onboarding process.
you hit the nail on the head here. This means investing in your employees and taking training / onboarding seriously. Companies got too used to this being done by osmosis and effectively not having to pay for it. Again, seems like failure to adapt is at fault.
>And third, it is that is much harder to gain visibility and micromanage a remote team.
Last thing in the world any good worker wants its to be micromanaged. To be honest, I ask, why do we want this?
>New playbook, avoid or have an awkward conversation over a 30 minute 1:1 zoom, where you could be being recorded so nothing of consequence is said.
If you can't say anything on the record of consequence I suspect whatever it is you're saying shouldn't be said at all. How is this bad? What on earth could be said before that can't be said now?
>New playbook: review salesforce data that you know is bullshit and are frustrated you can't figure out why things aren't like they used to be. Is it because all the new hires we brought on don't seem to be productive? Did remote kill everyone's mojo? Are my middle managers able to hold their team to account?
you're measuring the wrong thing or otherwise not going about this productively to begin with. It seems like there is a lot of ineffective management going on here. Good vibes are meaningless, they simply make someone feel better perhaps, but you really think because some sales people are having a good time it means sales are good? I don't think I'd rely on that, feels like a recipe for bad surprises.
Also, you could just talk to people, like before. There's no rule against talking to people who work from home.
These examples all seem outdated on both sides, and not realistic to me. Seems like asking management to adapt is the real sin. Yet these same management types decry so much about everyone else getting accommodated. I remember a time when people said 'businesses adapt or die'. Yet changing tides of the workforce, businesses don't want to adapt, and are leveraging any power dynamic they have over labor to make sure they don't have to.
jacobr1
13 hours ago
To be clear, the examples I gave aren't those of what I think effective management should, but rather an amalgamation of the though processes I've observed.
> These examples all seem outdated on both sides, and not realistic to me
They are indeed outdated ... but I think common, and help explain some of the management/IC disconnect here at the companies struggling to adapt. There are plenty of shitty companies out there will middle management operating on inertia. It is one of the (many) reasons working on startups can be so rewarding.
There are great remote companies, in-person companies, hybrid companies. There are companies great as some aspects and not others. The trend I think for the companies doing it well, is intentional process and culture design. And importantly regular iteration to improve. At it only gets harder at scale.
no_wizard
11 hours ago
you're bypassing the thing I'm saying though, in that all the examples, real or perceived, are limitations of the person thinking of them, but not actual limitations of the medium of which work is done.
You can hand wave away the conversation a bit more with what you're saying at the end, but that doesn't really get to the core of the issue here.
paulcole
a day ago
> Gitlab did great in their IPO, and they're 100% remote.
Gitlab is down 47% all time since their IPO.
no_wizard
a day ago
Everyone until very recently was down some N% from their high.
I don't think this speaks to bad fundamentals in Gitlabs business.
Also, they did have a good IPO, people cashed out at a good number all told. I don't think its mutually exclusive
paulcole
a day ago
I mean you’re the one who brought them up to bolster your argument in favor of remote work.
Do you think it speaks to good fundamentals in Gitlabs business? Or is it mostly irrelevant and tells us nothing useful?
no_wizard
17 hours ago
It speaks to a company having a successful exit which most would deem a massive success
ghaff
a day ago
It depends a lot.
I've worked with people in person quite a lot--some of which admittedly pre-dated current communication technologies. And some of which was certainly augmented by a fair number of face to face meetings that sort of fell off the table between COVID and tech budget cuts.
But I'd say that, in general, some amount of meeting people locally (including going into an office if people you work with are actually there) is beneficial.
Ferret7446
a day ago
That's the same logical fallacy that makes people think that small scale UBI experimental results apply if rolled out to the entire society. There are systemic and emergent effects that are not accounted for, and the only way to actually do the science is to make a copy of society and only do the change for one of the copies.
(which is obviously impossible, which is GP's point)
xyst
a day ago
Let’s just ignore the quarterly employee feedback, historical performance records of employees before, during, and after COVID-19 lockdowns, business performance before, during , after COVID-19 lockdowns; and rates of attrition in across organizations and teams…
There is plenty of data to support why forced RTO makes no sense.
not_a_bot_4sho
a day ago
> There is plenty of data to support why forced RTO makes no sense.
It makes a lot of sense for property owners to enforce policies to maintain the value of their real estate.
I don't like it, but it makes sense.
thrw42A8N
a day ago
How are you so sure this data is favorable to remote work?
KerrAvon
a day ago
because that's what the data says
thrw42A8N
a day ago
Can you show me, please?
no_wizard
a day ago
There's been numerous articles about it:
https://www.vox.com/recode/23129752/work-from-home-productiv...
https://www.nber.org/papers/w30267
https://thehill.com/opinion/technology/4443825-telework-prod...
https://hubstaff.com/blog/remote-work-deeper-focus-fewer-int...
https://atlassianblog.wpengine.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/0...
https://www.opm.gov/telework/documents-for-telework/2023-rep...
thrw42A8N
a day ago
I thought you were talking about Amazon data. I don't think this is something that can be said generally - I have been in companies that worked much better in person, and in companies that wouldn't work without remote. I have no idea which one is Amazon.
Ultimately though, I think this is a cultural choice - the companies that worked well in person specifically hired only people who wanted to work in that way. Some changed their mind during the pandemic, and they were asked to move on. I don't think they were wrong. I was one of these who went away, and I joined a remote first global corporate with people from all over the world. I had a blast working there and nothing like it would be possible otherwise.
So I don't think Amazon is wrong in choosing their own way - even if we don't like it. It's style; it's like if we were criticizing their brand colors.
no_wizard
a day ago
I wasn't, but thats largely because they haven't produced any, by their own admission, and they aren't currently from what anyone - even those inside the company - gathering any in a rigorous manner.
PittleyDunkin
a day ago
If any corporation has done this, it's Amazon. I suspect they just don't give a damn about the needs of employees beyond how it impacts revenue.
andreygrehov
a day ago
legitster
a day ago
Even if you did, you couldn't do a proper A/B test without forcing at least some people into the office.
ouddv
a day ago
There were some teams that never stopped coming to the office, due to sensitive aspects of their work.
And there's a boatload of data from centralized project management and ticketing systems, as well as centralized source repositories.
The data was absolutely available for data-driven arguments.
regularfry
a day ago
Unfortunately you'd probably have to discount the teams that never switched to WFH. The same reasons that likely drove that decision would mean they're unlikely to be good comparators to teams that had a choice.
AbstractH24
19 hours ago
So what you are saying is “there’s no possible way to collect data on this, so just trust me even though I’m bias”
regularfry
16 hours ago
That's a lot of words to shove in my mouth. At least buy me dinner first.
kevingadd
a day ago
I feel like the 4 day work week experiments at various companies suggest you could do control/treatment tests for RTO too.
https://www.npr.org/2024/02/27/1234271434/4-day-workweek-suc...
https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2019/nov/04/microsoft...
whaaaaat
a day ago
> You can't a/b test company culture.
Trip.com did exactly that, A/B testing fully in office with hybrid work schedules and found that the data strongly supported hybrid schedules.
They found zero reduction in employee productivity or career outcomes, and a 35% reduction in turnover in the hybrid cohort.
So, yeah, you absolutely can A/B test company culture.
(One might argue that Amazon already A/B tests company culture -- the culture within AWS and Amazon Retail are wildly different.)
pointkn2
a day ago
[dead]
cj
a day ago
I think it’s simpler than this.
Managing people remotely is hard.
Most managers still aren’t good at managing remote employees.
When managers aren’t managing well, “productivity” goes down (however you measure it).
So managers internally advocate for RTO because it’s easier to manage people when they’re in person. (Many people also miss the office, but that group tends to be way less vocal on HN)
And since the company already has the office space, RTO is “free” to do.
And if they’re already looking to cut head count, attrition as a result would be icing on the cake making the decision even more appealing to upper management.
In other words, I think RTO would have still happened 4 years after Covid regardless of whether companies are trying to reduce staff or not. “They’re secretly using RTO to fire us” doesn’t make much sense - companies are very capable of doing layoffs. Hiding or disguising the layoff is more work than just flat out laying people off.
If there’s a leaked memo, I wouldn’t be surprised if
hackable_sand
a day ago
If you can't manage people remotely
then you cannot manage people.
AbstractH24
19 hours ago
Good managers are few and far between so we need to make the best of mediocre ones
HDThoreaun
14 hours ago
A good manager is hard to find
disgruntledphd2
21 hours ago
Yeah but remote management is definitely way harder.
That's not to say that management isn't hard anyway, but remote makes it even harder.
vondur
a day ago
This is simply layoffs without having to do layoffs. Much cleaner. I work for a state institution, due to budget cuts, layoffs are Coming. However, almost everyone hired the last few years are temporary employees. So we aren’t laying people off, we are simply not renewing positions. No messy uniom notifications needed.
ClumsyPilot
a day ago
It's simpler - how will you have an affair if the secretary is not in the office?
Working remotely makes quality of life for upper management worse. They have to schedule meetings instead of randomly drop by. They lose socialisation. You have to remember that their career is their life and their achievement. Starting at the screen is not what they signed up for. If they get a better life but company loses 5% productivity, they will take that deal
roughly
a day ago
Open office floor plans are sufficient evidence that "data driven" is bullshit when it comes to management, corporate aesthetics, and cost saving. Obviously there's no data to back RTO.
ChumpGPT
a day ago
1000's of H1B's from India will work, sleep, and live at AMZN 24x7x365. Most folks are competing with this and it is happening across the industry.
Junk away...
wagiecoder
a day ago
This is why they can force people back in
alephnerd
a day ago
No need to be racist when you could have just said that it's a competitive hiring market.
user
a day ago
ChumpGPT
a day ago
Not at all, just stating the facts.
AbstractH24
19 hours ago
How does return to office solve this? Particularly for anything not customer facing.
We’ve proven that large amounts of work can be shifted to companies with lower COL, so why not do it? The question of if those workers work from their homes or offices is secondary at that point.
blackeyeblitzar
a day ago
> I wouldn't be shocked if one day some leaked memos or emails come to light that prove it was all about control and/or backdoor layoffs, despite their PR spin that it isn't (what competent company leader would openly admit this?)
Amazon is famous for a short email retention policy and laughably small storage space to make as much past communication disappear. They also do what all big tech companies do, hiding incriminating things behind privilege labels on communications.
paulddraper
a day ago
> about control and/or backdoor layoffs
Sure.
I don't think anyone would honestly (i.e. outside of PR) disagree.
stonethrowaway
a day ago
[dead]
pointkn2
a day ago
[dead]
thegrim33
a day ago
Amazon has existed for 30 years. For 26 of those years it was primarily an in office job, only temporarily shifting to WFH, where applicable, in response to a full blown global pandemic. Now that the global pandemic is sufficiently wrapped up, they're trying to go back to business as they're used to.
You, a random internet person, are claiming you know what's better for their business than they do. You claim that the CEO and all the Presidents and VPs and everyone involved in the decision have no data backing them? They're all just making this decision with no logical basis or internal data? You really claim you know better than them what's good for their business? It's not their job to provide data to you, random internet person, about their internal functioning and what they think is best for their company.
Linking to literally .032% of their workforce signing a letter saying that it just isn't fair to go back into the office, while once again not providing a single piece of data to bolster that opinion, is not evidence that your opinion is right.
I can't read your second link because it's behind a paywall and thus not accessible to 99.9% of the people reading your comment.
The fact that I'm already downvoted to negative karma really highlights the strength of the echo chamber involved.
runnr_az
a day ago
Random smarty pants internet people always crack me up... like -- Amazon is super successful company. Like, maybe they know something about being a super successful company?
no_wizard
a day ago
Success in one arena does not mean success in another.
Also, its doubly true that one of their core beliefs is being 'data driven' but no data on this has materialized, even the CEO admitted this is all 'based on gut feeling'.
I don't blame people for calling that on its face, it flys against a purported core value
runnr_az
a day ago
Given your obvious expertise and experience, I’m shocked that they didn’t consult you.
user
17 hours ago
ycombinatrix
4 hours ago
Random smarty pants internet people always crack me up... like -- Blockbuster is super successful company. Like, maybe they know something about being a super successful company?
Wytwwww
18 hours ago
Boeing and Intel also were very successful companies until they weren't. Arguably the decisions that led to that were made years if not decades before there were any publicly obvious signs of their demise.
I bet the there plenty of people saying the same things as you are here and in other threads. Of course I'm not saying this or any other specific action will somehow lead to Amazon's demise but saying stuff like you did in the other thread:
"I’d be inclined to let the people who successfully built Amazon into a 2.25 trillion dollar company continue to do their thing"
Just seems a bit silly...
Regardless, Amazon might have other incentives than maximizing the wellbeing and of their employees in no way does that conflict with them being very successful.
runnr_az
17 hours ago
Eh. Maybe. Who knows?
It's more the attitude that I'm mocking: "I've seen that this company performed very well, perhaps better than any company in history. I, a random person with absolutely no idea what metrics / etc... they've used to make these decisions, insist that they should do it a totally different way."
akira2501
a day ago
> maybe they know something about being a super successful company?
If being successful is simply a matter of knowing a few things then why aren't more businesses successful? Why wouldn't those employees in the know just leave and start their own business?
runnr_az
a day ago
Doesn’t that observation support the point I’m making?
akira2501
a day ago
And how do you account for the fact it has no predictive power? Following the logic of your assertion we see very few cases which actually reach it. Wouldn't that suggest it is incorrect or at least incomplete in some way?
runnr_az
a day ago
I’m not sure I really understand what you’re trying to say here, but in general, I’d be inclined to let the people who successfully built Amazon into a 2.25 trillion dollar company continue to do their thing
htrp
14 hours ago
Leaders operate at all levels, stay connected to the details, audit frequently, and are skeptical when metrics and anecdote differ. No task is beneath them.
ipaddr
a day ago
They never win best place to work awards. Success for shareholders isn't success for employees.
runnr_az
a day ago
AMZN employees are very well compensated for their efforts. Hard to see this as an attack on the proletariat
anigbrowl
a day ago
I can't read your second link because it's behind a paywall and thus not accessible to 99.9% of the people reading your comment.
It opens just fine in an incognito window. Failing that, you could use an alternative browser that doesn't have any cookies set. Failing that, you could look it up on archive.org. This would have taken less time than fulminating at an internet stranger.
This is Hacker News, after all.
ipaddr
a day ago
Hackers are lazy at the core otherwise we wouldn't spend writing a program once so we never have to do it again.
Someone could do all of those things you list or form an opinion based on the title. Which way do you think a hacker would take?
anigbrowl
8 hours ago
It would be foolish to do all the things when one is sufficient. It's also foolish to rely on superficial things like titles (which are written by editors, not the writer).
meta_x_ai
a day ago
Unless you can spin an alternate universe, some complex-dynamic things like corporate culture can't be data driven.
A classic example is this https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/12/10/the-friendship...
How will you design an experiment that would create a world where Jeff Dean WFH just solved the problem and 'completed his Task' and Google was just a search engine with a $10B market cap due to scaling issues or a huge operations cost.
Today Google is $2.5T marketcap and you can bet a significant portion of it came from the work culture created in the office.
No amount of Social Science can ever capture the tail events that has massive upside like tech companies.
Even if 180,000 employees are unhappy, but the 20 who are happy create the next Amazon revolution can change the trajectory of Amazon that can't be measurable
Edit : Butthurt HNers downvoting a perfectly logical argument. Then they expect leaders to listen to them
gagik_co
a day ago
Online interactions aren’t any less complex, they’re just different. Newer generations are more online and less fan of an idea of an “office culture”. This all seems based on the idea that just because something happened before, the only way to reproduce it is to replicate its setup. Times have changed & people have changed since. Office work will continue to exist but some magical “work culture” isn’t just thanks to the office. And 20 people can change trajectory but they’re absolutely nothing without the 180k to stir the boat.
v1ne
a day ago
How do you recreate the rich interaction that you have when you meet somebody face to face, when you have to use (a) Amazon's crappy Zoom clone (forgot the name, they forced their applicants to use it, too. It's horrible and couldn't even cope with my German keyboard layout) or (b) some text-based messaging?
Even if you replace (a) with a proper video chat solution, it's a much, much narrower channel than real interaction between people where people perceive all these tiny non-verbal signals like changes in posture, gestures, mimics, breathing, and you can actually point a colleague to something with your finger, all in real-time.
So, no, from my perspective, online interactions are very sad and simple, compared to real-world interactions.
I work in a low-latency field, maybe I'm more sensitive to latency. But I find all those narrow communication channels a nuisance. I find it frustrating to have to rely on a variety of tools to achieve collaboration: Chat, video chat, digital whiteboard, code sharing. There is so much friction, at least in my workplace, to switch between those tools or to combine them. This can surely be improved, but there are things that naturally can't disappear, like latency.
Honestly, I'm dreaming of a place where people have to work from the office again. So I can have a Kanban board with paper cards on a board again, for everyone to see, touch, and write on.
no_wizard
a day ago
> no, from my perspective, online interactions are very sad and simple, compared to real-world interactions....
All of this is to say, you find it 'sad and simple' and therefore, it is sad and simple?
To be completely honest, this sounds like an inability to adapt to change and not using the right tools for the right job (and/or the tool is available, its not being maximally used). Rather, its shoehorning old things into a new era, which of course never works well
user
a day ago
pxc
a day ago
> real interaction between people where people perceive all these tiny non-verbal signals like changes in posture, gestures, mimics, breathing
I dunno. I sometimes feel like many of those things just make communication more stressful, accident-prone, and overloaded. Too much to overlook, too much to accidentally let slip, too much to process besides the content of the massage... Just too much.
Voice is pretty useful to me, but for the most part taking body language out of the picture is a burden relieved for me. I'm happy to be represented by my words and voice alone.
> you can actually point a colleague to something with your finger
That's a great thing when it works, but it's not really a given in person, either. I don't see well enough to identify most objects when someone points from across the room anymore, let alone to read someone's screen in the tiny font sizes the average person uses or cope with light mode.
A link to source code or a reference to a file and a line number is way more flexible in terms of letting people meet their own needs for contrast and sizing, clunky though it may be. Same thing for digital whiteboards; some people essentially can't participate in conversations centered on a physical whiteboard.
spjt
a day ago
> people perceive all these tiny non-verbal signals like changes in posture, gestures, mimics, breathing,
I don't know what line of work you're in but I would consider that stuff "noise" in a technical discussion.
thayne
a day ago
> where people perceive all these tiny non-verbal signals like changes in posture, gestures, mimics, breathing, and you can actually point a colleague to something with your finger, all in real-time.
That might be important to you, but to other people it may not matter at all, and for still others it is actually a negative.
Consider that for a neurodivergent, or disabled person, all those non-verbal signals could easily be misinterpreted, or missed by one side or the other.
Likewise, such signals could have different meanings in different cultures.
And for some people face to face communication is stressful or emotionally draining.
That's not to say that virtual communication in any medium completely solves those problems, or that such non-verbal communication doesn't have any value. But while you may feel more comfortable with face to face interactions, there are other people people, including myself, who feel more communicating via a textual format.
ghaff
a day ago
Pure anecdata. And there are some other factors that include more pre-COVID events and travel.
But basically, a fairly hard switch to pure-video conferencing meant that, for the most part, I basically didn't establish new relationships (with some exceptions) to most people before I left. It wasn't sustainable but it was a fairly short runway.
More generous travel budgets and more event travel would have helped certainly. But I wouldn't have been happy in a long-term pure WFH environment.
(For context, even in a nominally working from office environment I was doing business travel for months a year.)
theshackleford
a day ago
> I find it frustrating to have to rely on a variety of tools to achieve collaboration: Chat, video chat, digital whiteboard, code sharing. There is so much friction, at least in my workplace, to switch between those tools or to combine them.
Sure, but for many people, in office work still requires all of those things anyway. Many of us don't just work with only with teams or people within the single physical location we currently reside in.
I'm remote now, but i've spent a career on/off remote because my job has always been to work with with global teams and individuals, including customers. I don't know where these people are outside of geographic areas, i've never asked and they've never asked me.
> I'm dreaming of a place where people have to work from the office again. So I can have a Kanban board with paper cards on a board again, for everyone to see, touch, and write on.
I don't see how the two are related. Unless you are in charge I suppose. In most of my physical jobs i've been required to operate with a digital kanban. How I then handle my own breakdown beyond that is on me but doesnt involve others. I don't get to magically just have a physical kanban because that's what I personally want.
bongodongobob
a day ago
You're starting with the presumption that face to face interaction is better. I think it's far worse. You need to prove your premise first. And honestly, it sounds like a skill issue.
Wytwwww
18 hours ago
> You need to prove your premise first
It was and still is the default/status quo. So, no, not really...
idiotsecant
a day ago
I very much want wfh to be more effective, but in terms of relationship building, particularly with new people, there's no context. I think there's quite a bit of signal lost when you have something other than personal communication.
With that said, a little goes a long way IMO. Once you've got those relationships defined further in-person comms is mostly just bullshitting IMO.
LtWorf
a day ago
Eh, every company has people who spend more time socialising rather than working. For them of course WFH is not very nice.
meta_x_ai
a day ago
Do you have data to prove that? If not, then leaders have every right to go with their gut instincts.
Give me an example of a company that is immensely successful (massive growth) like say OpenAI that are fully remote
ElevenLathe
a day ago
You're arguing on capital's terms. The company isn't owed massive growth. They are allowed to have it if labor is willing to work under the conditions they provide and if the state continues to allow their incorporation and its related benefits (and they get lucky, presumably).
meta_x_ai
a day ago
That's perfectly fine. Considering OpenAI, Google, Amazon despite their strong RTO policies are attracting the top talent, they don't have worry about pleasing midwits not applying to their companies.
Self-attrition by entitled, highly paid mid-performers are the greatest gift to corporations in this economy, where there is fresh batch of engineers wanting to take their place
no_wizard
a day ago
>despite their strong RTO policies are attracting the top talent
I suspect its not that simple[0]
Never mind the fact, that the sheer size of these organizations means they are full of average tech talent. Go lang was created in part to specifically address the fact that the engineers Google hires in droves needed a simplified language to work productively in a relatively quick manner, consistently.
[0]: https://www.forbes.com/sites/christinecruzvergara/2023/03/02...
ElevenLathe
a day ago
So are you a corporate exec? Or just choosing to identify with management for reasons of...psychology? politics?
no_wizard
a day ago
Firstly, do you have any data that proves that it isn't true? You haven't made any data driven assertion here either.
Secondly, what is 'massive'? Like, adoption curve growth for many remote first companies is huge, like Zapier, but I digress, that is a very subjective thing.
Gitlab has been day one remote.
Zapier
Deel
Posthog
Others have transitioned to be fully remote, like GitHub[0] and GitHub has had a second wave of massive growth around the same time and its continued to this day.
[0]: https://techcrunch.com/2023/02/09/github-lays-off-10-and-goe...
gagik_co
a day ago
Massive growth is your arbitrarily chosen definition of success. Companies that have grown massively required a less competitive environment and the time to do so (with many being founded before fully remote was as common) and/or took a ton of funding (with oldschool investors who obviously see in-office expansion as the needed/natural sign of growth). There are plenty of profitable and growing companies that are fully remote, whether that’s “successful” is just how you want to see it.
spjt
a day ago
Not really a "company" but any number of OSS projects. Linux etc.
anal_reactor
a day ago
> Online interactions aren’t any less complex, they’re just different.
Exactly why I spend days on chatrooms instead of going out and making friends.
metabagel
a day ago
> A classic example is this https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2018/12/10/the-friendship...
It would be nice if you would post a short summary of the article, since it seems to form the basis of your argument.
abeppu
a day ago
While it's true that there are things that cannot be directly measured with data , that point cuts in both directions. Perhaps some rare and critical person who is happy in the RTO environment will create something of extraordinary value -- but also someone rare and critical could leave because of the RTO environment. So if you don't have data to suggest that the effect is stronger in one direction than the other, it's not a great argument for any particular policy.
no_wizard
a day ago
There are multiple errors in the logic here, but the biggest one is you're trying to prove causation with correlation (and implicitly at that). Which to iterate my understanding, its this:
Google was founded and everyone worked in an office together, Google is a $2.5T marketcap company, therefore Google's work culture could only be created, fostered and maintained in an office setting and therefore Google is successful because they all worked an in office together.
You can't actually prove the assertion that being in office makes the difference here at all. For instance, the article you linked t talks about the way two friends collaborated. The backdrop happens to be an office, but the office setting itself is not what made the collaboration successful. Merely, the fact they shared so much and worked collaboratively so closely is what let them to be successful, but nowhere in the article does it say "well we could only do this if we were in person with one another". The office is the backdrop to the story, its not the reason it happened.
Also, you're throwing an entire field under the bus that our entire industry definitely builds on, which is business & management theory (aka social science), but if we couldn't use social science to make informed decisions, why do so many startup founders read things like 'Zero To One'? (which is a book form of the notes that Blake Masters took while Peter Thiel was teaching CS183 at Stanford University in Spring 2012)
changoplatanero
a day ago
> You can't actually prove the assertion that being in office makes the difference here at all
That was the point that they were trying to make. You can't prove such a thing with data one way or another, i.e. it's not possible to a/b test company culture.
no_wizard
a day ago
Again correlation != causation.
All they said is you can't test it because 'it already happened in an office therefore its bound to office culture'. I am stating that they can't prove that assertion and it thereby does not prove it can't be A/B tested.
It absolutely can, there are entire fields of study and companies that exist simply to facilitate changes and measurements in company culture[0]
[0]: A random example of this: https://harver.com/blog/cultural-transformation/
vitus
a day ago
> Today Google is $2.5T marketcap and you can bet a significant portion of it came from the work culture created in the office.
Ah yes, that must be why execs at Google are incentivizing hiring in lower cost-of-labor locations like India and central Europe, and placing very large barriers in the way of business travel that would normally encourage knowledge-sharing and foster collaboration, all while forcing people back into the office and discouraging fully remote roles.
I'd like to also point out that Alphabet's market cap was $0.9T back in March 2020 when WFH due to COVID started, and more than doubled in the ensuing year and a half (it was just shy of $2T back in Nov 2021). Further, during that same timeframe, the S&P 500 rose about 70%, so there's a fairly strong correlation between Google's market cap in this timeframe and overall stock market performance.
... which is a long-winded way of saying that I would not place as much stake in Google's current market cap being driven by the in-office culture as you seem to. (Speaking as someone who's been employed at Google throughout this period and then some.)
LtWorf
a day ago
> Edit : Butthurt HNers downvoting a perfectly logical argument.
Saying "I'm logical" doesn't make you logical for real automatically.
no_wizard
a day ago
Nor have they commented with more evidence down stream. I'd be interested in reading it too.
Der_Einzige
a day ago
Glad to see you call out the stupidity of the average HN downvoter. I see stuff down-voted all the time which makes perfectly logical, rational and well substantiated arguments without even a hint of vitriol get down-voted for no good reason at all. I'm not even talking about politically contentious stuff!
This website needs to have a cultural reckoning. The current community obsession with D riding dang and pretending like everything is fine is why this places continues it's erosion of quality. N-gate died too soon, and it likely died because its original creator likely got bored and stopped bothering to come here - likely due to stupid downvotes on perfectly good comments.
no_wizard
11 hours ago
Saying its logical doesn't make it so.
flappyeagle
a day ago
There’s absolutely no way that Amazon employees are more efficient at home.
Nothing about the company’s organizational structure or resources are set up to be optimized for this.
It’s like asking someone to play tennis, but you gave them a baseball bat.
devjab
a day ago
I worked in digitalisation for a Danish city during Covid. Since I was the HR “data guy” I worked on every sort of metrics for them and sometimes had to sit through meetings just in case someone needed a technical explanation. I think that happened twice, but it’s been some years since. Anyway, I got to see the data on employees working from home.
The short story is that efficiency and productivity went up but “hours worked” went down. Well, “hours spent active at the computer” and by that I mean not just keeping teams greens but actually doing things, went down. Which was taken to mean work, even though it could’ve been people doing their social media, shopping or whatever. The key take away for most of the decision makers involved was that productivity increased. Then they do the law required AMR and psychological evaluations that we do here in Denmark. It’s basically a questionnaire where you rate your mental well being, how the physical environment is and so on. For office workers the physical part is mostly about the air quality, but in a municipality you have employees who are physically assaulted from time to time, so the results can be pretty wild.
You might expect that some of the groups working with Alzheimer, or some of the more violently mentally ill, patients. Employees who work in the department which removes children from bad parents. Such groups. Would be absolute outliners in these sort of analytics, and they were. The one group who scored higher on unhappiness, stress and a few other parameters were middle managers. So during Covid it was apparently worse to be a middle manager than someone who gets physically assaulted.
Anyway, the positive reports were sort of buried. Unless you’ve worked in public service you probably don’t know what that means, but it basically comes down to bureaucrats vs politicians. So you might have someone with a candidate (or several) degrees in public management and a couple of decades of experience advice a janitor who is popular enough to have been elected to office for whatever reason. Obviously the bureaucracy wins. So they all went back to the office to keep the middle managers happy.
I certainly don’t know how it’s like at Amazon, but I hope you can use my anecdotal story to see that it’s not always about productivity. Especially because measuring productivity in hours spent in office doesn’t show the same output as it would for someone standing at an assembly line.
throw16180339
a day ago
If nothing else, home offices can be a lot quieter than the usual mix of plague ward and bazaar that defines modern work environments.
georgemcbay
a day ago
This is a big factor for me, especially as someone who has been doing software development for a long time. When I first started it was typical to have individual offices, or at worst office sharing where you shared an office with one other dev who was likely trying to keep distractions to a minimum as much as you were.
Now almost every workplace is an open office plan, hot desk swapping hellscape.
If offices were like they generally were when I first started I would be a lot more personally pro-RTO, but the way they are these days I much prefer to work at home in peace and quiet.
(Of course, the peace and quiet aspect will vary based on the particulars of everyone's homes/families/etc).
Traffic is of course the other major factor. As someone who lives in Southern California, the commute time from where I live to where I work is either 15 minutes or an hour and a half based on traffic congestion and its pretty freeing to not have to worry so much about preplanning your commute to minimize the likelihood of landing on the bad side of this.
flappyeagle
12 hours ago
I say this as someone who’s worked from home for the last six years of my career pre-Covid
I would never want to work at Amazon or Facebook or whatever while being remote. You’re leaving half of the benefit of being at those places on the table.