DOJ accuses Visa of monopoly that affects price of 'nearly everything’

434 pointsposted 11 hours ago
by pseudolus

341 Comments

cubefox

8 hours ago

> Visa and its smaller rival Mastercard have surged over the past two decades, reaching a combined market cap of roughly $1 trillion.

In the US there actually exists (begins to exist) now a cheaper alternative to credit card payments: FedNow. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FedNow

It's an instantaneous bank transfer, without a credit card company in the middle extracting rents.

For dodgy/disreputable online shops, credit cards will still be better, due to the possibility of chargeback. And of course for actually buying things on credit. But for most regular cases, this shouldn't be necessary.

Systems like FedNow are already highly successful in India (UPI) and several other countries.

HAL3000

7 hours ago

The US seems to be so far behind. For example, in Poland, Europe, you've had online instant bank payments for over 10 years. You’d go to a merchant’s site, click 'pay with my bank,' and an OAuth-like mechanism would log you into your bank to confirm the payment. Now it’s even easier with the introduction of BLIK, which lets you pay in shops, online, etc. Online payments are super simple: you click 'pay with BLIK' on a merchant’s site, go to your bank app (web or mobile), click the BLIK icon, and get a six-digit code valid for 60–180 seconds. You enter that code on the merchant site, and your mobile app shows 'Do you want to pay [xxx amount] to [merchant Y]?' You click yes, and that’s it.

hnav

7 hours ago

Regulatory hurdles from incumbents aside, it's generally the case that a less developed, up-and-coming economy will have new stuff quicker. The US is arguably the birthplace of credit but was one of the last to get chip and then tap. Right now the US is putting internet relays in low earth orbit and teaching computers to generate text on the fly, but the wired internet offerings are inferior to some third tier city in Bulgaria and customer service is abysmal.

safety1st

2 hours ago

Not saying this is who you are, but this is the argument I hear from Americans who have a vested interest in defending the illegal business practices of its cartels and monopolies. "This country is so big, that innovation is hard and will be slower."

I don't believe them. I think innovation is stymied either by monopoly, regulation or both. I think specifically we allowed monopoly to encroach in an unprecedented way since the Reagan era. I think there are a lot of rich guys breaking the law, the Sherman Act and its kin are real, the DOJ and the FTC have teeth again, America can be innovative in every field and it's time for action.

Enforcing antitrust law is the path to better products and services and maybe even a restoration of wealth equality to some degree, because historically starting businesses was what kept the fruits of the American economic pie more distributed than they are today.

seadan83

2 hours ago

I don't think your argument is all that sound

(1) the way to define up and coming economies seem to fit into confirmation bias and/or survivor bias.

(2) why is size such a strong variable?

(3) US had massive rollout of dial up, why/how did broadband get established if size of existing infrastructure is inversely correlated to adaption of new tech? (If I understand your argument correctly). Broadband should never really have rolled out. For that matter, there is a large deployment of satellite internet in the US, wouldn't your low earth satellite example also be a counterexample?

(4) why would advancement in one sector be counter evidence for market capture and regulatory hurdles in a different sector? The examples just seem unrelated.

(5) US internet speeds have been pretty slow for a long time. Could it be that market capture and lack of competition is a larger factor rather than the cost of adoption? Another example, Japan has been pretty far ahead of mobile phone tech for a while. If the cost of adaption of new tech were the biggest issue, wouldn't they have stagnated some time ago? That was an already saturated market for over a decade, yet still moved forward.

(6) could it be more important that new markets lack existing monopolistic capture?

Though, I will agree that existing infrastructure/deployments do create an inertia for stagnation. I have that view for US road infrastructure. It is all going to last many decades more, and with it the single occupancy vehicle.

markus92

7 hours ago

SEPA is well established all across the eurozone though, even in countries with considerable legacy infrastructure.

hnav

6 hours ago

Right but those countries are comparable in size and GDP to US states. The US had wire transfers since the 19th century, credit cards as we recognize them today since the 70s, online shopping since the 90s and online money transfer like Paypal since the 2000s. That eurozone countries would want to standardize on something and happen to largely escape regulatory capture is fairly predictable.

jltsiren

5 hours ago

Many European countries had online banking in the 80s. Largely because banks were focused on efficiency, and they wanted to replace checks with wire transfers and domestic debit cards. In order to do that, they had to make wire transfers as convenient as possible.

When online shopping first appeared, wire transfers were the obvious form of payment. Few people had credit cards, because most shops didn't accept them. And shops didn't accept them, because they were too expensive.

(When I got a credit card in the early 2000s, one of the things they emphasized in the marketing was that you could withdraw money from foreign ATMs. And you usually got a better rate than by exchanging cash. It's kind of funny that you are not supposed to use an American credit card for that.)

xxpor

4 hours ago

And then how do you reverse a wire transfer? What's the liability split?

jltsiren

4 hours ago

You don't reverse it. It's like a cash transaction in the sense that it's irrevocable, which means people understand it intuitively. But unlike cash, there is an effectively permanent record of the transaction, connected to the participants' legal identities. That tends to discourage scammers. And it all happens within a single jurisdiction.

epolanski

4 hours ago

Everything you list existed in Europe at the same time or few years later in the worst case scenario.

jen20

3 hours ago

> it's generally the case that a less developed, up-and-coming economy will have new stuff quicker.

My credit card in the UK had chip-and-PIN in 2004 - it was probably around earlier too, though less common. Almost every bank card issued has had contactless for over 10 years too. Simply being a developed economy is not the only reason!

PaulDavisThe1st

2 hours ago

Oh come on! Everybody knows the UK didn't even have banking until Oasis released their first single! Sometimes it gets hard living in the USA, where we have to invent everything for everybody else all the time.

idontwantthis

2 hours ago

Even Cambodia has had instant bank transfers for years now. They are trying to figure out how to get tourists into the system because locals hardly use cash anymore.

pbreit

5 hours ago

Except that US commerce dwarfs pretty much all other countries. Visa & Mastercard arguably play a major role in such dominance.

loeg

8 hours ago

FedNow is cool but it has nothing to do with B2C payments. Think: wires, but cheaper. Or ACH, but faster. Do you frequently pay for goods or services with wires or literal ACH transfers? (No.)

jasonjayr

8 hours ago

No, but only because the technology + processes for Wires + ACH are pretty complicated and slow. If they can be sped up, simplified with the same or better protections for account holders, then it would would be a game changer.

Of course Visa/Mastercard/Amex/Discover are very well moneied interests, positioned pretty tightly in the market and have no incentive to help it's success along.

AnthonyMouse

6 hours ago

> with the same or better protections for account holders, then it would would be a game changer.

This is really the one we need to fix on both ends.

Right now we have a system where fraud is really easy, e.g. an incompetent merchant gets breached and the attackers get thousands of credit cards to use at innocent unrelated merchants. Then the attackers steal goods from those merchants and the merchants get chargebacks from the cardholders. This is crazy.

What you want is a system where the merchant submits a payment request which is then either manually approved by the customer on their bank's website (e.g. for immediate delivery of goods) or has to be submitted and displayed on the customer's statement at least 30 days before the transfer, giving the customer that long to dispute it (e.g. recurring payments/subscriptions). That would eliminate the vast majority of fraud and also make it simple for customers to cancel subscriptions they don't want (just go to your bank's website and ban that merchant).

The reason we don't have this is that the banks like getting credit card fees and chargeback fees, so they have no incentive to build it, and use regulatory capture and anticompetitive practices to keep anyone else from building it.

loeg

4 hours ago

We don't have this because it would increase friction per transaction, which is a bad thing. Our high-trust system largely works, despite the susceptibility to some level of fraud.

loeg

8 hours ago

I think it's likely people will build useful user experiences on top of FedNow. Or migrate existing uses (Zelle?). But it's just the boring settlement system in the background; not what end customers or businesses interact with directly.

DesiLurker

4 hours ago

Zelle is an alternate payment schema by consortium of major banks. It was introduced a little head of time just to avoid fednow from gaining traction. I'll bet a few years from now they'll attack fednow for being bloated and unused and lobby to marginalize it. Fednow basically means no more overdraft fee. they wont let that happen.

tyre

7 hours ago

As a consumer, I also have no incentive to help FedNow. Unless they are offering cash back on my taxes.

AnthonyMouse

6 hours ago

The obvious incentive is that Visa is giving you 1-2% cash back while charging the merchant 3%+, so the merchant will give you a >2% discount to use FedNow. Or charge you the extra 3% to use Visa.

But this is where we get into antitrust issues. Visa imposes a 3% cap on the surcharge you can add, but then typical processing fees (e.g. Stripe) are 2.9% + $0.30. For a $1 transaction that's >30%, but Visa caps the amount exposed to the customer at 3% -- and low value transactions are the exact market where the lower-fee competition would gain the most ground from having a price advantage. How is that not an antitrust violation?

kelnos

2 hours ago

It depends for some of us, though. I have a credit card that gives me 5% back on Amazon purchases. Another card gives me 4.5% back on travel and dining expenses. That card also gives me 15% back on Lyft rides. Even if those businesss were to offer me a 2% or 3% discount to use FedNow, I would stick with the credit card.

And on top of that, I really do value things the credit cards offer, like fraud protection. If I pay for something with a credit card and never receive the goods, I can get the card company to issue a chargeback, and pay nothing. If I buy something with FedNow and never receive the goods, that money is just gone.

ac29

4 hours ago

>But this is where we get into antitrust issues. Visa imposes a 3% cap

Do you have a source for this? Anecdotally, I have seen >3% charges on card payments in B2B transactions.

throwaway48476

7 hours ago

Visa charges 3%. Everything you buy could be 3% cheaper, that's better than cash back.

dumbo-octopus

5 hours ago

Gas is already more than 3% cheaper with cash, rent tends to not accept credit, and for me at least the only significant other expense is dining out. If your goal with a tip is to put $X money in their hand, cash will do that more than 3% more efficiently, saving you the delta.

_huayra_

4 hours ago

Not to defend the system, but just FYI to you and whoever reads this:

* the Bilt mastercard will let you pay your rent via ACH and get points for it (for my ~$2k/month rent, I probably get $150 a year)

* There are several cards that will give you 5% cashback on gas

lxgr

5 hours ago

You can't pay with cash on the Internet, though.

is_true

3 hours ago

Where I'm from you can. There are services that give you a code and then you go to some store that offers the service and hand the cash. Similar to what you can do with Western Union

dumbo-octopus

3 hours ago

Cash in the literal sense, sure. But not the practical sense, where it is more a euphemism for “no middleman”.

marcosdumay

2 hours ago

I pay for things from China using Brazilian Pix quite often.

dumbo-octopus

3 hours ago

The easy solution is to not buy things on the internet. I can’t think of the last thing I bought online.

dumbo-octopus

3 hours ago

(which is a money saving trick in an of itself: if buying X thing requires you to get up and move your body to the store and look at it and pick it up and check out and haul it back, you’re going to buy a lot less things than if all you have to do is move your index finger 0.25mm once. This is why Amazon made with one click purchasing, to the extent people paid amzn for a license to implant “buying it now”)

sandmn

7 hours ago

Or since prices are set up by retailers, they'll get extra 3% profit.

cubefox

6 hours ago

Luckily stores are in competition with each other.

sandmn

6 hours ago

That's true for online stores but not necessarily offline, where it's hard to compare prices and it's much more convenient to go to store nearby even if they charge 10% more unless you're buying something expensive.

lxgr

5 hours ago

I'd take my chances with some stores passing on the 3% in cheaper prices (thanks to competition) and others pocketing the profit over the status quo any day.

It'd still be a net win for many people, and the end of what is effectively a redistribution from low-credit to high-credit (i.e. effectively poor to rich).

throwaway48476

5 hours ago

A lot of offline stores have website with prices.

pbreit

5 hours ago

No one cars about the speed in most payments. FedNow is as complicated as ACH and has even fewer protections.

DesiLurker

4 hours ago

speak for yourself, travel outside of US to see how well its implemented by even 3rd world countries like India. payment in seconds basically means you can use it (or a derivative) at PoS. that basically mean for vast majority of people who pay of their balances monthly, no income from visa transaction fees which can be 3%+ for small/mid retailers.

doomrobo

8 hours ago

In Europe, this is not uncommon for online purchases. You put in your IBAN number and authorize the transaction

cubefox

7 hours ago

Yes. In Germany there is Giropay, where you get redirected to your online banking (it remembers your bank), you have to log in, and submit the already pre-filled transaction. It's literally a normal bank transfer from the user perspective. Not something that happens on the server side.

lxgr

4 hours ago

It's a scheme layered on top of regular SEPA bank transfers. As such, it does not work across borders, for example, and not even with all German banks.

loeg

7 hours ago

FedNow is analogous to SWIFT, not applications like Giropay / iDEAL / wero.

cubefox

6 hours ago

I don't know about the others, but Giropay just does a redirect to your online banking account and prefills the bank transfer form. The actual payment is literally the instant bank transfer solution. (I think it's called TIPS, not SWIFT.)

pjmlp

6 hours ago

You can also pay with SEPA directly, although not everyone supports.

However I consider that highly unsafe.

loeg

7 hours ago

FedNow is not launching in Europe.

cubefox

6 hours ago

Instant bank transfers already exist in Europe.

> TIPS is a harmonised and standardised pan-European service with common functionalities for the settlement of Instant Payments across different countries and jurisdictions. It is based on the Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA) Instant Credit Transfer scheme.

https://www.ecb.europa.eu/paym/target/target-professional-us...

> In 2020, Lael Brainard announced the upcoming FedNow service would provide "a neutral platform on which the private sector can build to offer safe, efficient instant payment services to users across the country",[20] after 2018 the European Central Bank launched the TIPS instant payment settlement system.[21]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FedNow

lxgr

5 hours ago

Sometimes it can be worthwhile to see what other countries have been successfully doing for decades. It won't prevent anyone from reinventing the wheel if they still have their mind set on it :)

loeg

4 hours ago

The culture is different and solutions will be different. Again: not super relevant here.

lxgr

4 hours ago

FedNow does look an awful lot like SEPA Instant to me (down to banks not being eager to offer it to consumers without a legal requirement).

SSLy

6 hours ago

In EU I can pay my company's taxes with a FedNow/UPI/Venmo-like system. Just punch a passcode in the bank's app when prompted by notification. Settled within 5 seconds.

PaulDavisThe1st

2 hours ago

Not sure that speed is so important for such transactions. I just paid my 3rd quarter estimated taxes in the USA (both federal and state). Both transactions came straight out of my bank the day after I submitted the payments. Perfectly fine.

It is retail transactions where I and someone/something else trade money for goods that need the "instant" aspects of this.

ashconnor

6 hours ago

Doesn't seem impossible that a Venmo like service could be built on top of FedNow with instant bank settlement.

lxgr

5 hours ago

That's exactly what Zelle already is: Settlement can optionally happen via RTP (which is roughly The Clearing House's alternative to FedNow).

segmondy

7 hours ago

The key thing to remember about credit cards is "credit", "CREDIT" You can have literally no money to your name but if you have a credit card, you can spend up to whatever the balance is. Someone is loaning you money, someone is taking risk that you will pay. You are protect by government regulation so that if you file a dispute, you are protected until it's proven that you actually did spend the money. With debit card or FedNow, you need to have the money, you don't have dispute protections.

Loughla

7 hours ago

The main reason I use credit cards is having my account compromised.

It happened once to my debit card when I was 20, and I went without food for a few weeks. Thank God for food pantries.

Ever since, I've used MasterCard for everything. They might be an evil monopoly, but fixing fraud is stupendously easy, and becomes not my problem with one mouse click.

seizethecheese

7 hours ago

I’m not sure this is still true. Debit cards have a similar dispute process to credit cards.

kelnos

2 hours ago

When you dispute a credit card charge, the money is still in your bank account, and you can spend it on food.

When you dispute a debit card charge, the money is completely inaccessible until the dispute is resolved.

yakz

6 hours ago

They do but usually your money is gone until the dispute is resolved. With a credit card, some fabulously wealthy company’s money is gone and literally nobody is gonna cry over that.

wccrawford

6 hours ago

But the money is already gone. You will probably get it back, but you don't have it until then.

With a credit card, you haven't lost anything yet.

AnthonyMouse

6 hours ago

Well sure you have, you've had your available credit reduced by that amount. If you have a surplus of cash or available credit then this makes no major difference in either case. If you don't and then try to make a transaction, you get whacked with penalties etc.

kelnos

2 hours ago

> If you don't and then try to make a transaction, you get whacked with penalties etc.

No you don't. Your card just gets declined.

This seems like a weird argument anyway. Sure, in some cases you will get hit with credit card fraud and will also at that time have no further available credit, and no cash on hand. But I expect that's the exception, not the rule.

If we're talking about debit card fraud, every single time that happens, the money will be gone while you're waiting for the dispute to be resolved.

Loughla

6 hours ago

There is a distinct and appreciable difference between having a lower credit limit and not having the actual money in my bank account.

One of those involves me not having money. One does not.

AnthonyMouse

6 hours ago

If you have money in your bank account, you can swipe your card at the store and get stuff. If you have available credit, you can swipe your card at the store and get stuff. These are both money.

In the second case you may have borrowed the money and are then expected to pay it back later, but in general this is the method to be avoided unless you have a need for it, because borrowing money incurs fees/interest charges (whether directly or indirectly).

losvedir

3 hours ago

This subthread is about fraud. If someone steals your debit card the money is gone from your bank account until the dispute resolution has happened. In contrast, if someone steals your credit card you dispute the transactions and until it's resolved you just have a lower available credit. But the point is you had money in your bank account anyway and were just paying with the credit card for the fraud and/or rewards reasons and that money is still there.

ThunderSizzle

3 hours ago

Unless if you only have enough available credit for a couple of purchases (e.g. maybe your first credit card or bad credit credit card), this distinction is pointless. Almost no fraud will touch the thousands of dollars of available credit, especially if on different or multiple cards.

Losing some available credit is not even a nuisance for most people who have any semblance of decent credit history.

Regardless, your last paragraph is also wrong. If the price is same when using a debit or credit card, it's better to use the credit card. You can keep the money in your account (and could be used in event of emergencies) and also earn interest until statement due date. There are no fees or interest when you pay your statement balance in full every month, which means you've gained 5% interest for about a month's worth of credit spending in your HYSA for the same price.

philwelch

4 hours ago

Yes but my credit limit is a very large buffer to the amount of cash in my bank account.

loeg

6 hours ago

They may, if the issuer wants to be generous. They are not entitled to the same legal protections that credit cards are.

lxgr

4 hours ago

That's largely a myth these days:

Scheme rules mostly require issuers to extend a zero-liability policy to consumer debit cardholders.

Even if they wouldn't, there is a little-known debit counterpart to Regulation Z (which is the federal regulation affording you all the nice credit liability protections you might be used to) called Regulation E:

As long as you notify the issuer/bank within 60 days, your losses are also capped to $500. But since most banks don't want to lose a customer over a deductible in an edge cases (usually they can recover the funds themselves via a chargeback), the real loss is usually zero.

clooless

4 hours ago

It's no myth. The bank will keep the money in many cases by claiming you were negligent. You have no recourse.

loeg

4 hours ago

You say you're disagreeing with me but the text of your comment substantiates what I wrote.

lxgr

4 hours ago

I think we agree on the outcome, but not the mechanism.

I'm saying that debit protections have nothing to do with the issuer "feeling generous", and a lot with market forces and legal regulations, just like for credit cards.

tourmalinetaco

6 hours ago

Nope. My brother was on the hook for $900 because his debit card got skimmed.

Loughla

5 hours ago

I ate over 1000 when I got skimmed.

It was what made me realize that Banks, even hometown small banks, are not your friend. They screwed me all over.

mixmastamyk

5 hours ago

I don’t think ‘skimmed’ still works? Chip and tap must respond.

cubefox

7 hours ago

Credit card companies make absurd profits. This means: In expectation, you are paying more than you benefit. It's basically an insurance. Buying insurance only makes sense for sums so large they could easily bankrupt you. But credit cards are used mainly for small to medium sums.

carlosjobim

6 hours ago

Visa made $17-$18 billion in profits in 2023 for handling transactions worth $12 trillion. Is that an absurd number for maintaining an instant payment system on a planetary scale?

kibwen

6 hours ago

It would be an absurd amount for a payment system, yes, because we already have a secure worldwide communications network that we pay to maintain and there's nothing special about Visa's encrypted bits.

The value that credits cards provide isn't the network, it's the insurance (chargebacks). And while I appreciate payment insurance when I'm paying for an expensive object from halfway around the world, it's unnecessary overhead when I'm buying a bagel in a cafe.

kelnos

2 hours ago

> It would be an absurd amount for a payment system, yes, because we already have a secure worldwide communications network that we pay to maintain and there's nothing special about Visa's encrypted bits.

Sure there is. Someone had to build the all the software that deals with those encrypted bits. Someone had to scale it up to handling tens (hundreds?) of billions of transactions per year, each one approved or declined within a few seconds.

If you think it costs zero dollars and we can just say "the internet is our payments system" and call it a day... well, I don't know what to tell you. Your expectations are so far from reality that I'm not sure we're going to have a productive discussion.

carlosjobim

5 hours ago

So if we lived in a perfect hacker paradise where there are no company profits or private property, what would be reasonable operating costs for maintaining an instant planetary payment system – including fraud insurance? Assuming the same amount of transactions as today?

poincaredisk

3 hours ago

I don't know, but in Europe the visa/mastercard charges are capped at 0.2% for debit cards and 0.3% for credit cards. This seems to be enough for them to continue operating.

ThunderSizzle

3 hours ago

Are there any European-based credit cards that have entered and competed in the American market, with it supposedly being so lucrative compared to Europe? I'd assume someone would've made that jump?

BobbyJo

2 hours ago

I can't imagine Visa would continue to operate in Europe if it wasn't profitable, and I'm not surprised that there are no European competitors considering Visa has the highly profitable U.S. market to buoy their position in Europe.

starspangled

4 hours ago

Over $200 billion revenue though, almost 2%. Does seem like a lot.

kristofferR

4 hours ago

A lot of their fees are redistributed from the poor who struggle with credit card debt to the well off who play the credit card points/rewards game.

KingMachiavelli

21 minutes ago

The actual lender for a CC is not Visa, it's the associated bank that's backing the CC. So the redistribution of wealth is occurring on the banks books not Visa's.

ensignavenger

7 hours ago

There is no reason why a bank couldn't allow customers to use FedNow to access a revolving credit line.

KingMachiavelli

17 minutes ago

Sure but AFAIK FedNow is not going to hold funds or authority to payback or revert "fraudulent" transactions?

If I lend out $X dollars but my client says the loan was accessed fraudulently then who pays for this loss? The bank, the payment processor (FedNow/Visa), the customer, or the vendor?

lxgr

5 hours ago

The funding method (credit or debit) is in theory completely orthogonal to the dispute settlement mechanism and legal liability provisions of a given payment method.

One exception is that for debit, you're possibly out the money until the dispute is settled; one mechanism to avoid that would be a regular overdraft facility (in the European sense, i.e. with a listed interchange fee and not a fine-like flat fee like in the US) for credit-worthy account holders, and a refund of all interest incurred due to eventually successfully charged back payments.

ThunderSizzle

3 hours ago

I'm not charged interest on chargebsck balances that are ruled against me right now on my credit cards. You seem to be proposing that I would now need to pay interest on chargeback balances, and if I win, then it's waived?

That seems like a lot of risk for me, if I happen to lose a chargeback for some reason.

poincaredisk

3 hours ago

>With debit card (...), you don't have dispute protections.

In Europe you do. There's no reason this can't be the case in the US too.

kelnos

2 hours ago

We do in the US, too. GP is misinformed.

What is correct, though, is that while you wait for a credit card dispute process to be resolved, you have not spent any money, and still have that money in your bank account. But if you want to dispute a debit card charge, that money is gone until the dispute is (hopefully) resolved in your favor.

The only way to regulate that problem away is to require debit-card-issuing banks to preemptively return the money to an account immediately after the account holder disputes a charge, which... I dunno, maybe that's not a terrible idea. Or maybe it is.

ponty_rick

7 hours ago

UPI requires a one time password sent to your phone to work (via an app or text message, app being obviously more secure). Now, if you lose both your phone and your card, you would need to apply for a new card - hopefully your phone is password protected.

pjmlp

6 hours ago

I always use my card properly charged, the only reason to still use a credit card in Europe is for car rentals.

xyst

2 hours ago

Will take years for banks to adopt FedNow. Regional banks and credit unions probably a decade out. Then another cycle of adoption by merchants and buyers (4-5 yrs).

alemanek

8 hours ago

Pretty much all of South America has some version of this as well. Colombia has “transferencia” which is awesome and even as a foreigner I could pay someone using cash at an ATM machine.

evilfred

8 hours ago

FedNow is for institutions not individuals

mmooss

8 hours ago

Can ordinary people use FedNow right now? How?

nobody9999

8 hours ago

>Can ordinary people use FedNow right now? How?

IIUC, your (and the counterparty's) financial institutions will need to participate[0] in the FedNow program.

My bank (one of the big ones) does not participate. Which isn't too surprising as they issue lots of credit and debit cards, with which FedNow directly competes.

Hopefully, one of these days FedNow will be ubiquitous. While I'm not holding my breath, I'm also optimistic that it can and will work.

[0] https://www.frbservices.org/financial-services/fednow/organi...

financetechbro

8 hours ago

You would need to go through a participating bank or fintech

brookst

8 hours ago

> without a credit card company in the middle extracting rents.

This is way too reductive. In the US, credit cards are complicated. For instance, I get about 2.5% of every purchase back, either in cash or kind. Yes, the merchant pays 4%, and VISA/matercard take a bit, and my issuing bank takes a bit, but calling that "extracting rents" feels like pure rhetoric.

FedNow is awesome and will make the market more efficient, but merchants aren't going to lower prices due to lower fees, especially while there's a mix of fee-less transactions and credit card transactions. At least in the short term, adopting FedNow is just giving money to the places you buy from (for retail transactions).

jessriedel

8 hours ago

That you are getting a kickback does not mean they aren’t extracting monopoly rent. The rents, and your kickback, is in fact supported by slightly higher prices, which for you will roughly cancel out, but which are paid in full by people not using credit cards.

One can certainly argue that this system is net positive due, e.g., to greater credit availability for people who need it, chargeback discipline, etc. It’s a very complicated system that impacts a bunch of stuff. But it being merely a ~3% surcharge (on most retail transactions nationwide!) does not deflect the monopoly charge.

nixosbestos

7 hours ago

> but calling that "extracting rents" feels like pure rhetoric.

How? Because you just spelled out oligopolistic rent seeking behavior to a T...?

Oh but you like it because you get a kickback. Jeez. Credit cards are literally a tax on the poor but people don't want to hear that. Don't get me wrong, I use the hell out of my credit card, and feel guilty knowing that system specifically means less well off folks are paying higher prices to subsidize card usage.

brookst

7 hours ago

That was kind of a whirlwind. You seem to be saying 1) "rent seeking" is specifically about passing savings on to third parties, 2) credit cards are bad because they're a tax on the poor, 3) you use them because (like me) you are incentivized to, but 4) you "feel bad".

I don't think I can unpack all of the social good / feel bad stuff, but there is no way credit cards are the definition of "rent seeking" unless we combine the HN dogma that "rent seeking = bad" and your opinion that "credit cards = bad" to get "credit cards = rent seeking". Which I don't buy.

Loughla

7 hours ago

I see you edited your comment.

How is credit a tax on the poor? My very poor family members all are able to access credit cards. They have lower limits, and higher interest because of their credit scores. But they can use them exactly how I do for gas and groceries.

How?

blharr

7 hours ago

Because when you have decent savings. It's easy to never pay a credit card late fee in your life.

When you are living paycheck to paycheck, it's a lot harder to avoid going over. Then, even a small amount over can incur late fees, and if you can't pay it off for even a month, it results in a decent amount of interest.

roenxi

6 hours ago

I don't think that is getting at the main confusion. It is pretty clear how, if someone can't pay their debt back, they're worse off. The confusion is that a credit card is a short-term smoothing tool. The point is to let merchants assume customers are good for it instead of going through the whole process of checking with a specific bank or expecting people to carry physical proof that they have the money. Using a card can't get someone ahead, the bank is expecting to charge the customers more than they give them.

So why is it necessary for these people to be using a credit card if they can't pay it back? Especially if they have an average income that is sufficient to cover their lifestyle. If they're going to be strictly worse off after engaging with a system, why are they engaging with it?

poincaredisk

3 hours ago

>The point is to let merchants assume customers are good for it instead of going through the whole process of checking with a specific bank or expecting people to carry physical proof that they have the money

I lost you there a bit. Why can't debit card serve the same purpose?

roenxi

an hour ago

It can and does in my experience. I suppose my question is me basically asking for a reminder of why rational poor people are using credit cards. I've always assumed they were a tax on people with no impulse control and/or poor mathematical understanding.

It is easy to see how someone with no money would take out a loan via a credit card and be unable to pay it back at all. But if they can pay it back, then outside of very rare instances why can't they arrange their affairs so they have the equivalent amount of savings up front? Their income is at least equal to their expenses on average in the short term, they can't be using credits cards to cover long-term imbalances because the interest is too punishing. If their expenses are experiencing variances then there must be opportunities to put aside an emergency fund.

I don't see how the math checks out that they need and can afford a credit card if they can afford to pay some sort of "poor tax". If you can afford the extra cost of credit card interest, you can afford not to have one. Otherwise where are the bank's profits going to come from?

yunwal

7 hours ago

Do they get 4% back on dining? Do they take advantage of the 3x rewards on flights and hotels?

Every advantage of credit cards is designed to attract credit-rich customers and ward off liabilities.

BeetleB

7 hours ago

> This is way too reductive. In the US, credit cards are complicated. For instance, I get about 2.5% of every purchase back, either in cash or kind. Yes, the merchant pays 4%, and VISA/matercard take a bit, and my issuing bank takes a bit, but calling that "extracting rents" feels like pure rhetoric.

You just described "extracting rents".

For people like me who treat a credit card as a debit card, I see no reason for vendors to pay that "tax" if there are almost free alternatives. I'm ok losing the cashback which you and I are paying for anyway.

ac29

4 hours ago

>For people like me who treat a credit card as a debit card

What do you mean here? Do you mean you overpay your credit card so there is always a negative balance?

Or, do you mean you treat your credit card like a charge card, and pay it off every month?

BeetleB

an hour ago

The latter.

As in, I don't actually need credit that lasts longer than a month.

frumper

7 hours ago

Almost no retailers offer a discount for using cash or a debit card. You're paying the retailer either way. Whether they pay a transaction fee or pocket it isn't much of a difference to you.

cubefox

5 hours ago

Retailers compete with each other. In the long run, credit card fees will lead to higher prices, and (basically non-existent) FedNow fees to lower prices.

frumper

2 hours ago

I don’t disagree, but I also don’t trust that retailers will pass on the savings. Many higher priced items sell based on MSRP anyway.

BeetleB

5 hours ago

Isn't that the point of the lawsuit - that because they have a monopoly there's a floor on the price that consumers see?

wlesieutre

8 hours ago

And anyone that ever uses cash for anything is overpaying, because prices everywhere have been jacked up to include headroom for "give back 2.5% as credit card rewards"

sandmn

6 hours ago

Processing cash might cost retailers even more than cards (miscalculations, keeping change, counterfeit bills, cash collection every day) unless it allows them to evade taxes.

Bognar

6 hours ago

Unless there were some sort of government-provided zero fee digital system for money transfer. Oh well, surely such a thing will never exist.

sandmn

6 hours ago

Not sure if people who prefer to use cash will consider that an adequate substitute.

AngryData

7 hours ago

Well for corporate stores yes. Still a good number of rural area small businesses that give a discount for cash, or only accept cash.

lxgr

4 hours ago

> [...] 2.5% of every purchase back, either in cash or kind. Yes, the merchant pays 4% [...]

Who doesn't love a good negative-sum game!

withinboredom

6 hours ago

You should look up railroad vouchers and why they became illegal. This is basically the same shit, different century.

pbreit

5 hours ago

FedNow will not become an alternative to consumer payment cards anytime soon, if ever. Visa & Mastercard work very well for payments between strangers.

lxgr

4 hours ago

It's not a complete payment scheme by itself, as it's missing dispute resolution (a prerequirement for payments between strangers).

But who says that the same party has to offer payment rails and dispute protection? There are successful models of the two being decoupled in some markets (e.g. various providers offering fraud/chargeback insurance on top of SEPA Direct Debit in Europe).

wslh

8 hours ago

Pix [1] is super successful in Brazil though.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pix_(payment_system)?wprov=sft...

drawnwren

8 hours ago

Pix is so prevalent in Brazil that it's quite inconvenient to do even simple transactions there without the requisite ID because they expect everyone to just have it.

cubefox

7 hours ago

I think you mean "also", not "though". (UPI in India was just one example.)

vouaobrasil

3 hours ago

Yeah, one of the few things that Brazil has over North America is Pix.

inkyoto

6 hours ago

The lawsuit is not about credit cards or instant electronic fund transfers.

Visa (and MasterCard as well) have colluded with banks in multiple countries (not just in the US) to eradicate national debit card payment networks that cost consumers either $0 or a very small flat fee per a transaction (e.g. $0.10) and replace them with their own branded debit cards that attract fees for the consumer, for the merchant and generate revenue for the payment network. The revenue is tiered (e.g. premium debit cards attract higher interchange fees that go directly to Visa/MC), hence the proliferation of Platinum debit cards. And consumers are now left with debit card transaction surcharges that have been passed on to them whereas Visa is profiteering from every single party involved in the end to end payment processing.

National debit card payment networks are now dead, courtesy of Visa/MC.

eweise

6 hours ago

Most banks just receive, not send via fednow so not possible to use right now.

hnburnsy

9 hours ago

It looks like Visa debit fees are about $0.21 + 0.05%. Compare that to cash handling...

>The idea that accepting cash is cheap is actually a myth. While some business owners might think the 3 percent fee for processing credit cards is a burden, research from IHL Group shows that cash handling costs many retailers between 4.7 and 15.3 percent. This means for every $100 sale, a business is paying between $4.70 and $15.30 just to manage their cash. And, the cost is only increasing as more businesses and consumers trend away from cash.

>Handling cash also comes with many unwanted risks. The process business owners must go through to manage cash is a clear burden. They have to account for it; count the drawer nightly and rely on employees to use the honor system when doing so; package it up and either hire a courier or send an employee to transport it to a bank; pay fees for processing and handling; and ultimately run the risk of exposing the employee, cash, and the business to liabilities that may not be recoverable.

https://www.plainscapital.com/blog/the-cost-of-accepting-cas...

lolinder

9 hours ago

The DOJ explicitly isn't comparing using Visa to handling cash, they're comparing it to what it would cost if Visa didn't allegedly manipulate the market.

Buying from Standard Oil was more efficient than trying to stick with non-oil-based alternatives, but that doesn't mean that Standard Oil didn't illegally manipulate the market to maintain a monopoly that hurt consumers.

legitster

9 hours ago

> Standard Oil didn't illegally manipulate the market

FYI, Standard Oil was never actually charged with market manipulation. The court determined that all of their acquisitions were legal, but that it was within the scope of the Sherman Antitrust Act to break them up just by virtue of their market power.

hnburnsy

9 hours ago

Agreed, just adding it as a data point to those who think cash is a solution.

I looked through the lawsuit and this is about stifling alternative payment methods.

KennyBlanken

7 hours ago

Nobody is suggesting cash as a "solution" except you.

The issue isn't the solution, the issue is the staggering cost of the service in the US vs everywhere else. It's 2x higher in the US, for no good reason other than having a monopoly. In Europe near-instant wiring of money is trivial so for large purchases, businesses can just accept a transfer - so MC/Visa have competition there.

Here, wire transfers are a royal pain in the ass, slow, and expensive, so there's no competition. Zelle and others are slowly changing that, but they mostly compete against paypal for p2p payments, not b2c etc.

hnburnsy

2 hours ago

Comments from this discussion...

>Visa charges 3%. Everything you buy could be 3% cheaper, that's better than cash back.

>And anyone that ever uses cash for anything is overpaying, because prices everywhere have been jacked up to include headroom for "give back 2.5% as credit card rewards"

>For people like me who treat a credit card as a debit card, I see no reason for vendors to pay that "tax" if there are almost free alternatives.

rtpg

4 hours ago

I mean in Europe they also have credit card payments, the rates are just pushed down. Yeah it means Europe doesn't get the cool rewards.

There doesn't need to be a magical new business here. Some numbers changing can resolve a lot of pressure.

kelnos

2 hours ago

> ... shows that cash handling costs many retailers between 4.7 and 15.3 percent.

This feels like a weaselly way of putting it. I want to know the average (or median) cost of cash handling, not what it costs for "many" (whatever that means) retailers. It could be that the 15.3% figure represents costs that 0.01% of retailers have to bear, and that 4.7% is for 10% of retailers. And it could be that 90% of retailers spend less than credit card fees managing cash.

Or they could mean what you want them to mean, and it really is more expensive than credit card fees for the median business to manage cash. But from their wording, it's hard to know the truth behind it.

Sniff-test-wise, I find it hard to believe that gas stations (and other retailers) would offer a cash discount if cash was actually more expensive for them to handle than credit cards. It seems unlikely that they wouldn't have come up with that without at least some research to quantify their cash-handling costs.

Reubend

an hour ago

> Sniff-test-wise, I find it hard to believe that gas stations (and other retailers) would offer a cash discount if cash was actually more expensive for them to handle than credit cards. It seems unlikely that they wouldn't have come up with that without at least some research to quantify their cash-handling costs.

Well said. I totally agree, and I can't imagine any basis in reality for cash handling costing retailers 4.7% (much less 15.3%). Sure, cashiers need to handle change, but that's not a big cost compared to turnover for most businesses.

devilbunny

8 hours ago

Relatedly, I know of an excellent local bakery that only takes cash or check. A regular birthday cake of generous-but-not-huge size is around $60, and it's worth it.

But when you go in to pay, the price after sales tax ends up being something like $57.63 (or whatever, you get the idea). So for checks, not an issue, but for cash... they now have to keep loads of coins on hand, lots of small bills, and presumably reload those often.

Either raise or lower your price. Someone buying a $57.63 cake isn't going to balk at paying an extra $2.37. And if you make it $60 even, after tax, you don't have to keep anything but $10 and $20 bills in stock for your best-selling cake, because you'll get a mix of bills in, but the only way you give change will be from a $100 bill (2 x $20) or a $50 and a $20 (1 x $10). You will still get other bills in sometimes, and some coins, and of course they do sell other sizes (but they don't do a lot of small-scale things like cupcakes). Most sales require an order in advance.

Just cutting down on all that cash handling would be advantageous (and that's why one of the owners is always at the register).

greiskul

7 hours ago

The reason cash sucks like this on the US is because of the tradition it has of listing prices before taxes. In countries that list prices after taxes, the cake would be priced in a way so that the final number would be something round like 60. (Although they would likely do 59.99 or 59.95).

psyklic

7 hours ago

Merchants are able to price things to result in exact numbers, and some do especially if they sell individual items.

However, many customers (1) throw odd change in the tip jar, and (2) an exact amount might discourage add-on purchases.

In this case, an exact amount would certainly result in zero tips. The customer would need appropriate bills and wonder how much would be appropriate (since 15% of $60 is too much).

devilbunny

6 hours ago

They do almost no ready-to-buy business; if you didn’t order it, it’s probably not going to be there. And few people are going to buy multiple cakes at once. And they don’t have a tip jar. Order cake three days ahead, walk in, pay for cake, leave.

So it very much fits the mold of “95% of sales are single items”.

devilbunny

7 hours ago

It’s not hard to set the price so that, after tax, it’s exactly $60. It’s a local shop. They aren’t dealing with a bunch of locations or planning to move any time soon. They are good enough that you will seek them out in their low-rent back-street suburban mini-strip-mall. They don’t rely on walk-ins or visibility to sell. You will drive there just to eat their cake, and they are well-known enough that they do most of the high-end cakes in town for weddings and the like.

So instead of advertising a $55 cake that sells for $57.62 or whatever, advertise a $57.33 cake that sells for exactly $60.

xethos

5 hours ago

At that point, yell fuck it and advertise a $60 cake with a decent sized font to say "Including all applicable taxes and fees"

Hell, people might actually tell others how it ended up being the exact price on the sign

OptionOfT

7 hours ago

I am from a country where there are 2 economies. One above water and one below.

Cash allows you to hide revenue. You do not forward the sales tax / VAT of the item you sold, and you don't declare the revenue of the cake.

Added to that you need the cash to pay your suppliers, as they need cash to pay their employees partially in cash, as employment taxes are sky high.

devilbunny

6 hours ago

Oh, absolutely that happens here too. But why would you want a bunch of heavy coins when you could make them no longer relevant? Paper money is much more compact.

objclxt

8 hours ago

> It looks like Visa debit fees are about $0.21 + 0.05%. Compare that to cash handling...

Debit fees are that low because of the Durbin Amendment, which legislated caps on debit card fees (amongst other things). Credit card fees are where the real money is made, and the meat of the complaint here.

jonwachob91

7 hours ago

>>> Credit card fees are where the real money is made, and the meat of the complaint here.

From the DOJ Press Release [0]:

"Justice Department Sues Visa for Monopolizing Debit Markets"

"Filed in the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, the complaint alleges that Visa illegally maintains a monopoly over debit network markets by using its dominance to thwart the growth of its existing competitors and prevent others from developing new and innovative alternatives."

0 mentions of the word "credit" 27 mentions of the word "debit"

I'd love for this lawsuit to be about Credit Card fees, but it appears be limited in scope to debit card fees.

[0]: https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-visa-...

Dylan16807

9 hours ago

> This means for every $100 sale, a business is paying between $4.70 and $15.30 just to manage their cash.

I'm pretty skeptical of that number, but more importantly

> And, the cost is only increasing as more businesses and consumers trend away from cash.

That should be excluded here. We want to look at the baseline cost of cash as a major payment method, not the effects of a payment method becoming overly niche.

psyklic

7 hours ago

Additionally with cash, people often just don't buy things. If they're running low of cash on-person, don't want to lose a certain type of bill (e.g. for the bus/tips), or simply don't want to carry coins.

CryptoBanker

7 hours ago

That only makes sense if cash is the only form of payment a business accepts

psyklic

7 hours ago

True, but if they accept credit cards then customers will rarely pay with cash. We assumed here cash is a major transaction method, since otherwise their cash management costs are minimal.

sunshowers

9 hours ago

Well, the comparison is not cash but a counterfactual market that's more competitive and where fees are lower.

lxgr

9 hours ago

That's the interchange (i.e. what the issuing bank earns), not Visa's fees.

Visa charges both the acquiring and the issuing bank on top of that; that's then called "scheme fees".

The issuers pays these out of the interchange; the acquirer charges the merchant for them, so they end up paying a bit more than the figure you've quoted.

alexjplant

5 hours ago

>The idea that accepting cash is cheap is actually a myth. While some business owners might think the 3 percent fee for processing credit cards is a burden, research from IHL Group shows that cash handling costs many retailers between 4.7 and 15.3 percent.

How cute. The value proposition of accepting cash isn't to save on transaction fees, it's to save on Uncle Sam's fees. Cash doesn't have to go into a register and get Z'd at the end of the day (or have a Quicken invoice to go with it, depending upon the type of business). Although I neither condone, participate in, or tolerate tax fraud, it's absolutely a thing, and their failure to mention it doesn't inspire confidence in their conclusions.

makeitdouble

4 hours ago

That's a thing only if you don't emit receipts or use a modern POS system. In particular it would happen in flee markets or in old shops that only keep a very forgiving paper trail.

But otherwise your POS won't let you get away with that, and your customers will usually be grossed if you're handing them goods for cash without any receipts. Food business could be the last bastion where it would somewhat work on a regular basis IMHO.

axus

9 hours ago

The cost of handling cards is more than the fees, obviously the machinery and network needed to use them costs something. It's always going to beat cash, but cash should always be available as a fallback for disaster situations and "off-grid" individuals.

I don't think government should be setting prices. But disrupting monopolies is one of those things governments are good for.

yxhuvud

9 hours ago

The question is not how much better it is to pay by debit card than cash, but how high the margins are compared to the costs. If the margins are high there may be possible to improve the competition of the market.

chaostheory

9 hours ago

One big reason that it’s still favored is because it allows some tax evasion

Natsu

7 hours ago

I don't think that a lot of people realize that this is why cashback exists, to get physical cash out of the drawers and electronic cash into the retailer's account where they can spend it.

mihaic

6 hours ago

The US payments market is a symphony of abusive practices that gouge everyone. Besides Visa and Mastercard, you have the chargeback cards that basically make things cheaper for the rich. Merchants have even figured out how to get in on the action by creating non-fungible money called "gift-cards". And all that on top of random people telling stories of how their merchant account was shut down suddenly and without appeal.

But, God forbid that the government build any infrastructure for the economy's main highway, and crypto is the only alternative possible.

danielmarkbruce

5 hours ago

Ever heard of FedNow? Payments is going to change here soon enough. If you've ever paid a merchant with Zelle, imagine a better system than that which everyone can use. Instant push payments.

chemmail

7 hours ago

This sounds good, but i can't help but feel is Visa is brought down, we will have a hundred hydra heads feed on us instead.

molave

6 hours ago

It should be treated as a natural monopoly (i.e. digital utility) along with all that it entails.

danielmarkbruce

5 hours ago

Like what? Price setting? Visa pricing is tiny.

kelnos

39 minutes ago

In Europe, sure. In the US, not so much. Unless you want to make the argument that the fees charged in the US are effectively subsidizing European cardholders and merchants who enjoy a legally-mandated lower fee, Visa seems feel the European market is worth it even with their lower profit margins.

And even if you did want to make that argument, I'm not sure I care to subsidize Visa's profit margins in other places; capping fees in the US to a similar level as in Europe would be fine with me.

(Except maybe not really: I do very well with rewards from credit cards. Mandated lower fees would make those disappear overnight. Of course I can't prove that I wouldn't still be saving more money with mandated lower fees, though. But I think the average person would probably save with capped fees, and that's what's most important from a policy perspective.)

(Of course this presupposes that merchants set prices in order to pass along CC fees to the customer, rather than just charging whatever highest price the market will bear. If CC fees get reduced, prices might stay the same.)

sunflowerfly

10 hours ago

Every terminal should be required to run any legitimate card on its own network.

YawningAngel

8 hours ago

You can't process a Mastercard transaction over Visanet even if you wanted to: * The network won't know who to route the BIN range to * Even if it did, they may not be connected * Visa and Mastercard, although very similar, put different pieces of data in different places and have different business rules, so you're not necessarily going to have the information you need to process a transaction where you expect to find it nor is your processing of that transaction necessarily acceptable to Visanet. * Visa doesn't know Mastercard's PEK, so they cannot encrypt the PIN as the issuer would expect it even if they wanted to * The EMV crypto might not work, although I'm not sure

These are just the problems that occur to me off the top of my head. They are solveable, but it would require a decade-long regulatory commitment with serious weight behind it.

s1artibartfast

9 hours ago

Why? If I want to make a terminal, why should that be illegal.

What regulators should really focus on in my opinion is any uncompetitive contractual obligations visa is imposing on vendors.

zug_zug

8 hours ago

Because interoperability is key to competition...?

Imagine a universe where different hardware doesn't interoperate (e.g. androids can't call iphones, Macs can't use google.com, ChatGPT is only accessible to Comcast subscribers) I hope we can all agree it's a nightmare scenario. Sometimes the free market gets it right without intervention, sadly sometimes it does not.

cmeacham98

8 hours ago

> androids can't call iphones

Oh, you mean like how iOS has a private text chat system Androids can't access, and they're only kinda partially giving access to some of the features a decade later? Wouldn't that be crazy.

s1artibartfast

8 hours ago

I can imagine a universe where payment systems selectively interoperate. It is pretty common now. tells can have multiple pieces of hardware.

matwood

8 hours ago

> androids can't call iPhones

Nextel had exactly this with the walkie talkie feature and the market sorted it out.

throwway120385

8 hours ago

They do, sort of. What happens IME is that the terminal is linked to a gateway, and then the gateway links to a processor, and then the processor contacts the issuer through the payment network. Most gateways can contact many processors, and many processors can contact any issuer through several payment networks.

What seems to be happening is that the payment networks are making exclusive deals with big issuers like banks and these deals are allowing specific payment networks to have a lot of pricing power with merchants, who have to pay a fee to everyone involved in the transaction(gateway, processor, etc).

MBCook

9 hours ago

Or we could, you know, just have a reasonable government option. Like ACH for debit cards.

This seems like a perfect opportunity for a common good. Something to make transactions easier and cheaper and help keep the economy running.

But that would be big-government-communism-anti-jobs-whatever-people-are-mad-at. So that’s not how we do it.

We’re getting FedNow (eventually). Seems like you could built a debit card processor on top of that.

You may still need Visa/MC/whatever for international customers to use debit. But American has a lot of Americans doing debit from American bank accounts.

JumpCrisscross

9 hours ago

> We’re getting FedNow (eventually)

It’s technically live [1].

[1] https://www.frbservices.org/financial-services/fednow/organi...

MBCook

8 hours ago

Right, I knew it had launched in the last few months. But most people don’t have it yet. None of the big banks are on that list.

It’ll just take time.

JumpCrisscross

4 hours ago

There is probably some backroom dealing regarding the future of TCH's RTP rails [1].

[1] https://www.theclearinghouse.org/payment-systems/rtp

MBCook

4 hours ago

I’m gonna be honest I’m a little worried that FedNow is too little too late. If it’s never widely deployed, people won’t know it exists and ask for it.

And that means the banks can continue to push their Venmo competitor Zelle. And I’m guessing they somehow make more money that way. Or maybe push people to their 1st Local Town Visa credit card offer, now with 0.05% cash back!

JumpCrisscross

an hour ago

> that means the banks can continue to push their Venmo competitor Zelle. And I’m guessing they somehow make more money that way

The cost to send a request for payment is 10x on RTP what it is on FedNow [1].

Both of those are real-time settled, i.e. when you send a money from your bank, your bank no longer has the money the moment you send it. Zelle, on the other hand, isn't a payment rail--it settles over ACH [2]. The receiving bank may credit their customer as a courtesy. But the originating bank gets to hold onto the money and earn interest off it. (Technically, the receiving bank is paying interest on the credited funds. But that's why the credits are capped well below ACH's limits.)

At the end of the day, for FedNow to succeed it has to be a win for consumers. As in, would you change banks to get access to FedNow? (My bank doesn't support Zelle, for example.)

[1] https://www.crossriver.com/insights/comparing-rtp-and-fednow

[2] https://www.paymentsjournal.com/the-clearing-house-and-early...

kibibyte

an hour ago

I think you missed the Excel spreadsheet in the parent's link. Chase (under JPMORGAN CHASE BANK) and Wells Fargo are on that list.

Interestingly, the other 2 big banks—Citigroup and Bank of America—are missing. They both do support RTP though (which apparently is a different network operated by the same entity that backs ACH). Unsure if RTP is meant to compete with FedNow.

chinathrow

10 hours ago

And every transaction should have a fixed cost, no matter what the amount is.

milesskorpen

10 hours ago

Risk & value scale with transaction size

yxhuvud

9 hours ago

And with account type.

SpicyLemonZest

9 hours ago

I feel like this article is leaving out the important parts. You'd think from the text that it's purely a price thing, where DOJ has some subjective idea of what a transaction ought to cost and are mad that Visa charges too much. The actual complaint and the DOJ statement on it both make it clear that the real problem is specific steps Visa has allegedly taken to stop people from competing with them.

bryanrasmussen

9 hours ago

I mean that is what I would assume (specific steps allegedly taken) given the title has the word "monopoly" in it.

JumpCrisscross

9 hours ago

> what I would assume (specific steps allegedly taken) given the title has the word "monopoly"

That’s a bad assumption. Being a monopoly isn’t illegal. You have to also behave anti-competitively.

tbrownaw

6 hours ago

> Being a monopoly isn’t illegal. You have to also behave anti-competitively.

Which is why it's reasonable to some that someone getting in trouble for "being a monopoly" is actually getting in trouble for some specific actions they took.

bryanrasmussen

an hour ago

right, hence the "specific steps taken", and actually when in the history of the world has a monopoly existed that has not taken anti-competitive actions?

People having monopolies have a strong urge to maintain them, the means to do so, and not doing so might actually require lots of thinking and trying to walk a very thin, straight line.

on edit: ok it seems this post mentions a monopoly that takes no anti-competitive steps, which is a company I've never heard of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41642040 but if they have 100% of the market I guess there's no reason for them to be anti-competitive, that kind of thing comes when you have 80% of the market but it's threatened (guesstimate)

vdfs

8 hours ago

If you are not anti-competitive you won't be a monopoly.

"I didn't get rich by writing a lot of checks" -- Bill Gates

soperj

8 hours ago

That's a quote from the character Bill Gates in the Simpsons, not actually Bill Gates. A true quote from Bill would likely be much worse.

SpicyLemonZest

6 hours ago

Sure you do. ASML has a famous 100% monopoly on advanced photolithography machines, but I've never heard anyone accuse them of anticompetitive behavior - there's just nobody else who knows how to make them so well. I guess it's not how Visa works though.

dotnet00

8 hours ago

I've been waiting for this for a while, this has been pretty blatant for a while now.

Credit card processors end up having unjust influence over every business that has a significant online component, and the processors don't hold back from using that influence to force the hand of many businesses that aren't big enough to fight back. They simply threaten to block the business for having X objectionable but legal content.

killjoywashere

7 hours ago

My wife runs her own occupational therapy business (OT is consistently assessed to be one of the jobs least likely to ever be automated). Credit card processors still rule her life.

loeg

8 hours ago

This article seems to specifically be talking about debit transactions, rather than credit cards (unless I misunderstand it).

dotnet00

7 hours ago

I tend to use the two interchangeably, since most websites don't really differentiate between them on the user-facing side.

killjoywashere

7 hours ago

Uh, who do I use if not Visa (1.15 to 2.4%) or Mastercard (1.15 to 2.5%)? Square (2.6 to 2.9%)? AMEX (up to 3.3%)? Paypal (3 to 3.5%)?

m463

7 hours ago

It is more the others that don't exist.

visa was able to "impose a web of exclusionary agreements on merchants and banks. These agreements penalize Visa’s customers who route transactions to a different debit network or alternative payment system."

Cclayt1123

8 hours ago

It's easy to forget the long-term economic damage monopolies can cause... but hey, this might be the perfect time for the new open-source payment rails to rev up new, real competition.

RecycledEle

4 hours ago

The only thing worse than a VISA monopoly is a government monopoly.

BadHumans

9 hours ago

I think it is great that the DOJ is finally interested in breaking monopolies but unfortunately a lot of these cases are going to be pending the election. Depending on who wins there is a high chance we see all antitrust action die.

And let me be very blunt so people aren't confused, I think if Trump wins, the people he installs in the DOJ will be less than motivated in pursuing these cases.

throwway120385

8 hours ago

It's not just the political appointees. One pillar of Project 2025 is that OMB will make a rule by which almost any employee of any executive agency can be ruled a "political appointee" and fired and replaced by the president at any time.

refurb

6 hours ago

Aren’t the regulatory agencies all under the executive function? Isn’t the President the head of the executive?

That seems entirely reasonable.

I find it interesting that HN posts so many article about how the intelligence agencies are “loose canons”. A big part of that are the tens of thousands of employees that never change when the President does.

Seems like a great idea that a new President could clean house.

carlosjobim

5 hours ago

High ranking officials of the executive government should be in office until the next election and only if the next president also wants them should they get their job back. These people have a lot of power and voters should have power over them in turn.

sapphicsnail

9 hours ago

I think this could happen even if Harris wins. There are a lot of big donors to her campaign that want Lina Khan out.

alaxhn

9 hours ago

I'm not completely convinced Lina Khan would be out if Trump wins. JD Vance has mentioned support for her by name on several occasions.

JumpCrisscross

9 hours ago

> JD Vance has mentioned support for her by name on several occasions

JD Vance has approximately as much policy control in a Trump administration as Kamala Harris would.

skissane

7 hours ago

> JD Vance has approximately as much policy control in a Trump administration as Kamala Harris would.

VPs don’t have “policy control” but they do have access to the President and the opportunity to influence them. If Trump wins, Vance will be meeting with Trump regularly, and have the opportunity to try to talk Trump into things - I doubt Vance will always succeed, but he probably will sometimes. Whereas a defeated Harris won’t be meeting Trump regularly and so will lack the same opportunity.

JumpCrisscross

6 hours ago

> Vance will be meeting with Trump regularly

This varies from administration to administration. On the economic portfolio, there is zero indication Vance has remit. (From what I can tell, zero involvement in cabinet decisions, for example.)

skissane

6 hours ago

> From what I can tell, zero involvement in cabinet decisions, for example.

The VP is ex officio a member of the Cabinet of the United States, as as such is involved in "cabinet decisions". (Strictly speaking the US Cabinet, unlike the Cabinet in Commonwealth countries, doesn't actually make decisions, it just recommends decisions to the President, who can either accept the Cabinet's recommendation or choose to overrule it.)

While originally the US Cabinet did not include the VP – George Washington was under the belief the VP was a member of the legislative rather than executive branch, due to the VP's role as President of the Senate, and as such did not belong in the Cabinet, hence he excluded John Adams – by the 20th century it became standard practice for VPs to be included in the Cabinet. Every Cabinet in recent decades has included the VP. Pence as VP was part of Trump's Cabinet, just as Harris as VP is a member of Biden's.

Now, the Cabinet is just a tradition, it is not established or required by law or the Constitution – so any President could at any time abolish it, or alter its membership. If Trump wins, there would be nothing legally stopping him from breaking with tradition and excluding Vance from his Cabinet. But I'm not aware of any concrete evidence suggesting Trump will actually do that.

The VP has a high level of access to the President, independently from being the most senior member of Cabinet (the President is not technically a member). Of course, the VP doesn't have the legal right to meet with the President, so if a President comes to dislike a VP, they have the right to freeze the VP out and refuse to meet with them. But again, no reason at present to suspect Trump would do that to Vance if Trump wins. On the contrary, Trump (not without reason) views Vance as a "mini-me", and as such may be more likely to listen to him than to other potential advisors. Many critics accuse Vance of sycophancy, but for Trump that's less a criticism and more of a positive.

JumpCrisscross

4 hours ago

> VP is ex officio a member of the Cabinet of the United States, as as such is involved in "cabinet decisions"

Sorry, I meant agency appointments. Not cabinet decisions. That game is in its last inning right now with both campaigns. From what I know, Vance has not been consulted on economic considerations outside crypto.

Sysreq2

8 hours ago

I don’t think the modern Democratic Party the same pro-worker, anti-corporate greed version a lot of us grew up with. Don’t take this as an endorsement for Trump mind you. Hardly. Democrats still have basic human rights on their side.

Corporate greed and military spending aren’t up for debate though. We can bicker about guns and immigration policy all we want but some topics aren’t even on the table for discussion.

BadHumans

8 hours ago

To a degree you are right, but fully agreeing with this is ignoring reality given the thread we are commenting in. There has been more antitrust legislation under the current administration than there has been in a decade so while they aren't the Dems of old, I feel we are heading in a good direction.

throwway120385

8 hours ago

There are several different caucuses within the Democratic Party. Some of them are the pro-corporate types you're referring to. But there is also a Progressive caucus that is pretty pro-worker pro-tax that I think you're missing out on.

Sysreq2

3 hours ago

So it’s funny you mention that. I actually think Marx made a fantastic critique of capitalism. He kind of nailed the inherent flaws within the system. I compare his solutions to someone predicting that every desk would eventually have a telegraph through. Identifying a problem doesn’t therefor imply a solution.

Regarding the modern Progressive movement though, I find them a bit too authoritarian for my tastes. There are countless examples but classic Western liberalism is at odds with their ideology. They’ve fallen into the classic revolutionary entrapment of their own power being tied with continued upheaval. If you are not with them completely then you are the enemy. From the Google Manifesto to JK Rowling’s cancelling, they remind me of the mob during the French Revolution. They just eat their own and refuse to accept any kind of meaningful critique.

Liberalism requires debate, disagreement and questioning the status quo. I don’t see that amongst the modern Progressives. They would rather burn it down than build something better.

Ironically, I fear them gaining power as much as I do the religious right. Neither contains the capacity for building the coalitions needed for stable governance. I like moderates. Stability. Peace. Compromise. Mutual Respect. Empathy. I just don’t see those values in those circles.

Now that I’ve politely disagreed, I suppose it’s just a matter of time before someone comes along to insult me and prove my point.

dwoldrich

5 hours ago

I disagree with you on the human rights thing, that is definitely on the table for discussion.

I connect the erosion of bodily autonomy in America to the Democratic mandates for health insurance purchase with Obamacare and then certainly the federal mandate for employees of large corporations to receive the experimental EUA Covid vaccine.

In the arena of basic human rights, any political party that demands I show my private medical information as proof of vaccination in order that I may continue to work in a 100% remote job has lost the thread and there's no way back to good graces.

The "my body my choice" and workers rights Democratic party locked me down on home detention as a non-essential worker for over a year and finally got me RIF'd from my fancy job because I refused to show my papers well after the crisis had ended. Would you call that fascism or authoritarianism?

And that erosion of bodily autonomy at the federal level led to the _easy_ overturning of Roe v Wade! At the time the federal vaccine mandates were announced, I called it that they were weakening Roe. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

The Democratic party needs to end and something new needs to grow to replace all the corruption. There's not one good policy for humanity coming from them and certainly far too much optional war and needless killing.

BadHumans

4 hours ago

> In the arena of basic human rights, any political party that demands I show my private medical information as proof of vaccination in order that I may continue to work in a 100% remote job has lost the thread and there's no way back to good graces.

There is no political party that demands this. I've worked 100% since the start of the pandemic and have only been asked for proof of vaccination for a company onsite. Never once been at threat of losing my remote job because of vaccination status. Sounds like your company was just looking for an excuse to lay people off.

> And that erosion of bodily autonomy at the federal level led to the _easy_ overturning of Roe v Wade! At the time the federal vaccine mandates were announced, I called it that they were weakening Roe. Play stupid games, win stupid prizes.

Really? You should've told the Supreme Court because they didn't mention vaccines at all in their decisions to overturn Roe v Wade.

> There's not one good policy for humanity coming from them and certainly far too much optional war and needless killing.

This is not even remotely true and is so emotionally charged that it is impossible to actually have a discussion. I much prefer their policies on public infrastructure, environment, and climate just to name a few.

jmyeet

9 hours ago

If you ever encounter someone who says that companies can't be policed or that government is ineffective, I want you to point them to the FTC.

For context, the current chair of the FTC is Lina Khan who is only 35 years old. She became famous while a student at Yale Law School for writing Amazon's Antitrust Paradox [1], which has come to revolutionize the thinking on antitrust.

A recent example is asthma inhalers. An asthma inhaler in the US costs ~$500. In France it's $7. Now we can't just import from overseas. That's illegal (because reasons). So how are generic inhalers blocked? By tricks to extend patents. In this case, the patent holder justifies a patent extension with a small piece of plastic on the cap so you don't lose it.

That's all capitalism does: it builds enclosures, on this case on "intellectual" property and by buying the government to create a monopoly by banning imports and banning Medicare from negotiating prices.

Just the threat of FTC action and a Senate investigation has created concessions by (so far) 3 of the 4 inhaler makers agreeing to cap inhaler costs at $35. From $500. With just a threat.

Companies are so concerned about this that big donors to the Harris campaign want Lina Khan fired [2] (she is, of course, history in the event of a Trump victory in November).

This should be a lesson in both the necessity of regulation and how easy it can be if you halfway try. The idea that the government is bloated and ineffective is propaganda by those who want to poison the water supply to make a slightly higher profit.

Personally, I want the FTC to go after national ISPs.

And I fully support investigation and regulation of the Visa payment network.

[1]: https://www.yalelawjournal.org/note/amazons-antitrust-parado...

[2]: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-06/kamala-ha...

DannyBee

6 hours ago

You are confusing the DOJ (here) and the FTC (lina).

Lina in fact, has repeatedly lost in court and is widely viewed, by both antitrust hawks and doves alike, as being remarkably ineffective.

You'd be very hard pressed to compare her record to any effective FTC chair (IE in reigning things in) and say "yeah she's doing great"

Instead, she's showboated and lost repeatedly, which has only emboldened most companies who feel that she is so inept that they having nothing to fear.

In fact, she's lost so much she has been getting asked if she's doing it on purpose to try to get more power (lol):

https://thehill.com/opinion/finance/4490640-internal-ftc-ema...

Career FTC employess, who (despite what HN may think) are very very good lawyers and very good at antitrust law, have no faith in her "honesty and integrity":

"The annual OPM poll of federal employees shows morale and respect for the “honesty and integrity” of FTC leadership plunging from the highest level among federal agencies to the lowest levels under Khan."

That's not really a great sign. The biggest win they've had is basically "A settlement that blocked anticompetitive harms of pharma giant Amgen’s $28bn acquisition drug maker Horizon"

In the same time period, they lost 6 much more major cases in a row (microsoft/activision, etc). That's unheard of.

If you want someone who cares about the press, and will file lawsuits at the drop of a hat, take Lina. If you want someone who is actually going to achieve meaningful change, she ain't your person. I'd rather have an FTC that anyone is actually afraid of.

danielmarkbruce

5 hours ago

It's hilarious what a clown show it's been with Lina Khan at the top of the FTC. .

JackFr

7 hours ago

So the patent system and medical device regulations that prevent imports, two things specifically controlled by the government, create a situation which allows the maker to charge a ridiculous price.

I would rather they reformed patents for pharma and medical devices, and fought regulatory capture more than intervening more.

Small government types are often caricatured as being blindly pro business, but they realize that every new regulation is a chance for regulatory capture and help businesses to build a moat.

madeofpalk

8 hours ago

> With just a threat.

This is actually the ideal state of regulators. That they take action against a select few, which in turn 'scares' everyone else into complying with the law. Self regulation is much better than actual regulation.

sangnoir

8 hours ago

> Self regulation is much better than actual regulation.

This not self-evident, and is very subjective.

Also, if regulator has to make san example of someone first before the rest fall into line, that is not self-regulation in my book, just plain regulation. Actual self-regulation ensures there are no triggers to activate governmental regulation.

jmyeet

7 hours ago

> Self regulation is much better than actual regulation.

There's absolutely no evidence of this and plenty of evidence to the contrary.

A great example that springs to mind is the Grenfell Tower fire [1]. Grenfell Tower is a council block in England. These were historically housing for poorer people and were typically built cheaply and badly in the postwar era.

So what happened? Some cladding was improperly applied to the building. That allowed a fire to spread. Often these blocks only have one stairwell. They're concrete buildings so generally fires are contained to a single unit. As such, the safety advice is, in case of a fire, to stay in place. The cladding fire was different because the fire rapidly spread ato

At the time of the fire, the UK government was moving towards self-regulation by the UK building industry. The Grenfell Tower fire kinda ruined that plan.

Self-regulation is no regulation. Deregulation is no regulation. Corporate shields limit liability. By the time a problem is discovered, those responsible might be long gone or the proceeds of their negligence might be irrecoverable.

The only reason this idea exists is to increase profits because regulation hurts profits. That's literally it. It's a completely silly idea (like libertarianism).

A strong government is completely necessary to a well-functioning society.

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grenfell_Tower_fire

starspangled

4 hours ago

The government is ineffective, and companies can be policed but often the government chooses not to because it is corrupt, when it's not simply because they are incompetent. Often the smaller companies or ones who haven't bought enough politicians and bureaucrats are over-"policed" in order to benefit other companies.

anon291

8 hours ago

> That's all capitalism does: it builds enclosures, on this case on "intellectual" property and by buying the government to create a monopoly by banning imports and banning Medicare from negotiating prices.

Patents and import restrictions are orthogonal to capitalism as an economic system. They're obviously not the invisible hand of the market, but the actions of the very draconian hand of the government

jmyeet

7 hours ago

That's ahistorical. The enclosure movement is seen by many as the origins of capitalism [1].

Private property is an enclosure. Intellectual property is an enclosure [2]. All of this is rent-seeking behaviour.

The story of Tetris is such a great example of all that capitalism actually does in practice: licensing and sub-licensing deals. The game was actually created by a few Russians. Everything else was just enclosures.

[1]: https://www.joewrote.com/p/the-origin-of-capitalism-the-encl...

[2]: https://www.marxist.com/intellectual-property-rights221105.h...

zahlman

6 hours ago

It sure is nice to have one's political opponents define words for oneself, hmm?

anon291

6 hours ago

Private property sure, but intellectual property is not universal to all capitalist markets. And the protections vary and change. Even in American, often-times accused of strong IP protections, the protection is limited, as we're seeing here.

danielmarkbruce

5 hours ago

Lina hasn't revolutionized anything except the crazy number of stupid cases brought, which have been thrown out of court over and over again. Everyone wants her fired because she's a nuisance and out of her depth.

ethbr1

9 hours ago

It's nice to see the DOJ taking a more aggressive approach towards monopoly charges again.

~1900... ~1950... ~1980... ~2000...

About time for the wheel to turn around.

dzonga

8 hours ago

if 'crypto' wasn't used for scams / crime. it would have been the perfect candidate to break the Visa / Mastercard duopoly.

but alas....

goda90

8 hours ago

I'd say the bigger issue was the speculative trading. Why would you use it to buy things that will depreciate in value if you think the currency itself will go up in value? Likewise, why would you buy currency if tomorrow its value can tank really hard?

beaglesss

8 hours ago

The reason floating crypto isn't viable as a domestic currency is it's a taxable capital gains/loss event every transaction, and not directly useful in paying those taxes. A recordkeeping nightmare, intentionally created by the tax masters.

donatj

10 hours ago

Why now is the real question?

Hasn't this basically been the state of things since the late 1990s? What changed that they're going after them now?

BobaFloutist

9 hours ago

FTC is staffed with people that think monopolies are bad.

DannyBee

6 hours ago

That's both unfair and untrue.

The FTC has been staffed with very good antitrust lawyers for a long time. The career employees give a crap or they wouldn't be there - every single one of them could make a lot more in private practice. They are at the FTC because they give a crap and are good.

As such, there's no need to denigrate them without any evidence.

roughly

9 hours ago

Because the Biden administration has effective antitrust regulation as a policy goal and has staffed the FTC with competent people empowered to pursue that.

DannyBee

6 hours ago

They don't control most FTC employees actually - i'm not sure why HN always gets this wrong.

The set of political employees at the FTC is very small.

As for the rest, much like other critics, i don't believe Lina is competent, and i dont' think she's been effective at all.

I think she's showboated a lot and made plenty of press, but in the end, that just hides that they have achieved, in practice, far far less than almost any FTC that gave a crap.

When she's gone, she will leave behind a legacy of crappy precedent it will take someone years to clean up to get things to a state where the FTC can win antitrust cases again (their win rate under Lina is remarkably low).

The DOJ, on the other hand, has done a great job.

7qW24A

3 hours ago

Two questions:

1. What’s the best place to research FTC win rates?

2. Given that Khan is taking an “aggressive” approach to what sorts of cases the FTC should pursue, wouldn’t it make sense for the win rate to be lower under her leadership?

lolinder

9 hours ago

And, notably, it's an election year and the Biden administration wants everyone to see what's at stake in the election.

Yes, they probably also believe in what they're doing and yes, they've been putting this together for a while, but it's not a coincidence that we've had a regular cadence of these announcements for the past few months.

Edit: Recognizing when your party is playing a political game is a healthy part of the democratic process even if you agree with their goals. Pretending your preferred party is above political showmanship isn't even party loyalty, it's just naivete. Everyone needs to put on the show to accomplish their goals.

fckgw

8 hours ago

There's been a "regular cadence of these announcements" for the past 4 years. Should they just pause all enforcement actions when it's X number of months from an election? Shouldn't the politicians be actively earning our vote by doing things like this?

lolinder

7 hours ago

Yes, they should!

I'm not implying anything is broken about the process, but they're clearly timing their actions around the election. As just one example: out of the 36 Antitrust press releases from the Attorney General's office (the tags on this press release) [0], 13 (36%) were in 2024 and 7 (19%) were just in the months of August and September of this year. A regular cadence of 36 Antitrust announcements since the administration started would be <1 per month, so 3.5/mo over the past two months (one of which isn't even over) is a clear outlier. There's some allowance to be made for the time it takes to put a lawsuit together but not enough to account for that large a difference.

Again, that's not to imply anything about the ethics or motives of the people involved, nor to say they were sitting on their hands until now. All I'm saying is it's a reality of our political system that sometimes the answer to "why now?" is "because we saved it up for the election".

[0] Using filters here, unfortunately I can't directly link to a filter view: https://www.justice.gov/news/press-releases

mtswish

8 hours ago

Lina Khan has been at this for the past four years. Would you mind demonstrating why you think this is for election brownie points?

lolinder

8 hours ago

What does Lina Khan have to do with this DOJ case? That they're both doing similar stuff?

I'm not sure why people get so offended at the idea that political appointees on their side time their actions around election cycles. It's easy to believe about the $other party (for whatever value of $other), but for some reason we're very hesitant to acknowledge that our own people play the same game by the same rules.

Acknowledging that doesn't imply anything about the policy or about the motives of the actors, it's simply an acknowledgement that they're good at their jobs and know how to time things. But I guess it must feel slimy and we like to believe our guys are above that sort of thing?

legitster

10 hours ago

> More than 60% of debit transactions in the U.S. run over Visa rails, helping it charge more than $7 billion annually in processing fees, according to the DOJ complaint.

60% seems pretty well short of monopoly. Also, if you factor in that cash is an option, and the significant inroads being made by options like Square and Venmo, Visa doesn't actually even have a majority in the market.

I'm skeptical of this action overall. I love competition as much as the next guy, but Visa, Mastercard, and Discover's primary value they provide is fraud detection and prevention. There are enormous economies of scale at play, and it's hard to believe that breaking up the big guys into dozens of independent, fly-by-wire cut-rate providers is in the public's best interests long term. That is, unless the federal government wants to come in and actually pursue small-time fraud.

madeofpalk

10 hours ago

Anti-trust/monopoly doesn't actually hinge on a magical percentage number.

The quote from the DOJ:

> “We allege that Visa has unlawfully amassed the power to extract fees that far exceed what it could charge in a competitive market,”

This is the thing that's illegal, not some forbidden percentage of market share. Illegally using your position in the market to distort it to your advantage, to prevent competitors from existing, and (generally) to raise prices.

From the actual legal complaint https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25173584-visa-lawsui...

> Visa is a monopolist in the general purpose debit network services and general purpose card-not-present debit network services markets in the United States with market shares of at least 60% and 65%, respectively, by payment volume. Mastercard is the second largest debit network in the United States and processes less than 25% of debit transactions in either relevant market. No other competitor has more than a single digit share of debit transactions in either market.

> Visa has monopoly power in the relevant debit markets because it has the power to control prices and exclude competition in each market.

Of course, the whole court case will be arguing whether Visa has the power to control prices and exclude competition. DOJ thinks they do, I'm guessing Visa thinks they're fine!

advisedwang

10 hours ago

I think of it this way: does a business have an option not to do business with Visa? Realistically no. They have all the market power that a monopoly has.

jamie_ca

9 hours ago

Costco (in Canada at least) doesn't work with Visa. It's cash, bank debit cards, or Mastercard. (No AmEx/Discover either.)

It can be done, at scale, but definitely a business risk.

redwall_hp

7 hours ago

Costco in the US only accepts Visa. I have a membership, and it's an annoyance because all of my credit cards are Mastercard or Discover, so I have to use my Visa debit card.

Bank debit cards in the US all also use Visa or Mastercard networks.

refurb

6 hours ago

Costco in the US used to only accept Amex.

I assume they changed to Visa because Visa offered a better deal.

Seems like the opposite of a monopoly.

lxgr

9 hours ago

Costco is membership-only, so everybody shopping there is strongly incentivized to do so bearing the payment methods they accept.

A random corner store or online retailer does not have that luxury; they have to accept whatever their prospective customers have on them (and to a lesser extent prefer, if they have multiple brands' cards).

BeefWellington

9 hours ago

In part this is because of the existence of Interac though. If Interac didn't exist it's possible they would feel they need to use VISA to not turn away too much membership. Having debit as a fallback means they can partner with whomever gives them favourable terms. I doubt Costco is paying Mastercard a % of the transaction the way most other retailers are.

Despite it existing since the 80s, there's been constant pressure / lobbying to get rid of it.[1]

[1]: https://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/interac-i...

lolinder

9 hours ago

Costco in the US doesn't accept Discover but does accept Visa. Heck, they even offer a Visa credit card which stands in as your official membership card.

frumper

9 hours ago

They used to only accept Amex and had a branded card. It worked fine for them that way too.

toast0

9 hours ago

In the US, bank debit cards are commonly Visa, although they can often be run on multiple networks, debit is confusing.

lumb63

9 hours ago

There are tons of cash-only businesses.

indymike

9 hours ago

There are also a lot of businesses that take cash because their owners have been banned from taking credit cards.

legitster

9 hours ago

> does a business have an option not to do business with Visa?

Absolutely. There's Discover, Mastercard, Google Pay, Apple Wallet, crypto, checks, and good old-fashioned cash.

madeofpalk

9 hours ago

Apple Pay and Google Pay are not payment networks. Those are just Visa and Mastercard.

legitster

9 hours ago

It depends on your payment gateway. I can setup a POS payment system with any payment gateway processor I want. Depending on the system you can essentially run direct deposit into Google Pay, and as a vendor I can direct deposit the money into my checking via my gateway.

But that's not the issue being contested because there are hundreds of payment gateway processors available.

mattzito

9 hours ago

Right, you CAN set that up, but in the US, not accepting visa and Mastercard is essentially untenable if you are a retailer or restaurant. You might be able to avoid accepting AmEx, but from talking with restaurant owners, the biggest spenders are often AmEx holders and are annoyed at having to use a backup card.

lxgr

9 hours ago

That's not how the payment market works, though.

If a customer walks into your store and has exactly one (type of) card on them that they want to use to pay, you have a choice of accepting that card or losing their business.

This makes competition between payment methods at the POS structurally very hard.

bluGill

9 hours ago

Which of those is realistic though. They exist but you turn away customers with money who cannot pay.

indymike

9 hours ago

> Also, if you factor in that cash is an option, and the significant inroads being made by options like Square and Venmo

The real competition is the NACHA's ACH system. Square and Venmo ride atop existing payment networks. The innovation is adding another level of ease of use over another layer of rent-seeking largely because Visa is slow to innovate and ACH is effectively a government product.

> Visa, Mastercard, and Discover's primary value they provide is fraud detection and prevention.

Most of this value is provided by the MSP and merchant banks, not by the card associations. ACH fraud protection is mostly reversable transactions.

> independent, fly-by-wire cut-rate providers is in the public's best interests long term

That is what we have today - tons of small MSPs and a few big ones. Square, for example, is a big one.

legitster

9 hours ago

> Most of this value is provided by the MSP and merchant banks, not by the card associations.

Not necessarily accurate. My bank does not offer the ability to reverse transactions or replace funds lost to merchants. They also can't remove fraudulent merchants from the payment network.

indymike

8 hours ago

> Not necessarily accurate

Actually accurate. "Merchant bank" is not the card holder's bank - it is the bank that actually settles transactions with the issuing bank (i.e. your credit card) and then deposits money into the merchant's actual bank account. Money flows through the merchant account. Incidentally, the merchant bank is at risk for fraudulent merchants as they are often advancing money (a few days early) to the merchant in anticipation of settling. Merchant banks can shut down merchants and they also have the power to require the merchants to leave an amount of money on deposit with them to mitigate risk.

> My bank does not offer the ability to reverse transactions or replace funds lost to merchants

Correct. Your bank does not have that power - you have to initiate a chargeback, and that is ultimately handled by the MSP. Incidentally, if you have a credit card, the issuer (often a bank) initiates the chargeback process.

ethbr1

10 hours ago

Don't both Square and Venmo still have to interface with the Visa / MC / Discover / Amex networks? And therefore pay some fees?

legitster

9 hours ago

Venmo gives you the option of direct deposit or using the network to instantaneously transfer the money for a fee. As for the merchant, unless they are getting their payment gateway directly from Visa they usually just deposit the money directly into their bank account.

ethbr1

9 hours ago

The interesting metric would be what percent of Square/Venmo transactions come through legacy payment cards.

I'd guess it's pretty high in the US...

matthewdgreen

10 hours ago

Whether 60% technically comprises a "monopoly" is a technical legal question that will be determined by the courts. Whether Visa carries an enormous amount of traffic and charges too much is an opinion, and it certainly feels like they do. Keep in mind that some percentage of fraud detection and prevention is determined by the vulnerability of the underlying technology used: fraud from card skimmers should not be a thing in 2024, yet it still is, and these payment networks are responsible for that.

yxhuvud

9 hours ago

It probably won't, because it is irrelevant. What matters is that it is clear beyond reason that VISA have a lot of power in the marketplace. What the courts will decide if they used that power to do naughty things to further cement their position or earnings.

MBCook

9 hours ago

Monopoly is about far far more than market share. That’s a bit of it, but you can be abusing a monopoly at far far less than 95%.

bthrn

9 hours ago

> Also, if you factor in that cash is an option

Lots of places stopped taking cash. In many places my only option is to pay with a card.

cortesoft

10 hours ago

Square is part of that $7 billion VISA makes.

ilaksh

9 hours ago

The only reason fraud is such a huge problem (and resolving it is such a 'benefit') is because credit cards are an obsolete, insecure model.

lxgr

9 hours ago

Credit cards in the US, in particular.

Almost everywhere else in the world, physical cards require a PIN, and online payments (above some amount/risk threshold, at least) require 3DS authentication.

Both methods are pretty secure.

geodel

9 hours ago

And what is secure model?

visualphoenix

9 hours ago

Cash is not necessarily an option. Did you know there is no federal requirement for a business to accept cash?

glitchinc

9 hours ago

eCommerce is inherently cashless by design. Confined / captive environments (e.g. airplane cabins) are cashless. Concessions and merchandise counters at large events (sporting events, concerts, etc.) are cashless. Self-service kiosks for anything (or vending machines) are increasingly cashless. And if memory serves me correctly, I believe that using cash to purchase real estate via arms-length transaction is prohibited in the USA by law, even if the buyer and seller agree on the use of cash (and if it was logistically feasible to do so).

I would argue that cash is not an option in more cases than it is an option.

DidYaWipe

9 hours ago

Come on. When you combine Visa and MasterCard, you have clear oligopoly and near-monopoly. And the situation is terrible for businesses, who are getting ripped off on every credit-card transaction with ever-escalating and variable percentages. A lady running a small diving shop told me that Capital One is the worst, jacking them for 4.5% or so. They are now out of business. Some businesses' entire profit margin is being wiped out by monopolistic middlemen.

A business can't be cash-only and survive today; so no, cash is NOT an option.

As for your assertion of fraud-prevention as a benefit, it's a joke. Credit-card issuers have, for some reason, ENABLED fraud in the USA. First they dragged their asses on issuing chip-based credit cards for what, a decade or more after the rest of the world had adopted them. And now that we finally have them, what did the issuers do? Defeat their purpose by neglecting to implement PINs. WTF. "Chip & PIN" is standard operating procedure across the industrialized world except in the USA.

You could drastically curtail fraud overnight by simply implementing the PIN requirement. But we've gone the other way, with a lot of retailers giving up on ANY attempt at validation.

There must be some tax benefit of fraud for the card issuers. Or they're clinging to the extra profits out of fraudulent transactions that are perpetrated but not caught. Regardless, there's no excuse for abetting it, or tolerating this consumer- and business-harming oligopoly.

jellicle

9 hours ago

Luckily for the government, the law doesn't say "monopoly" or require them to prove there is only one company operating. The law just says that anyone that has market power (which one might have with only a tiny percent of the whole market) can't do certain things. It's anti-trust law, not anti-monopoly law.

sublinear

10 hours ago

> More than 60% of debit transactions in the U.S. run over Visa rails, helping it charge more than $7 billion annually in processing fees, according to the DOJ complaint.

Is that really a monopoly though?

m3h

10 hours ago

Yes, when taken in this context, the Monopoly argument makes sense:

> The DOJ said Visa imposed “exclusionary” agreements on partners and smothered upstart firms.

eagerpace

10 hours ago

As with many things, it’s a duopoly with Mastercard that has another 30% of the market.

ethbr1

10 hours ago

Duopoly scenarios are why the trifecta of historical anti-trust criteria were one of more of:

   - Monopoly market share
   - Negative impact to customers
     (e.g. higher prices)
   - Collusion to thwart competition
Prosecuted under a variety of laws, but all illegal at scale.

The latter two are more relevant to modern global enterprise competition. A duopoly isn't really optimally lowering prices for anything, as there's limited risk of defection and price signaling is pretty easy.

jellicle

9 hours ago

Luckily for the government, the law doesn't say "monopoly" or require them to prove there is only one company operating. The law just says that anyone that has market power (which one might have with only a tiny percent of the whole market) can't do certain things.

HideousKojima

10 hours ago

That works out to ~$22 per American per year. Not sure what Visa's operating costs for their network are, and I'm no big fan of them (or any other credit card company) but that's far cheaper than I would have expected given the convenience provided by almost never needing cash or checks. So as far as its impact on prices go, it doesn't sound like it's really a huge amount.

metaphor

10 hours ago

> Not sure what Visa's operating costs for their network are, and I'm no big fan of them (or any other credit card company) but that's far cheaper than I would have expected given the convenience provided by almost never needing cash or checks.

Of the $32.653 billon in revenue Visa pulled in last year, 2.3% was network and processing opex, while 53% was pure bottom line profit[1].

Furthermore, squaring 17.9% tax provision line item: if your household had simple married-filing-jointly tax return with an AGI greater than ~$139.5k, you paid more in 2023 taxes than Visa...and that assumes you live in a state without income taxes.

Think about that for a hot minute while recalibrating expectations.

[1] https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1403161/000140316123...

hnburnsy

9 hours ago

>Think about that for a hot minute while recalibrating expectations.

My hot minute is that corporations don't pay taxes, consumers do via higher product\services prices, investors do via lower investment returns, or the employees do via lower wages.

And the bonus, the government gets less taxes from those lower investment returns and lower wages.

s1artibartfast

9 hours ago

What are we supposed to take away from a high the high profit?

How much did visa pay in taxes? Less than a single 140k family? Why are we comparing corporate taxes and individual taxes? They are completely different.

roughly

9 hours ago

> What are we supposed to take away from a high the high profit?

If you’re the sort to buy into conventional economic theory, that VISA faces no effective competition.

s1artibartfast

9 hours ago

I would agree with that, but that does not make it a monopoly. That depends largely on the reasons for lack of competition. e.g Is Visa using its position to freeze out others, or is it government regulation, or customer preference, ect.

metaphor

9 hours ago

> How much did visa pay in taxes? Less than a single 140k family?

No...the proportional equivalent impact of ~150,300 $140k families.

s1artibartfast

9 hours ago

seems remarkable given that visa doesnt send 150,000X children to send to school or collect 150,000X Medicare benefits.

I guess this is a way of highlighting the idea that individuals should be fundamental unit of tax assessment, collection, and evaluation. It is humans that receive government benefits, and it is humans that should pay for it.

Other methods of analysis run the risk of double counting benefits or payments.

NetOpWibby

9 hours ago

Why do families pay less taxes than corporations? I'm not a money guy or a lawyer but that seems extremely *off*.

s1artibartfast

9 hours ago

Because corporations pass profits on to individuals who also pay income taxes.

It is a bogus comparison. Visa might "only" pay 17%, but if you are an owner, you are paying 17% and then another 20% on what's left.

NetOpWibby

9 hours ago

Ahh, thanks for the clarification! The more I learn about how things actually work, the more irritated I get of the media for playing us.

metaphor

9 hours ago

For well capitalized and advised players, here's an idea of how things actually work[1][2].

[1] https://www.nber.org/papers/w28542

[2] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3089423

s1artibartfast

8 hours ago

NBER finds 1% of fiscal income is unreported from pass through tax evasion. If anything, this highlights that Individuals should be the relevant level of income tax assessment.

metaphor

7 hours ago

Your arguments come off as incrementally disingenuous and intentionally misleading.

That's +1% share of a pie on the order of $TRILLIONS between 2006-2013 to which the top-1% directly benefited from by under-reporting and playing pass-through games...and this was retrospective analysis long before the TCJA corporate tailwind went into effect.

s1artibartfast

7 hours ago

How is it disingenuous and misleading. It is a clear and accurate summary. The bottom line is 1% of income.

Im not saying it is zero dollars. Just pointing out that it is 1% for context. 50% of income would be a very different context.

egypturnash

10 hours ago

Visa acts as a censor, too. If you are making perfectly legal porn, for instance, then every few years you need to find a new way to take payment because your old one got big enough for Visa to notice it and say "hey no porn".

MBCook

9 hours ago

While I understand your point, doesn’t adult stuff also have very high rates of fraud and chargebacks? Even if a fair bit may have been correct but reported as fraud for personal reasons?

Avoiding a category like that (or holding it to stricter standards) seems rather reasonable.

lxgr

8 hours ago

Maybe so (I have no idea), but the risk of fraud and chargebacks is not borne by the network.

There are many other high risk industries they don't seem to have a problem with.

quesera

8 hours ago

Visa sets merchant policy, and they do not allow high chargeback rates.

The merchant bears the brunt of the economic loss, but chargebacks are a relatively expensive hassle for the network too, and ultimately they will drop merchants who cannot keep chargebacks low.

Around 0.5% is considered reasonable. Anywhere in the 1% area for more than a few months will get a merchant dropped.

pkaye

9 hours ago

Isn't that because of high chargeback rates?

ethbr1

10 hours ago

This. Especially back in the 90s, it was disgusting how easily the US government leaned on the major payment networks and banks, absent any law or illegality, to disconnect the porn industry.

Call me old fashioned, but if that's a thing you want to do in a democracy, there should be a legal basis passed through the legislative branch...

mrguyorama

9 hours ago

>it was disgusting how easily the US government

It was never the US government? It was always done by advocacy groups with good law firms suing Visa for _whatever_ until Visa """voluntarily""" censored porn payments.

ethbr1

9 hours ago

The DOJ under Bush W absolutely prosecuted explicit pornography for political optics.

(WARNING: Some pretty nasty stuff mentioned; text, not pictures) https://web.archive.org/web/20060321172250/http://www.thestr...

Primarily through leveraging the power of the AG to apply on-the-books obscenity laws to material which previously hadn't been targeted as such.

When the courts took a dim view towards that, they decided they could get quicker wins by making it clear to Visa et al. that things would be uncomfortable if they didn't "voluntarily" choose to stop doing business with pornographic companies.

ejstronge

10 hours ago

> That works out to ~$22 per American per year. Not sure what Visa's operating costs for their network are, and I'm no big fan of them (or any other credit card company) but that's far cheaper than I would have expected

You’re assuming quite a few things - the most significant are that the cost is borne equally among Americans. Instead, many Americans use credit card networks instead of debit cards, and those who use debit cards may have no option to avoid the fees.

candiddevmike

10 hours ago

That number seems really low. At least 1-2% of all my purchases have fees associated with them, that's way more than $22. Small businesses, especially with lower priced items are hit with .50 + % fees too. It all adds up.

popcalc

10 hours ago

>far cheaper than I would have expected given the convenience provided by almost never needing cash or checks

Is there no alternative system that succeeds in affording both convenience and low (even state-subsidized) costs?

ilaksh

9 hours ago

I know I will get absolutely thrashed and buried for saying this on this website, but I am going to say it anyway. The starting point for any modern money system should be cryptocurrency. It should not be necessary to have a middleman at all. This will eliminate most of the types of 'fraud' where thieves or scammers charge a card in an unauthorized way, because cryptocurrency does not require giving away credentials with that capability. Instead, specific transactions are authorized. There is no such thing as giving out your whole master card number for a transaction.

If you want to add middlemen as companies built on the cryptocurrency, you can and for some things they might be useful. But you absolutely should not need them by default in the contemporary era where we have cryptography and the internet.

benced

9 hours ago

Part of the design of modern credit cards is that even authorized purchases can be reverted if the customer is not delivered the promised goods. My understanding is that crypto people think that is a design flaw, not a feature, but most folks disagree and that's what counts when trying to get most people to adopt your solution.

ilaksh

9 hours ago

That is in there because of the core obsolete design flaw I pointed out -- credit card credentials are master keys authorizing arbitrary transactions. This is because it is an obsolete design that predates modern ubiquitous cryptography.

lxgr

8 hours ago

Dispute resolution, for non-fraud disputes, is completely orthogonal with fraud that happens due to insecure cardholder authentication.

What if the seller goes bankrupt after accepting payment, but before shipping an order? What if they're an outright scammer? What if the buyer says they are, but the real scammer is the buyer?

Somebody's got to figure all of that stuff out. The established card schemes provide a framework for that. It's flawed, it's taking a ton of automated and manual resources, nobody in their right mind would rebuild the same thing if given the opportunity from scratch, but it's there and it kind of works. That's a lot better than what crypto has to offer.

lolinder

9 hours ago

> This will eliminate most of the types of 'fraud' where thieves or scammers charge a card in an unauthorized way, because cryptocurrency does not require giving away credentials with that capability.

Please get back to us when the cryptocurrency ecosystem has a lower rate of fraud than the mainstream ecosystem. Until then it looks like you've just traded each episode of one kind of fraud for twenty episodes of another kind.

> If you want to add middlemen as companies built on the cryptocurrency, you can and for some things they might be useful.

Moxie's article on why centralization is inevitable resonated with me [0], and all the evidence I've seen suggests that crypto is just as vulnerable to it as anything else. The middlemen who are initially optional inevitably become a core part of the ecosystem that you can't get away from. See Gmail. The decision you get when building an ecosystem isn't whether there will be middlemen, it's whether to plan around them or not.

[0] https://moxie.org/2022/01/07/web3-first-impressions.html

lxgr

9 hours ago

Not having any middleman at all is a non-starter if buyer and seller don't know each other yet. (Note that any form of escrow service, even if "on-chain" or "trustless", is a middleman, whether overt or covert.)

Bootstrapping trust is a hard problem and arguably by definition requires some middlemen, some of the time.

gus_massa

8 hours ago

I'm old enough to remember https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_DAO

ilaksh

8 hours ago

This whole thing is similar to neural networks. They were almost universally sneered at for many years. But it turned out that the neural network advocates were 100% correct.

The DAO getting hacked many years ago does not refute the idea of using math and the internet to transform money rather than relying on private middlemen companies.

lolinder

6 hours ago

This is such a popular fallacy: "people sneered at ${thing that became a big deal} and therefore ${thing that I'm a big believer in} isn't doomed to obscurity."

For every success story that people were skeptical of there have been a thousand failures that people were just as skeptical of. "People also made fun of ${success}" is meaningless as a defense of any technology.

As I noted in my reply: middlemen are inevitable and already dominate the crypto space. If your plan for a crypto future doesn't plan around the inevitable middlemen you're already doomed to failure.