Qualcomm Wants to Buy Intel

142 pointsposted 6 hours ago
by oco101

87 Comments

GeekyBear

5 hours ago

After a decade of being assured that the short support window for Android devices had a root cause in the lack of support device makers received from Qualcomm, they are the last company that I want to see buy Intel.

bfrog

5 hours ago

Meanwhile x86 has maintained backwards compat for (checks calendar) yeah decades. Literally decades. With standards up the wazoo to avoid the disaster that is the Arm ecosystem without UEFI or something like it.

Every Arm SoC being a snowflake needing special attention by the OS is a huge hassle. There's a reason there's no simplified Arm installer for operating systems.

dan-robertson

4 hours ago

Historically this backwards compatibility was a competitive moat for intel – having a large supply of weird instructions with some undocumented behaviour thrown in makes it more expensive to make competing chips.

loeg

4 hours ago

The ISA isn't what makes x86 easier for operating systems to support than ARM SoCs. It's things like generic ACPICA instead of hardcoded devicetrees.

dan-robertson

3 hours ago

To be clear, I wasn’t claiming anything about operating systems. Merely that adding many weird instructions was a strategy intel used to try to make the jobs of amd and centaur and suchlike harder.

gjsman-1000

4 hours ago

Some ARM systems (mainly servers) do support ACPI; allowing for one image to run on multiple processors and devices.

However… ACPI is apparently a pretty awful thing to implement. When it doesn’t work, or mistakes are made (looking at my own 13th gen HP laptop right now - borked ACPI tables means unpatchable broken sleep on Linux), then it’s pure frustration.

Device trees on the other hand are much more binary. Either everything generally works or it doesn’t at all. It’s a valid approach.

10000truths

3 hours ago

Flawed implementations of open specs can be worked around with things like quirk tables. A spec held hostage by a non-cooperating vendor cannot. In the world of ARM SoCs, bad vendors won't even provide a device tree, just a binary image compiled from a patched kernel.

knowitnone

2 hours ago

there's no simplified Linux installer either and every distro creates one and keeps re-inventing it

ASalazarMX

5 hours ago

Intel squandered its dominance on the CPU market for decades. Qalcomm sucking the remaining life of it would be a fitting end for a player that lost its way.

Wonder if the increasing backwards compatibility became too much to bear, but IMO it never really tried to tread new grounds for risk of losing a comfortable position.

Varloom

3 hours ago

Qualcomm main business is mobile phone chips and 5g modems.

Majority of it's revenue goes to Taiwan for TSMC as margins.

Having Intel fab, will cut the middle man, and revenue will skyrocket, all while no money leaves the USA.

geerlingguy

6 hours ago

Qualcomm still hasn't shipped any of the Snapdragon X dev kits, two months and counting. If they can't deliver on their promises (that and CoPilot PCs having very disappointing sales), how could they do anything besides further drag down Intel?

Not only that, it sounds like a major customer (Apple) is close to finally ditching Qualcomm's wireless chips? (At least that's been rumored [1])

[1] https://appleinsider.com/articles/24/07/24/apple-has-reporte...

kev009

5 hours ago

Qualcomm's RF design is best in class. This is their bread and butter and they have been consistently good at it forever.

Apple purchased intel's RF baseband division,which was awful, and has been working on it in secret for years. It remains to be seen how this will go for Apple. It is attractive to Apple for cost and efficiency reasons (theoretically they can bury this all on a single SoC if they wish to) not because Qualcomm is bad.

It bears in mind that just because you are good at one thing does not imply you will be good at another. For instance, Intel's networking is mediocre to bad depending on the product or various entities trying to produce MIPS and ARM products failing time and time again.

MichaelNolan

3 hours ago

> Apple … has been working on it in secret for years.

I keep hoping Apple will release a MacBook with a 5G chipset. The rumors are saying their in house one will ready in 2026 at the earliest. It sure seems like a long road given they bought the intel RF division in 2019.

snitty

2 hours ago

My understanding is that Intel's chips weren't great and making power efficient 5g chips is wildly difficult. Thus ends my understanding of these issues, though.

wmf

5 hours ago

Companies should do what they say they're going to do, but these dev kits are an example of something that's relevant to HN but not to Qualcomm's business.

cowmix

5 hours ago

A large part of the success of this new platform is how fast devs can adapt / fix their apps to work natively. Apple, for instance, provided dev mules for OSX ARM --- and their rollout of Apple Silicon was smoother than anyone could have hoped.

Windows ARM -- still borked in SOOO many ways -- and its 10+ years old now.

com2kid

4 hours ago

> Windows ARM -- still borked in SOOO many ways -- and its 10+ years old now.

Internally, nearly 20 years. It was kept alive for a long time by a single individual as a side project. When I first got out of college I actually helped update tests that were being used for it (I maintained the ARM compiler test harness, and it was being used for some Windows on ARM stuff as well).

Microsoft has never went fully in on arm, whereas Apple was willing to burn bridges and start brand new.

freehorse

5 hours ago

How can you expect your products to have good software support by developers then?

wmf

5 hours ago

Snapdragon laptops have been available for a few weeks already. Although laptops cost more than this dev kit they're also more usable as a daily driver. If Qualcomm wants real adoption they'd send them out for free, not require devs to pay.

user

5 hours ago

[deleted]

cowmix

5 hours ago

When this platform was heralded as the “AI” desktop, I pre-ordered both the dev kit and a laptop. Like many of you, I’ve experienced a months-long delay in the delivery of the dev kits. Although I STILL don't have my devkit, I received my laptop pretty much on time. -- and I quickly discovered that despite Windows on ARM (WOA) being over a decade old, the support for open-source tooling is as complete as Swiss cheese. Key Python modules are missing, and even the Git command-line (git bash) client isn’t functional yet!

I mean, forget about basic open-source development, let alone performing AI inference work on your new Snapdragon laptop.

After some digging, I’ve learned that just four overworked developers in Prague make up the core team unclogging this tooling dependency log-jam. Gah!

For what it’s worth, WSL2 (Linux on Windows) actually runs quite impressively on the Snapdragon X.

nine_k

4 hours ago

Why run Windows on ARM, when Linux on ARM is so.much more mature? Or are you buildings a Windows-specific product?

cowmix

4 hours ago

My plan was to run the laptop Windows and the 'devkit' Linux. This first batch of laptops (AFAICT) can NOT dual boot.

My thinking is this, if Windows ARM is a success -- there will be more units out there that can ALSO run Linux too. If Windows ARM is a failure, then Linux will suffer too.

andrewmcwatters

4 hours ago

> After some digging, I’ve learned that just four overworked developers in Prague make up the core team unclogging this tooling dependency log-jam. Gah!

What an embarrassment. So basically, it’s not a serious product.

pas

4 hours ago

... Intel wasn't able to ship on EUV, so they would be in great company.

kev009

5 hours ago

The headline seems intentionally bombastic and false. The text specifies that they are interested in lines of business, for example consumer computing, not the entire entity.

MattGrommes

5 hours ago

Qualcomm consists of at least 4 lawyers for every engineer. If this happens expect a lot more lawsuits making anything involving hardware much more expensive for everybody.

jjtheblunt

3 hours ago

Not plausible. I worked at Qualcomm for several years in engineering and office of the chief scientist, and that would be insane inversion of division headcounts.

Narhem

5 hours ago

Qualcomm makes lots of their money by holding a monopoly on wireless chip patents. They use lawyers to bully other companies out of the space.

You can compare this with the patent wars of the companies in Silicon Valley which came to halt when the orgs realized they were effectively giving money to lawyers instead of innovating.

Qualcomm doesn’t really have real competition in Southern California. It’s cheaper for them to bully smaller companies with lawyers than employ more engineers (not sure if it’s possible to employ more engineers in the wireless space regardless).

You could also argue Qualcomms success is related to the other companies which reside around them. They have effectively built an “office moat” with their wireless patents.

slt2021

4 hours ago

so Qualcomm is basically Oracle?

user

3 hours ago

[deleted]

015a

6 hours ago

Wasn't there some clause in the Intel/AMD x86-64 cross-licensing deal which voids it if either company changes ownership? I have some recollection of that being a thing.

But to be fair, Qualcomm might not care.

electronbeam

5 hours ago

Deals can be amended for $$

The idea is to keep the number of x86 suppliers low, but enough patents are expired already you could probably make an x86_64 avx2 era cpu without asking

fidotron

5 hours ago

I wonder if Intel still have a suitable Arm architecture license that would be transferable? It seems unlikely without Arm approval, but a bundle could offset some of the cost Qualcomm might be thinking about, as that lawsuit might be getting too expensive, even for them.

For context: https://www.reuters.com/technology/arm-qualcomm-legal-battle...

knowitnone

2 hours ago

I want Apple to buy Intel so they can own their fabs. Instead of a billion going to TSMC, spend the billion to fix the fabs and the next several billion is profit.

incognition

2 hours ago

US gov already put 20Bn into Intels fabs.

gunalx

5 hours ago

I really don't see it. Maybe a merger of some sort but still. Has Qualcomm anything to gain from taking intel, and likewise intel from being merged in?

lagadu

4 hours ago

They might just split and sell off the cpu and gpu divisions and keep the rest of Intel's (very wide) portfolio. Of particular interest might be the Intel foundries.

dzonga

4 hours ago

selling intel to Qualcomm, would the equivalent of selling yourself to a vampire instead of selling blood.

the reason Apple ended up making their own wireless chips is due to Qualcomm

onepointsixC

4 hours ago

A sale isn’t going to happen. Intel has had a rough quarter but their lunar lake launch looks promising, beating Qualcomm’s offerings on battery life and performance.

snitty

2 hours ago

The issue long term is that Lunar Lake is built on TSMC, so Intel is netting a fraction per chip of what they'd make if they made it themselves.

Intel is currently investing $7B a quarter into getting their foundries competitive again, and it's not clear yet that they'll be able to really do so at scale. And even if they do, it's not clear whether those foundries can effectively serve customers that aren't Intel.

The reason people trust TSMC to make their chips is because TSMC isn't making a competing chip. If I come to an Intel Foundry with my design and work with them to spin up some new capability to get the features to work right, there isn't much of anything that stops Intel Chips from using that new capability to compete with me in a year.

LarsDu88

5 hours ago

This would not be good for either party. And Qualcomm would only do this to kill x86 prematurely which I'm sure AMD will pick up on.

WheelsAtLarge

5 hours ago

Intel has focused on manufacturing efficiency for years now. Their innovation abilities have been lacking. A combination of Qualcomm and Intel will be a powerhouse. Intel as an entity will disappear but Qualcomm will be the stronger for it. I doubt Intel will go for it but I hope it happens.

qwytw

5 hours ago

> Their innovation abilities have been lacking

And Qualcomm's haven't? What did they really design besides the Snapdragon X Elite in the last 10+ years?

> but I hope it happens

So more industry concentration and even less competition would somehow be a good thing?

mewse-hn

5 hours ago

> What did they really design besides the Snapdragon X Elite in the last 10+ years?

The Snapdragon 8 series have been the flagship SoCs for non-Apple phones for years, that's why people had high hopes for the Snapdragon X on PCs

qwytw

5 hours ago

> The Snapdragon 8 series

They "just" are just using standard ARM cores which is hardly comparable to what Intel and Apple are doing (and they have been lagging behind Apple by a few years since forever; arguably Intel is closer to the M series than Qualcomm is to A series).

> Snapdragon X

I thought it's because they finally designed their own core, since ARM has been completely ignoring the laptop market and couldn't really offer anything?

silisili

5 hours ago

Snapdragons have mostly been reference ARM designs with Adreno bolted on being the big selling point, since it blows away Mali or whatever the reference design is today. They got that from AMD of all places, hence the name being an anagram of Radeon.

packetlost

5 hours ago

> What did they really design besides the Snapdragon X Elite in the last 10+ years?

Lots of 5G modems

Wytwwww

5 hours ago

It's pretty easy to design the best 5G modems when you're are almost (effectively) the only company that's legally allowed to make them. They are basically a monopoly...

Intel would be doing much better as well if they didn't have to share x86 with AMD and could sue ARM into oblivion...

jprd

4 hours ago

I imagine Apple would disagree.

user

5 hours ago

[deleted]

Narhem

6 hours ago

Is there a patent or something Qualcomm is trying to get from Intel? Seems like an odd acquisition otherwise.

As far as chip manufacturing they target different markets, I’d bet most IP isn’t transferable between the orgs anyway, especially since Apple bought Intels modem patents already.

klyrs

5 hours ago

A... single patent? No, there are licensing agreements for that.

osnium123

6 hours ago

China will block this deal from ever happening.

ectospheno

6 hours ago

How exactly would a foreign power block two US companies from merging when it has no significant stock holding in either?

mlyle

5 hours ago

Same way Europe exercises outsized antitrust influence in the US: threatening to fine US entities, and if necessary deny them access to the European market.

It would be tricky, though, because my sense is that China still needs Intel/Qualcomm more than they need China. At the same time, it would be pretty deadly to be denied access to that market and your products subject to excess tariffs if imported by others.

shortsunblack

5 hours ago

To the poster, Europe does not exercise outsized antitrust influence in the US. Many of these companies have their tax residency in the EU. There is no need to "deny" anything. If the company gets fined and it refuses to pay the fine, EU seizes the money in one of many bank accounts in Europe.

mlyle

5 hours ago

Europe absolutely exercises significant antitrust influence upon US firms.

In practice, yes, as you point out: US firms must have assets in Europe to compete effectively.

But even if they didn't, Europe could deny access to the European market. So there is no reason to try and minimize surface in Europe. e.g. Apple has to comply with European antitrust rulings about app store access, even if Apple were to just sell their product to third party distributors in Europe and not have any presence in Europe.

overstay8930

4 hours ago

> Europe could deny access to the European market

Not really, Apple would just get customers the same way they’re sold in any other part of the world that doesn’t officially have iPhones (i.e. Russia), the EU doesn’t have the authority to seize shipments purely based on a violation of the DMA.

osnium123

5 hours ago

Chinese regulators have a say because both companies do business in China.

sidkshatriya

5 hours ago

Major markets like EU and China often do have a major influence on mergers even though the companies merging could be based in the US and most shareholding could be US.

I think it goes like this: The major market regulator could say directly/indirectly: Hey you can merge in the US ... but good luck operating in our geography in a frictionless manner if we are against your merger. As a regulator we can make life hell for you if you don't obey our anticompetitive laws. Since you derive a high percentage of your revenue/profits you must listen to us !

It all depends on the percentage of sales in the foreign geography. With EU/China it can be quite high -- especially for tech companies.

So yes, foreign powers can and often do block companies from merging.

ASalazarMX

4 hours ago

And I think it ends like this:

CEO to board: We want to acquire $LESSER_COMPANY, but China opposes. We can go through, but we'll lose easy access to that market, and in net terms our valuation will drop.

Board: Forget it.

ivewonyoung

5 hours ago

Like how UK blocked Microsoft's purchase of Blizzard.

user

6 hours ago

[deleted]

electronbeam

6 hours ago

What would motivate this

Arn_Thor

6 hours ago

What’s bad for US semiconductor manufacturing (I.e. a poor and cash starved Intel) buys China more time to catch up to frontier fab tech. If Qualcomm buys Intel, the optimistic scenario (for the US) is a stronger domestic player.

qwytw

5 hours ago

> stronger domestic player

Is it though? Qualcomm is more likely to just strip Intel for parts than to turn it around and we'll just end up with more market concentration and less competition.

electronbeam

5 hours ago

If that were true they’d denial-of-service every possible merger

kube-system

4 hours ago

Geopolitically you can't ixnay everything, you've got to pick your battles.

osnium123

5 hours ago

Yes. This would also give more volume for the existing Intel factories.

quantum_state

5 hours ago

From some perspective, governments of the big markets are like gangsters…

tippytippytango

4 hours ago

Apple, c’mon. Get in there and just buy intel. Get the foundry working, spin out x86 into its own legacy, fabless business unit. Make your own chips, it’s only 100B!!

ginko

4 hours ago

Qualcomm should be broken up.

xmly

4 hours ago

good joke

jovial_cavalier

6 hours ago

>Is this how arm vs x86 ends?

No... Intel isn't the only one that makes x86 processors and Qualcomm isn't the only one that makes arm.

Separately, Intel should sell them the flagging chips business and keep the fledgling foundries business separate.

zeusk

5 hours ago

If you look at the financial statements, it's quite the opposite however?

Their chips made on TSMC process are doing quite well and IFS has failed to secure worthwhile external customers and is losing money in their expansion hand over first.

onepointsixC

4 hours ago

IFS has just announced Amazon as a customer with a design on 18A. Microsoft is also expected to tape out one design. They’re not going to challenge TSMC this decade, but becoming the #2 fab 2030 is achievable.

qwytw

5 hours ago

> flagging chips business

Is it "flagging", though? Intel still seems to be pretty good at designing chips and their next gen laptop chips (made at TSMC) are allegedly more power efficient than the Snapdragon Elite (of course remains to be seen). It's the foundry that's dragging down.

melling

6 hours ago

Yeah, Intel is really cheap. It would be a steal.

user

4 hours ago

[deleted]