Johnny555
3 days ago
In the last three years, a number of states have substantially reformed their property tax systems, providing huge tax benefits to owner-occupied homes and shifting the burden of paying for services like schools and police to commercial property owners (including rental apartment buildings)
That sounds like shifting the property tax burden from homeowners to renters - homeowners are generally wealthier than renters, so it's placing more of the property tax burden on those less able to afford it.
tomrod
3 days ago
The second order effect will be that rental properties are driven from places where this applies.
That has some not-fun generational aspects.
(1) If schools have lower taxes, their ability to attract good educators for children is reduced. That in turn leads to lower home values since the school quality factor is reduced.
(2) If munis are unable to collect a sufficient tax base, they must reduce services. There will be hemming and hawing about things like cutting the pensions promised decades ago to attract competent service workers, but those are harder to reduce rather than not fixing the fire trucks, the water pipes, and other hidden taxes citizens pay for by reduced services. So your property values will also be reduced in the long term. Small towns are prime examples of this happening, when towns fail.
Trying to build a community out of one socioeconomic class works about as well as trying to redline. It leads to a less vibrant community, less adaptable community, and people are poorer in life and in their finances for it.
peterfirefly
3 days ago
> If schools have lower taxes, their ability to attract good educators for children is reduced.
"Good schools" are mostly about avoiding bad kids and bad parents. Expensive homes (without Section 8 or equivalent in the neighbourhood) is a feature, as it keeps most of them away. It's not a good way of doing it -- it excludes lots of perfectly good kids and parents and it is really expensive. It's just the best way available to most people in the West.
II2II
3 days ago
While it may be common, it certainly isn't universal. I've worked in schools in poor communities that have pushed for good educators. In one of those schools, the push for better teachers was by the students themselves. There are plenty of good kids and good parents in many poor communities.
I'm not sure the opposite is true either, i.e. that expensive homes are a proxy for good schools. I've also worked in schools where the families were affluent, but the environment was toxic due to the behaviour of students and parents.
HDThoreaun
3 days ago
> There are plenty of good kids and good parents in many poor communities.
I went to school in a poor district. Pretty much all the students at my elementary school were poverty adjacent. Most of them were good kids, but that didnt really matter because the 10% who werent often ruined it for everyone else. This is a one bad apple spoils the bunch scenario, so the incentive is to make it as hard as possible for even 1 bad apple to be in the school. Of course there are plenty of bad apples among rich kids too, but as you can imagine the politics is different there.
wonnage
3 days ago
Even "bad" schools use this strategy to move some of the "good" kids into special programs, etc. to raise their average scores. Which makes the remaining classes even worse. It's an eternal struggle between raising the floor vs raising the ceiling
It's also a feedback loop, once you're known for "good schools" then the homes become more expensive. If you don't care about moving then it's often cheaper to buy a home to send your kid to a good public school vs. sending them to private school.
mancerayder
3 days ago
No, good schools are also a function of $ spend per pupil, which is correlated with school quality and opportunities for students. A really interesting place to study this is San Antonio v Rodriguez (1973) where in my opinion they laid the groundwork for such inequality in the US. The argument being made in that case (which the Supreme Court ruled against 5 4) is that funding schools via property taxes leads to this prolonged entrenched inequality.
The actual case is about whether the poor school system was allowed to have higher prop taxes than Texas allowed. In the details are the inequality argument (hence 4th amendment being at issue).
In my opinion state INCOME TAXES are the way to fund schools - lower prop taxes and make schools more equal - now everyone is happy (except those who want their 3M home to be in an exclusive school district).
m348e912
3 days ago
Spend per pupil is a factor, but I have to agree with the parent poster, if you remove bad, disruptive, or underperforming kids from a school, and replaced them with disciplined, over-achieving students, the rest of the student body benefits. This is independent of school funding.
Private schools, even ones that receive less tuition per student than public schools of the same district prove this point because they can set a higher bar and more readily kick out disruptive students.
wahern
3 days ago
California spends more money on low-income school districts than the average, and I think that's generally true most other places, especially since No Child Left behind (which for all it's problems by-and-large forced states to invest in poorer schools.)
Nationally, per student cost at Catholic parochial schools is roughly 1/2 of public schools. (Couldn't find California specific numbers, but it tracks what I've seen.) That's cost/spending; tuition is even less. Special education programs eat up 1/4-1/3 of public school budgets, so there's still a gap after accounting for that.
1973 was over 50 years ago. Even the poorest, most "backward" states have long ago largely remediated spending inequities. What you hear today to support claims of inequity are cherry-picked esoteric cases to drive outrage, just like every other topic today. In reality there's clearly much more going on than what advocates for this or that would ever admit.
bluecheese452
3 days ago
Private schools get to pick their customers. Public schools have to take everyone.
RestlessMind
3 days ago
Which supports parent comment's thesis - disparities in outcomes are not about funding, rather about the students and more importantly their families.
wredcoll
2 days ago
Perhaps it costs more to accomodate all students instead of the cherry picked "good ones".
wahern
3 days ago
That's true to an extent, but much less true of Catholic parochial schools. In fact, such schools will sometimes have a population with average income less than the local public schools. Of course most parochial schools won't have special education programs, so that's a huge filter, but as I pointed out doesn't account for the budget gap.
In any event, "picking your customers" is exactly the point of the previous poster(s). Money doesn't really explain what we're seeing. Once upon a time there was a very strong correlation, and people presumed causation, but now it's quite clear that the causation wasn't there. Certainly not directly, which is why throwing more money at the schools isn't helping.
bluecheese452
3 days ago
Money can be extremely strongly correlated but if I get to kick out the bottom 20% of shitheads I can still outperform you on half the budget. Not talking income wise, talking behavior wise.
afavour
3 days ago
Sounds similar to charter schools in NYC. They often get better results than public schools but because they “manage out” kids with bad behavior and/or learning disabilities, in a way public schools cannot.
wahern
3 days ago
Some public charter schools do the exact opposite, take in the problem kids so they can be given an environment better suited to their challenges. For example, Gateway Highschool in San Francisco. And they have better outcomes for those kids. But better is relative, and they get alot of criticism from those convinced equity demands the whole student population be perfectly shuffled across all classrooms, and who argue having such options excuses the district from providing even more resources to the average classroom. Many of those same people also work to prohibit ever removing a problem child from a classroom (see recent controversy in SF, about schools secretly doing that despite city prohibitions on suspension or even class removal), arguing instead every classroom should have 2 or 3 additional instructors, as if that would magically cease the disruptions.
peterfirefly
3 days ago
You can probably do it on a tenth of the budget.
NoMoreNicksLeft
3 days ago
It's doubtful that a catholic parochial school has ever turned away a catholic student. Certainly if that happens, it must be rare. If catholic students are superior to non-catholics, through some self-selection process, how does that invalidate his point? They're not being picky intentionally. A great many admit non-catholic students, often on scholarship, those students also tend to do well.
Public schools have to take children that do not want to be there and make it everyone's problem, and their classmates suffer for it. Maybe this public school policy is the issue that should concern you.
vtbassmatt
3 days ago
Catholic schools turn away Catholics all the time. A good friend of mine, extremely devout Catholic, has two of his kids in Catholic school. He was told that his child with special needs couldn’t be educated there. She’s in public school (and doing great).
jjav
2 days ago
> It's doubtful that a catholic parochial school has ever turned away a catholic student.
I went to a catholic high school (not for the catholic part, but because it was a good school at a good price and nearby). Anyone with non-trivial behavior issues was kicked out very swiftly, so yes, they definitely turn away the inconvenient kids.
bluecheese452
3 days ago
That is entirely my point. Catholic schools aren’t doing anything special they are just not keeping the problem kids. Why do you assume this doesn’t concern me?
wahern
3 days ago
Two kids from my child's parochial middle school were suspended for a day last week. I've seen many suspensions over the years, but never once an expulsion. One time several years ago (at another school, mind you) a half dozen families tried to force the expulsion of a kid for the frequent hitting that occurred. My child was one of the kids to get hit. But the principal pushed back extremely hard and took a ton of flak. She stood her ground, though in the end the family voluntarily changed schools.
Today in many liberal cities kids simply can't be suspended at all, period. In many other areas corporal punishment and suspensions continue to be used way too much. But actual results don't really track the way people assume they do one way or another.
What's the real difference between parochial schools and public schools? IMO it has little to do with policies or resources, but the fact that parochial schools demand parental engagement. It's often a prerequisite for admission. If the school knows the parent is engaged and working with the school, they'll often deal with behavioral problems that most public schools wouldn't or simply can't. By contrast, a friend of mine saw his entire public grammar school get shutdown by a self-identified radically progressive school board in Boston for failing to expel a kindergartner after a single incident (perpetrator, black boy; victim white girl; though really if anyone was paying attention the boy was arguably the victim, both by the ridiculous outrage, but also whatever was happening in his home life). This was at a school specifically created to mix rich white students with poor black students, and every family opted in to the experiment, and the school staff was simply following the gold-standard liberal policies the school was created for; policies which in this case were easily defensible, IMO. Its sad the way things went down, though the hypocrisy exposed was telling. People want to throw money at problems, virtue signal, and demand everybody else do something about these problems, only so long as they're not personally effected.
If the parent isn't engaged or can't be engaged, throwing more resources at the school won't help. If you want better outcomes, shift attention toward helping parents become more engaged. There are myriad ways to do that, and I really don't know what might help. But trying to fix the problem through school policies and resources isn't going to work. That avenue has been exhausted, though it still demands vigilance in maintaining appropriate resource distribution. Unfortunately, suggesting this kind of approach has categorically become a form of victim blaming--i.e. blaming parents for being poor.
BobaFloutist
3 days ago
I would imagine that catholic parochial schools are selecting for parents that bother to put in the effort to swap their kids from the default, free public schools to the catholic schools.
mancerayder
2 days ago
Cherry-picked? Define cherry-picked. Certainly into the 2000s if you looked at, let's take NJ, and compared the school rankings to spend per pupil you'd find an absolute correlation that ties back to property values. We'd be comparing places like Camden and New Brunswick to places like Princeton, where kids have many more programs and opportunities. I'm talking published numbers of per pupil per year $ spend.
I don't understand your criticism. That 1973, the date of the case in question, is so old that we've solved school inequality?
fmajid
2 days ago
Isn't that basically what KIPP schools are aiming for?
Rich parents' kids with drug habits or a sense of entitlement can be just as bad.
GetTheFacts
3 days ago
Yep. And those bad, disruptive and underperforming kids should be sent out into the cotton fields by age six or seven, and their (obviously) inferior parents should be sterilized so they can't continue to pollute the gene pool.
Because we already know which children will be a drag on society by the time they're six or seven, right? And if we'd started doing this twenty-five years ago, we'd be much better off.
I propose intelligence/physical prowess tests for all children starting at age two or three, so we can start to weed out the dead weight much earlier.
And sterilizing the parents (as well as the kids -- but that goes without saying) will, in the medium term, address much of the tightness in the housing and job markets. It's a win-win!
And if a few decades is too long to wait for this, we could always go with summary executions, right? Or at least work camps for the inferior where they won't be a burden on society.
Sadly, all those "woke" pinko commies want to destroy our way of life by polluting our gene pool with the inferior stock, because they hate us and our free and equal society!
ndriscoll
3 days ago
This response is why people with means simply move away, hope you don't follow, and aggressively vote to keep housing supply low near them.
GetTheFacts
3 days ago
Poe's Law[0] strikes again, eh?
ndriscoll
3 days ago
Unless you have some multi-layered satire thing going, I take your post to mean that you disagree with removing disruptive kids from ordinary classrooms. Okay, but do you actually have a solution? Or do we simply accept that schools all become zoos? Your rant is uninteresting and people have been saying this stuff for my entire life.
If you're going to say nothing can be done, then okay, the people who want something better will just move to live with each other in a community where this kind of problem doesn't exist, and do everything they can to keep it from following them. They can be happy that they have their standards, and you can be happy that you have yours.
GetTheFacts
3 days ago
>Okay, but do you actually have a solution? Or do we simply accept that schools all become zoos?
So, by you are those the only two outcomes? Dump/warehouse disruptive kids and deny them any opportunity to become productive members of society before they even hit puberty, or let them run hog wild and burn down the schools?
I'd expect there's some middle ground here that doesn't include either giving up on children just because they're having socialization issues or putting those children in charge of the school.
Do I have all the answers? No. But if you're going to advocate for throwing away children because they misbehave, why stop there? That's not a rhetorical question.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
I'm not advocating for throwing away anyone with no opportunity. I chose to live somewhere where I can avoid the issue and vote against letting it come here, but I still pay for their schooling/daycare like everyone else. I suggest that the people who want to deal with the problem start disciplining the kids. Correct them. Give them after-school detention where they sit and write that they're sorry 1000 times. Isolate them from the rest of the kids if they consistently can't behave. That may involve sending them to some kind of reform school for cases where the other kids' safety is at risk. Or allow principals and perhaps teachers to deliver corporal punishment as needed.
If we're looking at things realistically, some of these children are violent. Yes, those should absolutely be removed and possibly locked in a facility if they can't be controlled. It's unfortunate, but the alternative is allowing everyone else to be harmed, for what exactly? Because you cannot face the reality that they are not going to suddenly turn into a saint and develop an interest in curing cancer when they grow up?
wredcoll
2 days ago
> I'm not advocating for throwing away anyone with no opportunity. I chose to live somewhere where I can avoid the issue and vote against letting it come here
This is the definition of conservatism. It's not a problem as long as it's not your family suffering.
If you had a "problem child" you'd be singing a different tune about how acceptable it was to discard them.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
Not sure what to tell you. It's been a problem for decades and only gets worse. How would you like me to solve the problem? Go to these children's houses and give their parents a stern talking to?
I don't have a problem child. Neither do any of my neighbors. In fact it's apparently normal for 20% of my local school to test at the 99th percentile on state tests, and they're extremely polite. Weird. My wife's volunteering to lead our local girl scout troop and helps regularly at the school. It seems we're doing our part, so I'm really not sure what else you would like.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> Not sure what to tell you. It's been a problem for decades and only gets worse
It's been a problem for literally millennia. This hardly unique to 21st century america.
Yes, I'm glad you don't have a "problem child". That's genuinely great, I wish everyone was that lucky.
What I would like, in the smallest possible way, is some shred of empathy for people who aren't as lucky as you are. Perhaps you could practice the concept of "walking a mile in another man's shoes" and make an attempt to understand what they're dealing with instead of dismissing them as inferior.
I'm also happy your wife is volunteering to help with girl scouts. I think that's a great thing and more people should do it.
But that doesn't excuse your lack of empathy.
Kids are not some kind of deterministic automatons where the same input always produces the same output (as if we could even reproduce the same inputs for an entire life). They're more complicated than that for reasons we frankly can't even understand.
There are a number of things that are highly correlated with producing a "good child", a major one being having enough money that the family isn't under constant stress and you can afford second (or third or fourth) chances.
But callously discarding every child who isn't lucky enough to benefit from this is just wrong. We, as a society, a culture, should be better than that.
Am I expecting you, personally, to go out and change the world? No, no more than I'm expecting myself to do it. But we all make small decisions every day and if enough of us make the "right ones" they can add up, and it starts with empathy for our fellow man.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
My wife and I both come from broken homes. Neither of us came from money. Sure, there are plenty of good people of every class, but if you spend a lot of time around lower class people, you'll learn that a lot of them will very proudly broadcast their poor behavior to everybody. It is precisely because we can empathize a little too well that we know to avoid those kinds of situations as much as possible.
We do our part, and we've decided to live in an area where others also do their part and try to build a community and a society, and not in an area where people tear down the community around them, or make excuses for those who do that. Again, what exactly are you chiding me for? What should I be doing differently? It's not us keeping them down. We're gone.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> We're gone.
Are you familiar with the phrase "pulling up the ladder behind you"?
ndriscoll
2 days ago
Yes. How is it relevant? Like I said I still pay taxes. In fact, quite a bit more than my parents did. It's not me voting for them to not receive an education. It's not my kids disrupting their classes. I'd be happy to vote for a school board full of hard-ass drill instructors that appoint hard-ass drill instructors as superintendents and principals. I'm happy for kids to receive merit scholarships and go study engineering.
This isn't pulling the ladder up behind me. It's noticing a ladder, climbing out of a pit, and walking away. Ladder's still right there. Meanwhile others are asking why we don't try to make ourselves more comfortable in the pit.
m348e912
2 days ago
I understand that you're probably a bleeding heart liberal, and I respect that. How about removing the problem children AND specifically increasing funding for their education? Smaller class sizes and more intensive support than the rest of the student body.
I would argue that their outcomes in general would still be worse off then their lesser funded counterparts.
wredcoll
2 days ago
Well, that's the first time I've ever been called a bleeding heart liberal before, so I guess I'll take that as a compliment. I'm kinda confused by what even counts as liberal these days, given the, shall we say, discourse about it from "both sides". Not that I consider myself a shudder centrist.
Anyways, I'm not taking the position that we shouldn't "remove" "problem children" in the same way I agree that prisons are necessary for society.
I guess if I had to summarize my feelings on this matter in this tiny little text box, it's that while this option should exist, we should all feel shame, a sense of failure, every time we have to exercise it.
We should ask ourselves, collectively, what we could have done differently to prevent the situation from coming to this point.
It's theoretically possible that there was nothing that could be done, but people are way to willing too just leap to that conclusion.
As an extension of that, we should at least pretend a modicum of empathy for our fellow humans. People are... people. They're complicated. Nobody is good or bad. They certainly do good things and bad things, and at some point, given our current society/technology/culture/understanding of the world, our best option might be to put them in prison for the rest of their life, but that doesn't mean we should be happy about it.
Like, I get it, you have a child, you have incredibly strong feelings about how to protect and nurture this child, both biologically/genetically as well as an ingrained cultural response. You want to do the best you possibly can for your child, even if it comes at the expense of everyone else's child.
But society improves when we raise the standards for everyone.
I'm not asking that this guy go out and sell all his possessions and march in the streets or whatever extreme example you want to think of. I'm certainly not doing that either. Just remember that "problem kids" are children just as much deserving of love and respect and help as your child.
user
2 days ago
mancerayder
2 days ago
I'm not a parent, but even if I were your satire wouldn't move me - I'd still want the best for my kids and my decisions would reflect that.
Theoretical social causes and activism are great for university discussions and political sloganeering, but it's a whole different pair of sleeves than what's good for your family.
GetTheFacts
2 days ago
>Theoretical social causes and activism are great for university discussions and political sloganeering, but it's a whole different pair of sleeves than what's good for your family.
To which "theoretical social causes," "activism" and "political sloganeering" are you referring?
I'm genuinely confused by that, as I mentioned none of those things in my comment. Perhaps you replied to the wrong comment?
4d4m
8 hours ago
Spend per pupil is uncorrelated. It's about the quality of parents first, the morals and values they instill in their kids (or don't - they are a reflection of their parents successes or failures).
https://www.brookings.edu/articles/a-state-level-perspective...
Rich parents spend hundreds of thousands a year to control for one factor: just to keep their "average" offspring away from noisy and distracting troublemakers whose parents can't get their life together enough to even do the basic parenting. You wouldn't throw your puppy into a pool of sharks, so why would you put your kid in a suboptimal and potentially dangerous place if you can afford otherwise?
johnnyanmac
3 days ago
Spend per pupil matters to some extent. But overall speaking, the US has very high spend per pupil and yet still is falling in educational rankings.[0][1][2]
Increased spending doesn't matter if it goes into administrators who increase bureaucracy instead of teachers to keep them from quitting to be baristas, or to supplies and food for kids. Among many other systematic factors, accountability needs to be had for districts and even parents themselves.
0: https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2026/school-s...
1: https://www.statista.com/chart/15434/the-countries-spending-...
2: https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/education...
JuniperMesos
3 days ago
> In my opinion state INCOME TAXES are the way to fund schools - lower prop taxes and make schools more equal - now everyone is happy (except those who want their 3M home to be in an exclusive school district).
It doesn't really matter exactly what tax mechanism is used to fund public schools, the actual thing keeping a 3 million dollar home in an exclusive school district is that you have to be able to afford a 3 million dollar home in order to live in the boundaries of the district and send your kids to the school.
infecto
3 days ago
I wish I could find it now but I think generally money only drives so much change. One of the biggest issues these days is parents both dont care and get offended when you suggest their child did something wrong. As a parent myself the only lever I have is to buy a home is a district with good schools. It’s a self selection problem.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> One of the biggest issues these days is parents both dont care and get offended when you suggest their child did something wrong
Are you referring to the stereotype of rich parents buying their kids out of trouble?
infecto
2 days ago
I did not specify it so nope.
wredcoll
2 days ago
Apparently I was too subtle.
Refusing to discipline your child is hardly restricted to "the lower class".
infecto
2 days ago
Apparently I was not direct enough.
I never said anything about lower class or wealth. Next time if you want to have a constructive discussion, discuss don’t leave your biased emotions putting words in others mouth.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> One of the biggest issues these days is parents both dont care and get offended when you suggest their child did something wrong
This is not how you have a constructive discussion.
This is bigotry and prejudice with no factual basis.
infecto
2 days ago
What are you talking about? How is that bigotry? Why are you putting words in peoples mouth.
Talk to any teacher in America, it’s one of the biggest problems today. It’s not class, or money but something got lost and parents expect schools to raise their children but at the same time will be deeply offended that the child they did not raise is misbehaving.
HDThoreaun
3 days ago
Yea this is a not a good take imo. I went to school in a district where every school got the same funding per student, but the schools in the wealthy neighborhoods were way more successful than the ones in bad neighborhoods. You can point to fundraising efforts, but after looking at the balance sheet the students with a high percentage of poor students actually ended up with more funding per student because of federal grants to schools that had students under the poverty line. The only real difference was that parents were more involved at the rich school and all of them punished their kids when the teacher said they needed discipline. In this district at least all the schools had the baseline level of funding they needed and past that more money didnt seem to make a huge difference.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> of them punished their kids when the teacher said they needed discipline
Have you ever met a rich kid with rich parents? Punishment is unlikely.
thelastgallon
3 days ago
Or property taxes on billionaires. They are reaping the benefits of an educated population more than anyone else, why should someone else subsidize a highly qualified workforce for them? Property tax on all kinds of property they own. It must be done at a federal level to prevent state shopping.
wonnage
3 days ago
I think the effect is twofold - spend/pupil tends to benefit poorer students more (diminishing returns), so a good school in a poor neighborhood needs more $$ to achieve equivalent outcomes. And then the lower property tax revenue in the poorer neighborhood makes it harder to sustain that higher spend
peterfirefly
3 days ago
No, the money spent per pupil has a tiny effect (at best!) on outcomes.
There are also massive transfers involved (and the US has had them for at least twenty years) so the property taxes (in the US) have little to do with how much money schools have per pupil.
ihsw
3 days ago
There are some schools where unlimited spending would have no benefit whatsoever.
There is a reason we don't send untold billions of dollars in aid to Africa anymore and the answer isn't racism. The same logic applies here.
Ifkaluva
3 days ago
What makes a bad kid bad, and a bad parent bad? I can imagine a bad kid is an unruly/misbehaving kid, but not sure what it means for a parent to be bad.
johnnyanmac
3 days ago
Bad parent begets a bad kid. Not necessarily by malice, but it happens nonetheless.
If you are a parent working 2 dead end part time jobs to barely pay the bills and have no emotional nor physical energy to properly love your child: well, you're a "bad parent" in society's eyes. It's not your fault at all, but that's how you'll be seen.
rayiner
3 days ago
Dumb, low impulse control, poorly socialized. My mother in law by contrast lives in a part of the Oregon coast in a town where most of the kids' parents are divorced. They make bad decisions, impulse purchases, have run-ins with the law, etc. By contrast in the WASPy Virginia suburbs where I grew up, I knew one kid with divorced parents. I didn't know anybody who got arrested, had a substance-abuse problem, etc. Almost everyone I knew went to college.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> By contrast in the WASPy Virginia suburbs where I grew up, I knew one kid with divorced parents. I didn't know anybody who got arrested, had a substance-abuse problem, etc. Almost everyone I knew went to college.
Drug abuse rates tend to be similar in such places, they just tend to use different ones and be able to afford them, at least for a while.
Same with other crimes where things like DUIs can have lawyers involved that "manage" the outcomes.
rayiner
2 days ago
Do you have a source for that? Google Gemini says that’s true if you define “drug abuse” broadly to include things like alcohol. It’s well established, for example, that more affluent people drink more. But I suspect they are less likely to use meth or things that cause really negative outcomes.
wredcoll
2 days ago
I mean, if we want to define "really negative outcomes" then I'll see what I can do.
FromTheFirstIn
3 days ago
Your definition of good parenting appears to be mostly about not getting divorced. I’m sure many of us know people whose parents stuck together and were bad parents- I know I do. I think this definition is lacking pretty considerably.
rayiner
2 days ago
There are good reasons for getting divorced. At the same time, a lot of divorce is just low impulse control people making bad decisions or lacking the social skills to be able to overcome difficult situations. And those people are generally not very good parents, divorce being a symptom of the underlying problem rather than a cause.
ndriscoll
3 days ago
Keeping your family intact is a necessary but not sufficient condition for good parenting.
wredcoll
2 days ago
It really truly isn't.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
The fact that you believe this is what forces me to conclude the answer for my family is to move somewhere where people share our values (c.f. our other discussion). If we can't even have people agree that an intact family is critically important, then what's the point in trying to find solutions to other problems, many of which are downstream of broken families? It's a fool's errand.
(and then weirdly, when I leave, I'm "pulling the ladder up." Shouldn't it be good riddance to me? Since I'm wrong and simply bigoted, of course)
wredcoll
2 days ago
Let me try to explain at more length.
I think, believe, that having two parents is better than one parent for a child. In the same way that having some number of grand parents and aunts and uncles and other relatives is also probably better. More relatives, generally speaking, means access to more resources and more resources for children strongly correlates to being richer later in life.
I don't believe that having one "good" parent and one abusive parent is better than having just a single good parent.
Some kids don't get to have two loving parents. What is supposed to happen to them? It's certainly not their fault.
Like, I'm challenging your values here and your response is "well I'll just leave" and you act like this is what I want.
It's not what I want. I want people to care and more crucially do stuff for their community/society/culture/nation/whatever. I want people to work together to raise everyone's standard of living.
It's like building wheel chair ramps everywhere and then discovering that, hey, ramps are also really useful if you're trying to push a baby carriage or wheel some luggage around or even just move up a level with really bad knees.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
Having one parent is probably better than two where one is abusive, yes. But personally I set my bar for "good parent" quite a bit higher than "doesn't abuse their child." Did the abusive parent get a brain tumor or suffer a stroke causing a sudden personality change? Or could anyone with an IQ over 70 see that they were a garbage person from a mile away from their neck tattoos, previous child, and advertised marijuana use (real example of a glaringly obvious situation I watched of an intentional pregnancy between an unwed couple that lasted for 2 months after the kid was born)? Like I said in the other thread, a lot of trashy people will very openly broadcast that fact, including proudly calling themselves trashy. It is a real culture. You do not want this to rub off on your kids.
I think I made it clear with my "we moved somewhere nice" that that's not what I'd like either. It's not a kid's fault that their family sucks. But it's not every other kid's fault either. Schools should do what they can to discipline these kids (generally, they don't). But they also need to still teach the kids who did have loving parents instead of spending all available resources on the kids who didn't, and likely this means separating groups of kids with different needs, which they are loath to do. But it absolutely is the parents' fault. Unless someone died or suffered an extreme random personality change, that includes single parents.
rayiner
2 days ago
You’re arguing against a strawman. Most divorce isn’t because one partner is abusive. That happens. But that’s not most of what’s happening. My wife is from a part of the country with a lot of lower income white folks, and I’ve made a lot of observations about divorce. It seems to me like much of it is people with poor impulse control making bad decisions and the lack of social structure to help guide those people to make better ones.
FromTheFirstIn
a day ago
So if my wife dies of an aneurysm I’m a bad father, got it.
ndriscoll
14 hours ago
I believe you already correctly identified we're talking about separation/divorce, though even in the case of death, it's still going to be extraordinarily difficult to be a good parent without a lot of support.
user
13 hours ago
user
3 days ago
infecto
3 days ago
Anecdotal but the number 1 thing I have seen is bad parents don’t pass consequences to their children. They are both uninterested in raising their child but will be the first to defend their children when they do wrong.
user
3 days ago
weknowbetter
3 days ago
Are poor people worse parents?
peterfirefly
3 days ago
Often enough that high house prices can keep your kids away from most bad kids. I think it's a crude mechanism that still allows too many bad kids in and keeps a lot of good kids out. I don't like it. It's also the best available mechanism in many countries.
tomrod
3 days ago
Probably not in desire/at heart. Constraints on time can be real though, and can impact child economic outcomes.
ndriscoll
3 days ago
IME yes, upper middle class people are much less likely to let TV/video games raise their kids, are much less likely to be divorced/have multiple families, etc. They tend to be very involved parents. Being conscientious, agreeable, and intelligent tends to make you a good parent and bring economic success. Being impulsive, antisocial, and stupid tends to make you a bad parent and not bring very much economic success. So you obviously end up with a correlation.
wredcoll
2 days ago
> Being impulsive, antisocial, and stupid tends to make you a bad parent and not bring very much economic success
Have you heard of this fellow named donald trump?
> IME yes, upper middle class people are much less likely to let TV/video games raise their kids, are much less likely to be divorced/have multiple families
You have proof for this, of course? It's something that could easily be measured right?
ndriscoll
2 days ago
> tends
I don't really feel like quoting a bunch of studies for something obvious, but yes. Go look at SES (or educational attainment as a proxy)'s relation to family structure and screen use policy. Lower income kids are far more likely to own a smartphone or spend more hours on screens, for example. Kids whose parents went to college are far more likely to have 2 married parents. And if you've lived around both groups you'll find this is kind of obvious.
roenxi
3 days ago
> It's just the best way available to most people in the West.
Have the people in the west not considered letting parents send kids to a school that they pay for directly? Then people can self-sort. It seems like a really obvious solution to have a good school and a cheap school in the local area.
vkou
3 days ago
It's a great way to have an ossified society with a de-facto caste system, where half of it spends its entire time terrified of the other half. Why actually deal with any problems when you can just quarantine them and their children in a ghetto?
I understand this sort of thing is fantastic for social cohesion and has no negative consequences. (/s)
Everything turns to shit, but hey, the picket fences are white inside my gated HOA.
ndriscoll
3 days ago
How do we deal with those problems? Ban divorce and force marriage for unwed parents? Public flogging for letting your toddler have tiktok? CPS investigation if your child starts school without knowing their alphabet and numbers?
There are certain very basic standards that one segment wants to live with and normalize for their kids. If the other part aren't going to live up to them, you're never going to get social cohesion anyway. It isn't the people from the HOA community who are going to the ghetto and tagging it with graffiti or littering with used drug needles.
vkou
2 days ago
Doing literally anything to unfuck the cycle of poverty and de-facto economic and civic segregation would be a good start, but if all you can think of is punishing them harder, I can understand why no headway will ever be made.
On the subject of children and what they are raised to learn and value, the country also happens to be allergic to instilling a common, non-toxic civic culture. It chants the pledge of allegiance before it's old enough to understand half the words like a prayer or a magical incantation, without ever taking the time to drill down or stand behind any of the values it purports.
PS. Drug use and abuse, shitty parenting, and poor family planning happens to a very significant degree in all communities in this country, but the consequences all those things cause are actively amplified for people living in the trailer park and on MLK way, while society bends over backwards to mitigate them for people living behind picket fences.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
Okay, so again, what do we do? Punishment is out. How do we get people to simply desire to do better?
I see a lot of empty words around how I shouldn't identify poor behavior, but no suggestions for how we end it. "Break the cycle" okay how? Education is free and lower income areas generally have more school funding. We have programs for rent, utilities, food, medical care, and just straight cash.
How do we get people to value themselves and their families, much less something abstract like our republic? In this very thread there are people who are presumably somewhat wealthy saying e.g. divorce is fine.
vkou
2 days ago
> Okay, so again, what do we do? Punishment is out. How do we get people to simply desire to do better?
Provide a bloody baseline. Every child deserves an environment they are given everything that a child needs to succeed, regardless of how fucked their home life is. The state can only control what happens outside of school so much, but it can control what happens in school.
It means transportation to and from school, or walkable access to them. It means school lunches. It means a space to work and study. It means a space that is safe and free from antisocial disruption. It means dealing with the antisocial disruption, through the counseling and support services children need.
You can't fix every broken human being, but you can not just abandon them after putting in minimal effort.
> Education is free and lower income areas generally have more school funding.
That delta is nowhere near enough, because the job of educating a child with an absolutely fucked home life is monumentally harder than one who doesn't have one. But it's necessary to do it, to work on the problem long-term.
---
> How do we get people to value themselves and their families, much less something abstract like our republic?
Teach them to be a part of their community. Put them to meaningful work that improves it. This is huge for social cohesion, and every high-cohesion society or high-cohesion subculture in a low-cohesion society does it.
For a trivial example, Japanese students don't clean their classrooms because their schools are too cheap to hire janitors. There's no shortage of that kind of work that children can meaningfully do that improves them, their environment, and their town, and gives them a reason to give a shit about it.
Clubs are another. The level of support and funding for them dramatically falls short of where they should be. They should not be an optional activity largely available and patronized by the college-application-padding upper-middle-class. They are necessary for proper development.
You can also attack the problem from the other direction - doing less to actively create broken families and households. There's an incredible perception of unfairness in society, and reasonable people will treat it the same way that they feel it treats them.
ndriscoll
2 days ago
I think we're basically in agreement on all of that, though it seems to me that the general trend is toward it becoming only marginally less difficult to get schools to deal with antisocial disruption than fixing all of the broken home lives that cause it. Membership in youth groups like Boy Scouts that stressed civic engagement has also dropped precipitously.
peterfirefly
2 days ago
> Punishment is out.
Punishment is cheap and actually quite likely to work.
wredcoll
2 days ago
I'm genuinely confused why you're so certain that the kids of rich parents don't use tiktok.
jjav
2 days ago
> Why actually deal with any problems when you can just quarantine them and their children in a ghetto?
I think you maybe misunderstood previous poster? They were suggesting (unless I am the one misunderstanding) that families shouldn't be able to select a school based on how rich they are, which would accomplish a much more egalitarian society, the opposite result of what you suggest.
See for example schools in Finland, where you don't get this US-style outcome of the very rich sending kids to elite schools destined to be CxOs and the very poor having no choice but to go to mostly very bad schools.
https://www.techclass.com/resources/education-insights/are-t...
nine_k
3 days ago
Imagine a town with a number of wealthy homeowners, most of them old enough that their kids have grown up. Their municipality is already flush with cash. They already only need few schools for their kids and grandkids. They just want to pressure the less wealthy undesirables away, and use tax (dis)incentives to do that.
tomrod
3 days ago
I understand the mid-term thinking.
Those extra water pipes and electric utilities, superfluous roads, excess lighting, and extra patrol units aren't going to maintain themselves in a lightening tax base. Same with the now-older schools built for their now-grown little kids when they moved in.
Long term, properties decrease as it is no longer a desirable area.
bee_rider
3 days ago
Are pensions still an effective way to attract workers? I feel like there’ve been enough cases where workers get screwed out of them, that this isn’t much of an incentive. Similar to offering engineers equity in a startup.
Anything past the paycheck is a gamble.
Aurornis
3 days ago
Many of those historically attractive pensions were deeply unfunded or built on ideas of unreasonable returns continuing for decades.
In other words, they couldn’t afford them but the payments were promised anyway. The people making the decisions and benefiting from the pensions didn’t care because they’d be retired by the time it mattered.
This has been a real problem for some cities where dealing with pension related payments and debt has become a huge burden that crushes their budgets and takes away from services that non-retired people need. There are crazy examples like Oregon where the system was so broken that pension payments were actually higher than the person’s salary before they retired, so retiring made their pay go up during the craziest window.
The reason so many people got “screwed” out of those pensions is because they were sold something that couldn’t have worked. The reason those don’t exist any more is because you can’t pull that trick again and the places that had these pensions are already paying too much to old retirees to even think about adding new ones to that crushing expense bucket.
If you start making a reasonable pension program that can last, it’s not as amazing and people aren’t drawn to it.
tomrod
3 days ago
They were for a substantial portion of time, such that today's pension obligations remain relevant.
dv_dt
3 days ago
In California, most cities are behind on funding pensions. There is a de facto assumption/delusion that there will be some large scale bailout at some point.
majormajor
3 days ago
>The second order effect will be that rental properties are driven from places where this applies.
This is likely very intentional in some of these places.
Growing up in suburban TX decades ago, people FREAKED out at talk of potential apartment building development nearby. The duplexes a mile away were 'bad enough.'
nine_k
3 days ago
Why did they freak out? What was their threat model, so to say? (I can imagine several lines of reasoning, but as a hardcore urbanite, can miss the mark entirely.)
SOLAR_FIELDS
3 days ago
Also grew up in suburban Texas, saw similar freak outs, and can tell you it's thinly veiled racism and distaste towards being forced to be around people who are part of perceived lower socioeconomic classes.
The threat model is "been indoctrinated by years of propaganda to be fearful of a vague nebulous threat of being around people who don't look and act like me"
Loughla
3 days ago
The town near where my parents lived just had a subdivision kill a multi family apartment complex because it was too close to their subdivision. There was no thinly veiled racism. It was just racism. Poor and black people apparently bring your property values down. The protests were, quite literally, we don't want those people here, without defining what 'those' meant.
It was not great to watch, but it was great to let my parents know who exactly they should stop associating with.
59percentmore
3 days ago
>Poor and black people apparently bring your property values down.
They do. But it's not a law of nature; it's a conscious decision, by people who should know better, to start lowballing real estate and salaries when they notice "too many" lower-income or black (of any income level, including high) people around.
You don't want to call it a concerted effort, but then you look up, say, the distribution of Whole Foods stores in the National Capital Region, and start to wonder.
RestlessMind
3 days ago
I was confused by the same when I first came to the US. Had spent my entire life in big cities until then. My American friends explained to me that in a suburbia, apartment buildings or public transportation is used only by poor people. Homeowners do not want them nearby because of the assumption of associated poverty with increased crime.
user
3 days ago
user
3 days ago
NoMoreNicksLeft
3 days ago
Falling home prices, increased crime, decreased social status, long term political shift resulting in suboptimal and even counter-interest local policy.
59percentmore
3 days ago
Surprisingly, these changes benefit one generation in particular*.
No, no, you don't have to get up, I'll just flag myself.
*who get very angry when you point out that their voting behavior over the past half-century is at the root of almost every issue America faces.
nradov
3 days ago
That really depends on the state. Some states have different public school district funding mechanisms that don't depend as much on local property tax collections.
Fire trucks are far more expensive to acquire and maintain than necessary due to monopolistic actions by manufacturers, plus local governments buying fancier apparatus than they really need. There's a lot of room to trim those particular expenses.
https://www.iaff.org/news/fire-apparatus-crisis-sparks-inves...
gopher_space
3 days ago
> Fire trucks are far more expensive to acquire and maintain than necessary due to monopolistic actions by manufacturers, plus local governments buying fancier apparatus than they really need. There's a lot of room to trim those particular expenses.
The real problem with fire equipment is that it will sit there in an emergency unless you have the staff on hand to operate it. Small, remote, or cheap towns get to burn while they wait for volunteer #2 to make it to the station.
stockresearcher
a day ago
Yes, this is correct.
My uncle used to be in charge of the fire services in a mostly rural, sparsely populated county in a Western state. They bought their equipment used from well-funded dense suburban departments, generally in New York or New Jersey where equipment was in almost constant use and replaced often to ensure high availability. Once in a more rural area where some equipment might go a month or more between uses, such equipment was perfectly fine. They would keep them around for 3-5 years and then sell to a fire district in an even more rural area.
So there's always equipment. Just not always someone to operate it. Especially when you'd have to pay decent wages for a crew to sit around and do nothing for days or weeks at a time, these places instead either have volunteers or part-time employees that only come to the station when called.
tomrod
3 days ago
I appreciate this knowledge tidbit. Firetrucks aren't the only relevant example, and perhaps it is less fit to purpose than I assessed originally.
8note
3 days ago
theres also (3) those single family home neighborhoods require much more government maintained infrastructure for water and roads
isityettime
3 days ago
I think that's true but in some cases it's also about making home ownership, in the sense of having a home you can't lose short of a destructive disaster, even possible. In a lot of cities property taxes are enough to get in the way of secure housing for, e.g., disabled people. It seems reasonable to want owning the house you live in to be a possibility for planning to eventually live on a fixed or low income.
Someone I know is trying to plan such a thing right now. She has a decent paying job and a degenerative, disability-inflicting illness. She'd like to see the possibility of a secure future in the city where she's lived for the past 10 years, but property taxes and HOA fees alone in her city can be multiple thousands of dollars per month in neighborhoods that from the outside you wouldn't think seem particularly new or posh or luxurious. It seems that if she's forced into early retirement by disability, she'll have no choice but to relocate. So instead she feels trapped in a job she hates because she got it before she became disabled because she's reasonably afraid that employment discrimination, which is terrible at her job that nominally espouses inclusive values, will be even worse most other places. And while she's already disabled, her disability will only continue to get more profound for the rest of her life. And property taxes for sole and lived-in-by-the-owner homes is one of the reason that owning a condo or apartment is so much more expensive than renting one for her.
tkfu
3 days ago
> property taxes and HOA fees alone
I feel like HOA fees have to be doing most of the damage there. AFAIK the highest property taxes in the US still top out around 2%, so for a "multiple thousands per month" property tax bill it has to be a house worth more than $1.2 million. I'm not sure what the line is for what level of housing expense is reasonable for society to subsidize housing security for, but I'm pretty sure $1.2 million is well past it.
Melatonic
3 days ago
True but imagine you're in the same home for 30 years. That home with somewhat affordable property taxes could double in value and now you owe double the tax. With no real increase in useable income unless you sell
saxonww
3 days ago
That's just property taxes in a nutshell, though. We periodically see discussions about land value taxes and it's a feature of those as well; proponents shrug and point out that you didn't do anything to earn that extra value so it doesn't belong to you anyway.
I'm not taking a position here other than to say I don't believe there is a universally acceptable tax. Every tax I've ever read about or experienced personally, someone has made a valid argument for why it leads to a bad outcome or is otherwise unfair. You have to decide what gets priority, pick the system that matches that, and then be honest about where you're making tradeoffs and why.
hirako2000
3 days ago
But property tax is just absurd.
The property was purchased with "after tax" money. So at purchase date the value was already taxed.
If one sells, and make a profit, we tax that profit. Why ask for a tax on the value of the property, each year.
There should be local taxes, and there are. To fund services and whatnot of course. But taxing a percent of the current value of a property is unfair as the owner may live in there with no intention to sell and potentially no revenue whatsoever.
pengstrom
3 days ago
Isn't all money "after tax" though? It all goes around. The exception would maybe be the treasury minting loans.
Everything is unfair. The housing crisis is unfair. Young families struggling to afford a family home is unfair. Having to pay into a pension system you'll never get to use is unfair. Land and housing is different from personal property. There's only so much to go around and we'll have to share. A property tax is one tool to incentivize efficient allocation, and to drive prices down.
hirako2000
3 days ago
The idea is to tax on income..income gets spent. You earn more and get taxed on "new income".
The concept of taxing what's already taxed has some perverse effects.
I concede though that property tax in the U.S is just a way for local authorities to be able to fund schools, and other municipal infrastructure. It remains odd though that most countries do have local taxes, but summing to a fraction of what a ~1% tax every year may represent. As it's a small percentage but on the most valuable and critical asset one may have sacrificed during his life, to own a roof as primary residence.
blks
3 days ago
The earned income/purchase paid tax only once, while the housing needs infrastructure to be maintained all the time. So some way to collect these (rising) fees is needed.
jjav
2 days ago
> Why ask for a tax on the value of the property, each year.
A fair system is to allow an exemption up to the value of a modest home in the area. So anyone owning a modest home (or less) pays no property tax, which is far to the poor. And those who can afford homes many multiples higher in cost, pay increasing taxes on the difference.
matwood
3 days ago
> But property tax is just absurd.
The value of that land relies on all of the ongoing services provided around the land. Go look at the value and taxes on land that has zero services (no road, power, water, sewage, maintenance, etc...) and you'll understand the difference.
larkost
3 days ago
Why is it unfair to tax a property that is receiving services at a rate proportional to its value? One part of the value of the police service this is paying for is for protecting your property, and certainly that is more valuable the more valuable your property is.
And one value of property taxes (one that is dysfunctional on empty lots) is that it encourages "maximum" use of high value property (lots of bad particulars here, but the overall direction is about right). While we may dislike an elderly person being effectively forced out of the home they have lived in for decades, it is usually for more "productive" uses (for the market definition of productive).
As an example my in-laws have three properties in Hungary that are empty, and have been for quite a few years. Cumulatively they get something like ten weeks of use in a year. But since Hungary does not have property taxes there is almost no incentive to make better use of these properties (yes, they could rent them out for an advantage, but there is no disadvantage pushing them to sell).
hirako2000
3 days ago
The argument of empty lots imo doesn't hold. See NYC and other cities where all homeless could be housed in currently sitting empty properties.
It is a problem though, I doubt a property tax is a solution, the proof is, it doesn't solve it.
I wouldn't be against taxing owners on their income, including dividends. To fund municipalities.
My argument isn't that taxes are bad. Public services need funding. Rather, that certain taxes are absurd.
If anything, this particular tax serves one thing that the working class on rental denounces: prime real estate neighborhoods typically are better policed, have better schools, and better infrastructure than what we call "poorer" area.
Edit: I don't imply it is due solely to this tax, but the concept of taxing properties imo makes redistributions naturally or cynically more localized to areas where more gets collected.
eks391
3 days ago
I haven't researched national stats, but from the experience of having lived in two states, one blue and one red in case that's important to a counter-argument, both limited property tax to 3% annual growth, even if the valuation is higher, preventing that exact scenario. It only jumped to tax on the correct valuation when the property exchanges owners.
Sure this doesn't prevent issues if someone is stuck on savings/Social Security, etc., but it prevent surprises, such as a boom in your area causing sudden explosion of equity and taxes due.
The cap required it be your residency, i.e. you aren't renting it out and you are a citizen.
hirako2000
3 days ago
3% yearly compounds to doubling the value in 24 years.
So even with the cap, it's more than likely the property tax costs a typical owner more than double what it did 30y ago.
Not a big deal if you bought at age 20 (unlikely) and still receive some work income. But if you are retired, it stings harder each year.
eks391
3 days ago
Again I can't speak for every principality across the board, but for the places I have lived, it seemed very fair. Regarding your concern, I might have been unclear, but when I said "limited property tax to 3% annual growth", I meant it can be lower, but doesn't exceed 3%. It adjusts with inflation unless inflation is over 3%, so no matter what, the owner is winning if it is their primary residence, with the caveats I previously mentioned.
hirako2000
3 days ago
I agree. I forgot inflation.
bluecheese452
3 days ago
Inflation adjusted though it is like a 10% increase.
hirako2000
3 days ago
Good point, I admit. The cap does keep the rate close, or even lower in times like the recent years.
lazyasciiart
3 days ago
Property taxes are not that simple, usually. E.g caps on growth of total property tax receipts or on increase per year, rebates, other schemes.
wat10000
3 days ago
The typical way property taxes are done in the US is that the local government first sets a revenue amount, then a tax rate is determined which produces that much revenue. You don’t have a situation where property values double and the local government automatically ends up with double the tax revenue.
nasmorn
3 days ago
The government should need to accept its 2% in kind. I guess by the time people cannot pay these taxes any more they are much closer than 50 years to their eventual death. Thus it only reduces eventual inheritance. Problem solved
lazyasciiart
3 days ago
Most of the problem solved, but does mean that generational wealth transfer stops being a way to climb out of instability. Just another chip in American class mobility.
sagarm
3 days ago
People refinance all the time.
8note
3 days ago
you could rent out a room though?
but you also have a much improved quality of life as a result of that property value going up, because theres more desirable stuff around
majormajor
3 days ago
Being stressed about finding the money to make your payments is probably not a much improved quality of life. And they probably picked the place cause they liked it as it was, so don't be so sure about appreciation of those new developments anyway...
Why should I get to have that sort of externality on others just because I have more money than them?
engineer_22
3 days ago
> In a lot of cities property taxes are enough to get in the way of secure housing for, e.g., disabled people.
Nah, the market is supply constrained, if taxes go down the price of the real estate just goes up to fill the gap. People make purchase decisions based on income & total expenses, not on anything else, "can I afford this house?". The price stops rising when the answer switches from "yes" to "no". If your friend can't afford a house right now they don't have enough buying power to compete in the market with other house buyers. Reducing taxes won't give them any advantage in the market that other buyers don't get.
ToucanLoucan
3 days ago
> I think that's true but in some cases it's also about making home ownership, in the sense of having a home you can't lose short of a destructive disaster, even possible. In a lot of cities property taxes are enough to get in the way of secure housing for, e.g., disabled people. It seems reasonable to want owning the house you live in to be a possibility for planning to eventually live on a fixed or low income.
It seems to be equally straightforward an answer to just not expect homes to function as an investment.
I do not now nor have I ever understood why people expect homes to rise in value. If you live in an area for 20 years, and you enjoy that area, and it serves you well, and educates your kids, and the crime is low, and all that good stuff: why are you then owed money? Why is that a fair expectation? Like I could see it if you made the house bigger, or otherwise improved it? Maybe you put in a new shed, or a nice brick backyard area with a kitchen, sure. House being worth more makes complete sense. But if you just buy a house, and live in it, and maintain it over the years, and then go to sell it: why is it reasonable for you to expect money back out of that?
You've already received what you paid for: a place to live.
Like I just don't see how people go like "My house needs to sell for more than I bought it for years from now" and then complain about the housing market being out of control and houses being expensive. Of course they are. Each time a house changes hands by this logic, it must necessarily be worth more than it was before. So every subsequent buyer of that home is effectively required to tithe to the previous owner for... some fucking reason, that nobody has ever adequately explained to me.
majormajor
3 days ago
>why are you then owed money? Why is that a fair expectation?
Essentially everybody in the US is continually trying to make their fortune by picking a winner instead of adding productivity and value.
Have your house appreciate.
Pick the right stocks.
Invest in the right company.
Become a landlord in the right neighborhoods.
Everyone wants to be a genius speculator instead of doing work.
ToucanLoucan
3 days ago
I mean, agreed. And I don't think you can disentangle that from the fact that working is less beneficial to workers than it's ever been.
anon84873628
3 days ago
Not only do they want the value of the house to go up, but they don't want anything around them to change. No new 5-story condo complex on that one corner. My neighbor shouldn't add a second floor and block my view.
chasd00
3 days ago
I think it’s worth pointing out that you and your neighbors actually do have a voice in local government. You don’t just have to sit there and take it. NIMBYs have realized this and actually show up to be counted. You can too.
majormajor
3 days ago
"No change" is usually the much stronger behavioral driver than "increased property value."
"Don't turn this into Manhattan" is such a common refrain yet turning it into Manhattan would wildly increase their land value.
jjav
2 days ago
> "Don't turn this into Manhattan" is such a common refrain yet turning it into Manhattan would wildly increase their land value.
It sure would rocket the land value.
The flip side is that it is important to understand not everyone wants to live in Manhattan (or a look-alike). Some people moved out to the boonies specifically because they want to live out in the boonies.
If you take their view for a moment, which is good exercise in a debate: would you be happy if your house in the boonies is suddenly surrounded by high-rise apartment towers? It's not the boonies anymore.
jjav
2 days ago
> I do not now nor have I ever understood why people expect homes to rise in value.
This big obvious one is inflation. There will always be inflation (less, or more) so real property like a home can only ever go up in market price (unless the economy around it craters).
The second one is growth of the town. If you built a home 60 years ago in the middle of empty fields, it wasn't worth very much. Now 60 years later it is surrounded by lots of housing and a whole town. There is no economic model where it could possibly be worth less (assuming it hasn't been let to rot to be unihabitable, of course).
bee_rider
3 days ago
I’d expect property values to go up (or have gone up) as population rises; less space per person. I bet we could also put together some geometric argument about proximity to things like cities. But it’s the weekend, so let’s just halfheartedly gesture at the potential for rigor.
Anyway, nowadays population is barely increasing so I guess property values… maybe they’ll keep pace with inflation (for whatever reason)?
Another possibility is that property values tend to go up and down as some areas become more fashionable. Maybe, for whatever reason, there’s a selection bias where we tend to associate ourselves the trajectory of people who lived in those fashionable areas instead of the unfashionable ones?
sillywabbit
3 days ago
> Why are you then owed money? Why is that a fair expectation?
Because getting the mortgage to buy the house involves parting with a large sum of money, after which some part of the mortgage payment goes towards something called principal. If it just goes towards interest, it may as well be rent.
Not to mention that when you try to sell the thing, there's some expectation by one or more third parties of some percentage of it.
TeMPOraL
3 days ago
Makes no sense to me. You take a loan to buy something you cannot otherwise afford, then you pay back the loan. Bank wants % on the loan, this is legal, therefore you pay back more than you borrowed. The amount gets split into two buckest, "interest" and "principal", presumably because of size and length of the loan, but arguably mostly to let the bank do various shenanigans that lead to them making more money on it.
Nothing in this gives any good reason for one to expect homes to appreciate in value, other than that some buyers want it to, and I haven't heard any good reason why those buyers shouldn't just be told, "no". If these people then decide not to get mortgages, due to it not being an investment, then all the better for everyone else, who want a home to live in.
sillywabbit
3 days ago
The banks wouldn't write those loans for something they expect to go down in value.
I suppose you could always buy a mobile home.
TeMPOraL
3 days ago
They shouldn't care in the first place, except something in this arrangement makes them.
jz391
2 days ago
They do, because if you cannon keep up with the repayments, the loan (mortgage) is secured on the house. So the bank will take possession of the house & sell it as quickly as possible (because banks don't want to own houses), which means they won't get a great price. Additionally, when people can't make mortgage payments, it's likely to be a bad time for the economy, meaning prices of houses will be low. All this creates risk for the bank, and rising house prices reduce this risk (it is more likely they will recover most/all of their money if they need to). That in turn means they will lend the mortgage at a lower rate than otherwise.
Geezus_42
3 days ago
But at the same time most people do the bare minimum to maintain their house, so the quality of the property continually decreases. I don't drive a car for 20 years and then expect to make a profit on selling it.
sillywabbit
3 days ago
Your analogy might be applicable to the sale of an RV.
Geezus_42
3 days ago
What makes a house that has set outside rotting for 30 years more valuable than the day it was originally purchased?
sillywabbit
3 days ago
ChatGPT suggests the land might have appreciated, the neighborhood may be more desirable, inflation, or development potential. We don't need programmers anymore because LLMs can do it. It must be an expert on home values too.
Geezus_42
3 days ago
I don't give a rats ass what ChatGPT said. Use your brain. Think for yourself.
sillywabbit
3 days ago
Sorry, I don't understand. Can you explain again please?
massysett
3 days ago
My theory is that the "house" consists of two things: the land and the building.
The land goes up in value when other people spend money. More retail is constructed nearby, transportation is improved, schools improve, jobs are created, etc. My land captures some of that value even though I paid nothing. That to me explains some of the fairness of property tax: the owner should contribute to the government services, such as schools and police, that help make the land appreciate in the first place.
Then there's the building. It's a wood box that sits out in the rain and rots. Water soaks in from the outside and pipes burst on the inside. Termites eat it and insects and vermin invade. Carpet and walls slowly degrade. HVAC systems wear out. Appliances break. Concrete breaks apart. Even on the land portion, plants die and need maintenance. (Trees are the only thing on a property that get better with time.) This building needs constant maintenance and I'm always spending money and time on it.
So I figure the land might go up slowly in value over time. I figure I'm lucky if the building appreciates at all after I consider the money I sink into it.
On paper my house is worth a lot more than when I bought it. But I don't know how much of that is nominal price change due to inflation.
vigilantpuma
3 days ago
Is “inflation” not a valid answer? Or at least component of an answer?
deathanatos
3 days ago
You can restate all mentions of "value" in the parent post to "real value", and there entire point still holds: why should people expect the real value of a home to increase over time?
ToucanLoucan
3 days ago
It's an answer to why the number is bigger but not to why the house is worth more. It is common to say "I want my house to appreciate in value" and inflation doesn't mean it's appreciating in value, it just means the number is bigger than it was before. That's not the same thing.
vigilantpuma
3 days ago
PP literally says “I just don't see how people go like "My house needs to sell for more than I bought it for years from now"” That is basically not understanding why people expect the number to be bigger.
chasd00
3 days ago
> that nobody has ever adequately explained to me.
Jesus it’s not rocket surgery. People want to live in a nice area, as more people show up and want to live in a nice area prices rise with rising demand accordingly. For the counter example, there are very large houses basically for free in Detroit. No one wants them.
thaumasiotes
3 days ago
> For the counter example, there are very large houses basically for free in Detroit. No one wants them.
Is that true, or do they actually come with large tax liabilities?
majormajor
3 days ago
>I think that's true but in some cases it's also about making home ownership, in the sense of having a home you can't lose short of a destructive disaster, even possible.
You can also do this with combinations of renter protections + owner-occupier protections.
Currently the latter (whether the recent trend of red states lower property taxes, or Prop 13 in CA) is much more broadly-popular in the US than the former.
Property owners generally show pretty little empathy for anyone else wanting that security.
I go the other way: nobody should be forced out of their home because other people who have more money than them decide to increase the paper-value of their home. Something has to give between "I have a lot of money, I want this place" and "I was already here, I want to stay" and I think incumbency and stability is a better tiebreaker than "money wins."
AnthonyMouse
3 days ago
The way they ought to do is is by having the government set not the mill rate but the amount of government revenue to be collected per capita, and then have the mill rate calculated from (revenue per capita x total number of residents) / (total value of all property in the jurisdiction) every year.
The premise being that if property values change city-wide, property taxes don't, because property tax revenue only changes if the city's population does -- and if population increases then it's usually associated with new construction, so as long as the newly constructed units have a similar value per-bedroom to the existing ones, the amount you pay in property taxes doesn't change then either.
matwood
3 days ago
I believe this already happens in some places. There was a very wealthy island near where I used to live and the owner-occupied homes had some of the lowest property taxes in the area. All of the vacation homes, which paid a much larger tax bill, covered government revenue required. This led to those who actually lived on the island to pay very little in property taxes.
sagarm
3 days ago
"Forced out" meaning they choose to sell rather than spend their unearned windfall.
They could always borrow against their massively appreciated property, after all.
handoflixue
3 days ago
How do you expect to borrow against that property for the rest of your life?
And why is being a Google Programmer "earning" that money, but a construction worker who spent 30 years paying off their house is an "unearned" windfall?
sagarm
3 days ago
Do you really have to ask why someone working earns their returns, while someone whose property appreciates through no effort of their own -- and yes, it's just the land appreciating the vast majority of the time -- did not earn the windfall?
wat10000
3 days ago
Should we expect that people who become disabled continue to live by the same means they had before?
If yes, then that means replacing their entire income once they’re no longer able to work.
If no, then something must diminish. That may include needing to relocate to a less expensive living situation. If we accept that disability means reduced means, then I don’t see why housing should be exempt from that as long as they’re not on the streets.
blks
3 days ago
I’m not from the States, and I always wondered in discussions like this, why are the HOA fees so massive? What are they paying for? Like rough estimate these HOAs have multi million yearly budgets; is it just to care for common property? Private roads? Security and maintenance of gated community? Playgrounds? I don’t imagine HOA maintaining stuff like some hobby/club houses, regular events for kids/eldery?
jjav
2 days ago
> What are they paying for?
HOAs are just a micro version of corrupt government, with all the same behaviors.
There is an astonishing amount of corruption in HOAa. They overpay for nearly all services they contract out, and just by coincidence those contracts go to companies owned by friends and families of the HOA board.
And that's the reasonably well-run HOAs. The truly corrupt ones just have board members that pocket the money directly by using the HOA fund as a personal checking account.
bluecalm
3 days ago
>>It seems reasonable to want owning the house you live in to be a possibility for planning to eventually live on a fixed or low income.
One idea here is deferral - if it's your primary residence the taxes are deferred until the property is sold to someone else. This way you won't get evicted but the locality/state can get the payment at some point. This is better than just charging a tax on sale as many countries do because it doesn't discourage transactions.
Geezus_42
3 days ago
I would certainly be discouraged from purchasing a property if the price was inflated by having to pay back taxes.
bluecalm
3 days ago
It wouldn't be inflated. Say you have 1M property with 300k back taxes on it. You buy it for 1M and the owner (or their heirs) would get 700k while 300k would go to the state/locality. This is similar to buying a property with a mortgage on it from the buyer's point of view.
Back taxes would appreciate at say interest rates +1% so the state can borrow against sum of those obligations. This needs to be this way because common argument for transaction taxes is that "state needs to raise revenue now". Those taxes are very distortionary though.
Geezus_42
2 days ago
Then the property is not worth 1M, it's worth 700k.
bluecalm
2 days ago
Man it really is simple. The property is worth 1M. You get 1M worth of your money when you buy it and the seller gets 700k while 300k goes to the state/locality.
Just because the seller has some personal debt they are required to sell once they sell (or move primary residence or w/e) doesn't lower the value of the property for the buyer.
hirako2000
3 days ago
I read the idea as the seller would pay the tax. Not the buyer.
If you see that as inflated due to payback, then it's already inflated due to the yearly tax currently in place. Plus interest.
Geezus_42
3 days ago
The the seller is locked in until equity is greater than the back taxes.
eks391
3 days ago
I'm not sure where your friend lives, but my county (perhaps state level, but county for sure) exempts property tax for those with a permanent disability. I read the requirements and it was really reasonable to prove eligobility.
I understand that this doesn't fully solve the issue in that your friend, if to take advantage of this has to move, but it might be worth seeing if there are similar options around where she lives.
hirako2000
3 days ago
What if I'm not disabled. And healthy in part because I bought a property with hard earned already taxed money, and retired early?
The taxman says not enough. I should borrow money I don't have or sell for a cheaper place just to cover for the state's inability to do with sales tax
eks391
3 days ago
Sounds like you retired too early and are learning the lesson the hard way. Some parts of tax code suck, but that specific problem is self induced.
hirako2000
3 days ago
I live in a country with a 0% property tax.
So no self induced problem, which doesn't even exist for me.
bluecheese452
3 days ago
Then tough shit. Should not have retired so early.
hirako2000
3 days ago
It may be hard to believe, but some people express political opinions that are not entirely biased toward their own self-interest.
Spooky23
3 days ago
Yeah, it’s nasty politics.
What’s happening is income inequality manifesting on the market. The middle and upper middle of the market is seeing accelerated appreciation as incomes rise for the upper quartile. Some places see >10% annualized appreciation over the last 20 years.
The lower part of the market is very different, and are basically depreciating away. Property taxes are the most fair tax for the most part — you basically pay a prorated share of the levy based on the market value of your home. So if the poorer property is getting less valuable proportionally, your share of the tax pie increases. Some states share Medicaid expenses at the county level so there’s demand pressure for more tax levy.
The problem is old people generally cannot afford their homes, and are usually profoundly ignorant about everything except tax avoidance, even when tax avoidance hurts them. The tax knob is one that can be turned, which makes the problems worse. Senior exemptions, veterans exemptions, all increase the overall share for everyone else.
The new Republican platform is accelerating that — pushing property taxes to non-homestead property and driving up sales tax. In other words, it just a consumption tax, which pushes the tax burden to families and inflates retail costs, so grandma can sit in her big house and her kids get to inherit the place at the stepped up cost basis.
asdff
3 days ago
There's all sorts of factors at play. Uncle is a financial planner and advised grandma to sell her house to Grandma's House LLC for $1 and pass ownership of that LLC to the offspring, avoiding prop 13/prop 19 reassessment in california.
Part of it is honestly just people wanting a safe harbor preserving generational wealth. I think people who are generational wealthy understand what a damn advantage that is and obviously push hard to guarantee that for their family as much as they can. The alternatives are a bit terrifying given the direction of the economy, world, and climate. The only social safety net afterall in this country really beyond an abject poverty level of subsistence is reliance on well off family.
Maybe you can call it a sort of restart of feudalism, but there are no serfs in the mix really. Its not a productive estate in most cases (in some cases sure e.g. family business), but really often just a little lot with a house on it. People don't like the idea of the state coming in and carving that up and carting it off.
And really I think there are far more real things to set the tax burden upon. I mean grandmas home once again produces nothing, it is a box to sleep in; it's value is based on pure speculation. It is now worth 'more' because people say it is worth more and believe in that, not because it now actually does anything it didn't do thirty years ago. It is in far poorer shape than 30 years ago, even. Like, this is not where you find money flowing in this country. Tax where the flows actually are not the stagnant ponds, slowly being filled by the leaks off those profoundly vast flows of money and the speculative abilities those flows grant the flow controllers.
pixelatedindex
3 days ago
> Uncle is a financial planner and advised grandma to sell her house to Grandma's House LLC for $1 and pass ownership of that LLC to the offspring, avoiding prop 13/prop 19 reassessment in california.
Pretty unbelievable, really. They get a free house and tax bills from decades ago. The whole thing is made to screw over future generations, and act like it’s all hunky dory.
Spooky23
3 days ago
The whole thing is gross, but the incentives are set up that way.
Because we don’t have universal healthcare, we have this weird scenario where long-term care is provided by Medicare for 90 days, tops, add further care requires that you private pay and then transition to Medicaid when your assets are depleted. Everyone’s costs go up, how’s the nursing homes have to continue, have to accept the lower Medicaid reimbursement.
On the other side of the equation, many people find themselves in a situation where they’re stuck in a house that’s too big, but they’re afraid of the capital gains tax they may owe.
I’m of the age where I’ve lost my parents, and most of my friends have parents who are struggling with health issues, and the other things that come with aging. I live in an urban neighborhood that has a lot of people aging in place… I find it tragic and sad because a lot of these folks find themselves in not great circumstances. because they feel forced to hang onto a property that they can’t maintain and is depreciating around them.
Melatonic
3 days ago
Wouldn't a European like VAT system help this ? Along with properly taxing the property of corporate and business owned properties.
Spooky23
3 days ago
VAT requires invoicing, while the people railing against property taxes in the United States primarily want to avoid taxation for themselves.
The problem with this form of taxation is that it slows down consumption and impacts poor and middle class people more.
ponector
3 days ago
How VAT could help? Unless you mean to dramatically increase sales tax to European VAT level? Like 23%
ThrustVectoring
3 days ago
Landlords charge what the market will bear and generally have little if any price elasticity of supply, so they bear nearly 100% of the economic incidence of the tax. This is especially true where housing supply is constrained by zoning policy rather than the price of expanding supply.
sagarm
3 days ago
It'll make it so new construction tends to be condos rather than apartments, since the first is heavily preferred by tax policy. This reduction in supply will mean higher rents.
ThrustVectoring
3 days ago
New construction is like 1-2% of total housing stock annually. It'll take a relatively long period of time for these sorts of changes to hit prices because again, low price elasticity of supply.
edit: on slightly further thought, you'd also need this effect to either increase overall vacancy or reduce total construction, since any supply shift from occupied rental units to owner-occupied condos also implies a demand shift from renting to owning.
newhotelowner
3 days ago
Landlords charge what the market will bear and economical for them to own the rental.
I don't think anyone I know will own a business that is not profitable.
estearum
3 days ago
Landlords will absolutely own things that are not cash-flowing. Go look around for empty lots in Manhattan.
ThrustVectoring
3 days ago
If they're losing money at market rents, what are they going to do about it? If they could raise prices, they would've raised prices before the tax because that's just leaving money on the table. If they throw an emotional fit and leave the unit empty, they're losing even more money. If they sell or go bankrupt, the new owner will have bought it at a lower price and so end up having a profitable business at market rents.
jjav
2 days ago
If renting out those units can't be profitable, they'll get sold to a market where people own them instead, not rentals.
Nothing particularly wrong with that, but it does reduce the amount of rental units in town, increasing the number of owner-occupied units in town.
Some people do prefer to rent so they might be unhappy about that. Some people prefer to own, so they'd be happy about that.
zbentley
3 days ago
It's totally possible to prevent landlords from passing that tax onto renters--rent controls, income-based-rent-tier tax incentives for landlords, and so on.
"But that'll just put landlords out of busine--" no it won't. Margins have width. Commercial property ownership is an incredibly high-margin business if you want it to be. If you don't shrink your margins by expanding, you can make a shitload of money; this isn't like a goods-and-services business in which failure to grow is penalized. The cost of the services you do provide is either low (property management/leasing) or quickly amortized (purchase and development). And almost all of your business assets not only don't depreciate, but appreciate at incredible rates.
"But they'll find other ways to pass the costs on to tenan--" not if you write your regulations well. Regulation prevents all sorts of income increases in all sorts of industries whose participants have accepted that they'll stay within the lines, money to be made or not. There's no reason that a combination of increased taxes from landlords and controlled rent can't extract money from commercial property owners while shielding tenants from harms. Sure, implementing that is complex and fallible (e.g. you likely want to permit different kinds of rate flexibility for commercial renters like small businesses than for luxury apartment residents or low-income family residents), but so is everything.
RestlessMind
3 days ago
> implementing that is complex and fallible ... but so is everything
not really. VAT is popular because it is straightforward to implement and hard to evade unless someone is outright cheating.
> it won't [put large landlords out of busine-]
It won't. But like any complex regulations, it will give large landlords an upper hand over smaller ones. Large ones have economies of scale to rely upon (eg. one dedicated lawyer to deal with govt for 100 properties). Will just worsen the inequality.
zbentley
3 days ago
> Will just worsen the inequality.
Possible, but doubtful. Small and large landlords in rent-stabilized NYC manage to be numerous. I also don't think that the inequality between small and large landlords is what's important here--inequality between resident single homeowners and non-homeowners is more impactful (ethically and for national stability and social progress).
austin-cheney
3 days ago
Not exactly.
The little town I live in is growing about 22,000 people per year. That's 64-67 people per day or about 16 new households populated with new residents every single day. The rental population is growing dramatically faster than the owner population.
That growth trend has very little to do with wealth and is almost exclusively a factor of availability. Most single family households in this growth area are rental properties, because the most urgent buyers are rental corporations who buy many of these houses the earliest moment they hit the market. Sometimes they are buying the houses before they hit the market by working directly with the home builders. Home renters tend to pay more to access the property than home owners even before taxes are considered.
So, its not just about houses versus apartments.
Also, the school systems and local municipalities attempt to sell their multi-billion bond proposals by taxing future residents at the benefit of current residents. That also disproportionately hurts renters compared to owners. The moment I see a bond proposal that will be paid for almost exclusively by residents who aren't living here yet I vote for it... because why not. We need a lot of shit to accommodate this growth and somebody has to pay for it. We need new high schools every couple of years. We need new roads. We need more plumbing, sewage, and electricity before the data centers eat it all up. Somebody has to pay for all this.
m463
3 days ago
I remember reading about california's Proposition 13, where both homeowners and commercial developers got a long-term lower property tax. The tax increases for continuous ownership would be modest, and only selling would reassess the tax value.
It was supposed to be for aging old people who were forced to move because they couldn't afford the taxes as their homes increased in valuation.
But commercial was also included, with the thought that lower taxes would let landlords pass the benefits onto the tenants.
But they never did, they just pocketed the savings.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1978_California_Proposition_13...
In addition, commercial properties would be owned by immortal corporations, which would change hands without reassessing.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1978_California_Proposition_13...
heylook
3 days ago
Prop 13 is one of the worst pieces of legislation ever passed. Want to prevent the elderly from being forced to sell their homes over increasing property tax burdens? How about... don't kick them out of their homes because of unpaid property taxes.
Just keep the tally, and then when the house changes hands, mandate that the back taxes get paid out of the sale.
senordevnyc
3 days ago
But commercial was also included, with the thought that lower taxes would let landlords pass the benefits onto the tenants. But they never did, they just pocketed the savings.
The source for this claim in Wikipedia is an obscure 1999 opinion piece in a SF magazine.
And it doesn’t make any sense if the rental market is competitive. Obviously higher costs to landlords get passed along to tenants, so the reverse is also likely true in a competitive market, which CA is.
johnnyanmac
3 days ago
>But commercial was also included, with the thought that lower taxes would let landlords pass the benefits onto the tenants.
California, 1978. Trickle down economics. You don't even need to know state history to know who was governor at this time.
... Okay, it was Jerry Brown. But Reagan only stepped down in 1975 to run for president in '76.
refurb
3 days ago
It wasn't that at all. Californians were protesting the high taxes in CA. Prop 13 (which included commercial building tax relief) was voted in by 2/3s.
It had nothing to do with Reagan or Jerry Brown. They were just responding to what voters wanted.
johnnyanmac
3 days ago
>They were just responding to what voters wanted.
And who spread the narrative over the decades that the government wasn't worth the high taxes? This is a very well examoned initiative at this point.
refurb
2 days ago
Californians were seeing their property taxes increase by thousands of dollars each year.
No narrative spread needed. Voters could figure it out on their own
ChrisMarshallNY
3 days ago
Around here, many renters are pretty well-off. It's really difficult to own a home in the city.
Brooklyn, for example, has seen an explosion of high-rent apartment buildings, occupied by nerds like us.
If you are lucky enough to own a home/apartment in the city, you are either crazy rich, or, more likely, brought the home before it exploded in value, making you "paper rich."
Many of the apartment-dwellers in the city make a lot more than homeowners.
sagarm
3 days ago
All that to say you agree with the GP: homeowners, as a class, are wealthier than renters. How owner occupiers choose to spend their wealth has nothing to do with the fact they have it.
ChrisMarshallNY
3 days ago
Well, "paper rich" is dicey. It means that you may have the burdens of money, but few of the advantages (like actually being able to spend it).
Farmers, for example, are often multimillionaires "on paper," but don't have a pot to piss in.
sagarm
3 days ago
They could choose a different lifestyle, but they value the one they have. That's fine, but that doesn't mean I'm obligated to subsidize their preferences.
Owner-occupiers can and do refinance to turn their wealth into cash. It's routine.
ChrisMarshallNY
3 days ago
> they value the one they have
So do you. I assume that you like to eat? Farmers are how that happens.
> refinance
Are you familiar with the downsides of refinancing?
johnnyanmac
3 days ago
>I assume that you like to eat?
Yes. Actual food, not government-subsidized high fructose corn syrup.
And I have enough knowledge on the matter to know who benefits most from such subsidies. It's not your "average joe" multimillionaire farmer.
carlosjobim
3 days ago
They can sell at their convenience and have their wealth liquid. Then they are in the exact same situation as renters, except that they have a big pile of money to boot.
Same thing for farmers.
Aeolun
3 days ago
I’m not sure that is true. More wealth is only useful if you can do something with it. If I buy my home for 300k and buy taxes on 300k, then that’s the level my income is calibrated for. If the value of my home rises to 900k with a similar increase in taxes, my tax burden increased by 3, but I still have the same amount of money and no way to get it out other than selling the house.
If you need thst money back at some point it makes much more sense to tax the sale or purchase of the property because nobody living there is affected until that sale actually happens.
estearum
3 days ago
> If you need thst money back at some point it makes much more sense to tax the sale or purchase of the property because nobody living there is affected until that sale actually happens.
And make the house unsellable? That's the absolute opposite of what society should want, which is land repeatedly being repurposed for the best and highest use.
The answer is that land should be publicly owned and people should pay land rents. If you can't pay the land rents, there should be a publicly subsidized (temporary, until end of natural life at most) reverse mortgage that allows the owner of the house to pay the land rents with their house equity.
qball
3 days ago
>but I still have the same amount of money and no way to get it out other than selling the house.
Then you sell the house and move somewhere cheaper, as is normal in any place that doesn't let you externalize "I can't afford the cost of living no more".
Hope you didn't ban housing developments to keep prices high, or fail to ensure economic diversity in different areas instead of outsourcing everything, or you'd be in some real trouble.
alex_young
3 days ago
Maybe I’m missing something, but couldn’t you then go buy another $300k house and have $600k sitting in a bank account?
Or maybe you’re saying all the homes increase in value by 3x and your income didn’t keep up? Clearly many people did see their incomes increase if there is a market for such homes…
derf_
3 days ago
> That sounds like shifting the property tax burden from homeowners to renters...
This is all obviously very specific to the locality where you live, but at least where I live, property values were recently reassessed to account for the large post-pandemic increases. Individual homeowners were generally stuck with these reassessments, while commercial properties, especially those managed by large property management groups, were organized and successfully petitioned to reduce those assessments in disproportionate numbers. So the balance of power was not equal to start with.
hirako2000
3 days ago
And, commercial activity tends see revenue follow inflation. And, a business offset expenses.
An individual, could go bankrupt just because the property tax follows its' property value which itself changes nothing with regards to that owner's income.
Melatonic
3 days ago
A lot of states have rent control laws though which would entirely shift the burden on the owner of the building.
asdff
3 days ago
Usually what they have is rent stabilization rather than control. It is tricky business to really estimate what is reasonable or not under that. For example, rents in my city are allegedly "decreasing," yet if you live in a rent stabilized unit, your landlord is probably incentivized to increase your rent to the limits of the ordinance, it could be 4 or 5% so not unsubstantial especially it being compounded by the year.
And what is more, when a tenant leaves and the landlord puts the unit up for rent again, there is no price limit for what they can ask for new rent. They are free to ask above market rent if they want.
So really I would not say the burden is shifted entirely on the owner of the building when they still possess two levers for ameliorating overhead increases: increasing to the limit of the RSO even when the market doesn't support any increase, and increasing rent on the next tenant. In high demand cities the market rate is not so much a wall, and landlord generally enjoys good success pricing above market rate and still leasing the unit out in a reasonable timeframe for them.
Johnny555
2 days ago
San Francisco very tenant friendly rent control laws yet even they allow rent increases due to increase in operating expenses, which includes property taxes.
https://www.sf.gov/information--operating-and-maintenance-ex...
When the annual allowable increase does not completely cover the landlord’s yearly increase in operating and maintenance expenses for a property, a landlord may petition for an additional base rent increase of up to 7%. This is known as an Operating and Maintenance or O&M increase. In determining whether an O&M increase is justified, all operating expenses must be considered (excluding debt service), including: property taxes, repairs, maintenance, insurance, pest control, garbage, water, etc
readthenotes1
3 days ago
It would also place a higher burden on investment home owners so it's not all bad.
dominotw
3 days ago
how would put burden if costs are simply passed down to renters
VonTum
3 days ago
If they could raise rents by the amount they would've been taxed, they would have. I'm happy to see more incentives against buying up houses for literal rent seeking.
derektank
3 days ago
>If they could raise rents by the amount they would've been taxed, they would have
They can’t raise rents higher because they are in competition with other rental properties. In equilibrium, if all commercial properties have taxes raised on them, (a) the majority of the market will raise rents to cover the cost of the tax and (b) those rental units that are no longer financially sustainable at the higher rate will exit the market (e.g. sell the homes to an owner occupant or redevelop the property if allowed to by zoning). Some fraction of property owners might take a haircut on their capital returns in the short run (the housing market is fairly illiquid) but the market will return to equilibrium in time.
skew-aberration
3 days ago
Adam Smith himself argued that the portion of property tax derived from the land value cannot easily be passed on to the tenant. That portion is high in some important cases (detached houses, warehouses, and factory buildings in outer suburbs).
The reason is that rents compete on net profitability to the renter, not revenue. If rents go up, tenant profit goes down, and they move to lower value land further out where the lower revenue minus lower costs gives them their original profit. Buildings are affected uniformly by property tax and cannot be escaped in this way.
Therefore, your prediction would be most accurate in cases where building prices dominate the optimal land usage. Non-optimal uses would get redeveloped, as you point out, and building tax can be pushed to tenant, but the land tax component must be eaten by the landlord. The exception is for properties in a market where the owner occupier distortion allows them to sell at a higher price (can sell to a renter now or could redevelop for owner occupier in the future).
carlosjobim
3 days ago
No. The suppliers (landlords) as a whole have always been charging the maximum that the market is able to bear. Just because rents are raised everywhere doesn't mean the market can bear it. It would push every renter to cheaper smaller worse units and push the poorest renters to homelessness.
dominotw
3 days ago
Higher rents cause wages to increase and changes what 'market is able to bear'.
carlosjobim
3 days ago
Higher rents have never caused wages to increase. Why would the employers or company shareholders have any interest in enriching landlords more?
dominotw
2 days ago
just chatgpt that bro. I dont have patience to explain basics.
> Higher rents have never caused wages to increase
ignorant.
tomrod
3 days ago
Lower demand for the product globally. If their asset has a higher vacancy rate, raising rent all the time can't solve the problem.
However, tax rates give perverse incentives. What you'll probably get is a lot of commercial slumlords as repairs are seen to increase the value, thus the tax.
throwaway-11-1
3 days ago
Is the implication the only path is to design the economy around keeping landlords as happy as possible? Its similar to the fear of a wealth tax driving the rich to move, you can just say out loud who our true masters are.
dominotw
3 days ago
> keeping landlords as happy as possible?
In this case, landlord is neither happy nor sad since it the tax is irrelevant to them.
jareklupinski
3 days ago
> homeowners are generally wealthier than renters
on paper; remove the 'value' of the home and the typical home "owner" (mortgage means bank owns your home) is more likely to be paycheck-to-paycheck
Johnny555
2 days ago
But they can translate that paper wealth into actual wealth by selling their home, an option renters don't have. It may be disruptive to their life and require them to move to a smaller home (or farther away), but it's still possible. When a renter is priced out of their apartment, they have no choice but to move, they don't have equity in their apartment they can tap into.
jareklupinski
2 days ago
> can translate that paper wealth into actual wealth by selling their home
looking at the housing market currently, that actual wealth is 40% off what they thought it was, going by starting asking price -> actual cash in pocket after taxes, fees, and points paid to all involved
Johnny555
2 days ago
My selling costs were under 10% when I sold my house last year including all taxes/fees.
louiereederson
3 days ago
Also robbing the future, consistent with a gerontocracy
f1shy
3 days ago
That is what I think will happen at the end.
nly
3 days ago
Wealth is not income.
You can be wealthy and still have poor cashflow, especially as a leveraged property owner
zaptheimpaler
3 days ago
Wealth is easily converted to income. People can sell their properties and move to cheaper ones. If we’re gonna run our entire society on the whims of retirees who are taking up houses big enough to raise families, while also preventing all new construction, while also opposing paying their taxes, while also opposing moving to smaller houses, we are just fucked.
jjav
2 days ago
> People can sell their properties and move to cheaper ones.
Right, this is the narrative that people who have built a life somewhere should be required to uproot and move to a cheaper place because others want to take over their home.
That's why this idea doesn't get much support.
zaptheimpaler
2 days ago
You can call a house a home or you can call it an investment, the boomer homeowners want both in an incredibly juicy deal that nothing else in the world gets.
If we are going say houses are not just investments, they are homes, then we can reduce the property taxes and let the government take the profits/losses in the home's value.
If we are saying houses are investments, then they should be subject to taxes and costs accrued in the upkeep of that investment which includes the infrastructure that property taxes pay for.
jjav
2 days ago
> You can call a house a home or you can call it an investment, the boomer homeowners want both in an incredibly juicy deal that nothing else in the world gets.
You should talk to some (or a lot) of homeowners to see who feels that way. Personally I've never met any who thinks of their home like it was a stock certificate.
To most people, but especially older people, their home is home. Where they built a life, saw kids born and raised and where that now-adult kids bedrooms still brings them memories. They'll talk to you about those memories and how that neighborhood still has some of their lifelong friends and how their trusted doctors are all nearby (this latter might seems like trivia to 20-somethings, but is all-important to 70 or 80 year olds).
Ask them about the zillow zestimate of their home and very few will be able to tell you what the home is worth on the open market, and even fewer care. They're aware it has some value, the kids will inherit it someday and they are happy to pass it on, but it has zero investment value to them personally in their life.
I'm not in that demographic yet, my kid is still a kid living at home, but I'm getting older so I can visualize it is how I will also feel. I also don't know what our home is worth. Last time I looked it up was years ago. I guess I could look it up again but it's not important, it is our home, the value doesn't mean anything. I'm not going to sell it to take profits, I'm going to live in it.
So this is completely opposite of actual invesments, where I check my stock prices many times a day every day.
> If we are saying houses are investments, then they should be subject to taxes
This is interesting because on actual investments, where I might be sitting on 1000+% profits, I pay zero taxes until I sell someday. So you want to declare a home an investment, but tax it in ways no other investment gets taxes?
majormajor
3 days ago
For multi-unit housing a cash-poor leveraged property owner sounds like a likely slumlord, so I'd be happy to discourage that situation. More, less-leveraged, property owners instead sounds good.
For owner-occupied, it sounds like someone who made a risky financial decision because of perverse incentives. Which also seems good to revisit.
Also in these cases cash-poor is not low-income. It's likely to be high-income+high-obligations the way you describe it. Hard to get all that leverage otherwise.
nly
3 days ago
It's not just slumlords though.
Rental yields are so low in the UK compared to the cost of finance, tax and maintenance that being a landlord has become completely unprofitable, which means the rental sector is falling apart.
Pretty much no landlords in the south east of England are cashflow positive on a monthly basis, and if they are they are yielding less than government bonds