anilakar
2 days ago
> To keep the published record anonymous, ballot scanners shuffle the electronic records randomly before releasing them
So they were never secret in the first place.
I have never understood the desire to have voting machines when a paper ballot works just fine. We tried electronic voting in three municipal elections in 2008 and courts ended up invalidating the results due to horrible usability issues.
DrScientist
2 days ago
In person, pure paper voting, in local community halls etc, run by volunteers is the best voting system.
Incredibly resistant to influencing at scale, resistant to voter coercion, transparent, and invokes a sense of occasion and community spirit.
The problem with electronic systems is the public can't see the piles of votes, can't get involved in the count, and ultimately it's the perfect system for being able to tip the scales subtly.
Even vote counting machines for paper ballots are a mistake in my view.
thadt
2 days ago
> In person, pure paper voting, in local community halls etc, run by volunteers is the best voting system.
This is the right answer. Using tech as an auditor for batches after manually counting could be useful. Getting everyone together to count votes in a process that everyone can see, understand, and be personally invested in - that process is what is needed far more than efficiency, at this point in time.
guhcampos
2 days ago
This is a BIG discussion in Brazil, where the election is basically 100% electronic, no paper involved. There's a large portion of the population that distrusts the electronic voting machines, partly due to rightwing propaganda, but partly due to a genuine distrust of a system they can't understand.
In person paper voting, however, only works on a relatively healthy democractic community. What used to happen around here was that whoever was the local hegemonic power, mostly oligarcs, sometimes gangs, would just plant a grunt in the voting halls and coerce people to reveal their votes. That or they would simply have a bag of pre-cast votes and drop them all in the ballot box. Lots of absentees and dead people used to happily cast votes at the time.
So ultimately the full electronic system has been working quite well over here for the past 30-something years. It has only really started to be aggressively questioned since 2016 with the rise of social-media as an election driving powerhouse.
drdexebtjl
2 days ago
I also think it's pretty clear that this "aggressive questioning" has ulterior motives, since it never points out specific flaws in the transparency of the system, and never advocates for actual improvements to electronic voting machines, while there are very obvious low-hanging fruit to criticize and improve.
For example, while the software and hardware is audited by a very diverse panel, it's too institutional: you can't inspect it as an independent researcher. It's also not clear which parts of the supply chain are subject to the audits. I trust it's all of them, and these institutions are doing their job of pointing out the parts that they have _not_ audited, but I, as a member of the public, can't verify.
DrScientist
a day ago
I'd argue ff you have thuggery at that level in public then you have bigger problems than voting systems.
And if that's country wide then the country isn't a democracy so the voting system is moot.
In terms of voter fraud, it's the very inefficiency of paper in person voting that provides the large scale protection - it's incredibly hard to do what you describe at a national level.
On the other hand, it's much easier for organised crime to influence voting machines nationally - in an undetected way - you probably only need to intimidate a handful of key people.
guhcampos
17 hours ago
Yeap, like I said: you need a relatively healthy democracy for the community counting to work. This wasn't the case of Brazil 30 years ago: Brazil was a military dictatorship until 1985. In 1996 when these electronic voting machines debuted, a large portion of the country was pretty much owned by a small number of families linked to the old regime. That's especially true for relatively uninhabited areas such as the states around the Amazon rainforest, where population density is in the single digits per square mile.
Brazil has another particularity in comparison to the US and some other countries: we don't have a 2 party system, we have a lot of parties. It's probably around 30 today, but used to be more. It's impractical for each party to have people on every voting hall. It's much easier to oversee hardware and software production of the machines.
Is it still possible to intimidate or bribe this handful of key people? Probably yes, but as far as we know that never happened, and the parties are very obstinant in how they oversee the whole process.
One thing I definitely think we lose is the sense of community, especially in times like these when individualism is on the rise: we employ a couple people on each voting section, maybe a cople dozen on each voting hall. In the end of election day they simply run the closing protocol and go home. Having a bunch of folks counting votes for a few days definitely could make people more engaged with the election, and with democracy overall. The "electronicness" of the whole thing alienates people from the process.
smitty1e
2 days ago
I've got over a decade of experience supporting elections using a ballot scanner.
The need to balance voter security, with auditability, rapid Ness of results, with ease of setup/teardown of the voting place, is hard to beat with scanners.
CoastalCoder
2 days ago
Sincere question: why is "rapidness of reporting" so important that we'd trade away other important goals?
(Within reasonable limits, I mean.)
roenxi
2 days ago
Extend the question why are rapidity of results and ease of setup/teardown of the voting place design goals at all?
There are elections in India and the US to control billions of people and some very aggressive military people armed with weapons capable of ending modern civilisation. This is one of the most fundamental social technologies we have to keep the whole system stable (up there with limited liability corporations and courts). The downside of one of those elections failing because of voting machine trickery is stupendous.
Frankly, I'm not sure even auditability is that important as a design goal compared to voter security. If the election is close enough that an audit matters the two candidates are pretty similar. In practice, if there is any meaningful gap in preferences then the outcome of the election should be clear enough that an audit isn't that meaningful. It's nice to have and it is cheap enough to include in a paper ballot.
drfloyd51
2 days ago
The last 3 US elections were very close and had very different candidates with very different ideas. The closeness of the election has nothing to do with the “similarity” of any candidates. And to imply a “coin flip” would be fine is ludicrous.
smitty1e
2 days ago
> Extend the question why are rapidity of results and ease of setup/teardown of the voting place design goals at all?
Because it is a low-frequency, high-importance activity that uses public facilities.
smitty1e
2 days ago
Because people instant gratification.
We close the polls at 1900 and have a Collector Officer run one copy of the data on a thumb drive to the County.
The Chief gets to deliver a backup a couple hours later.
Hand-counting the ballots instead of scanning would be expensive in terms of time and money, and error-prone.
I'd argue that Fairfax County, VA is about optimal, all factors considered.
As I'm fond of saying: "Virginia is for lovers...of elections."
DrScientist
a day ago
> Hand-counting the ballots instead of scanning would be expensive in terms of time and money, and error-prone.
Why?
It's not that expensive - what price democracy? And in terms of error rate - if there is a very close vote, in the UK they just do a recount - sometimes more than once - the variation between recounts is very very small - single digit ( votes not percent ) at most.
to be fair, I guess one difference between the US and the UK is the distributed nature of the vote - in the UK it's broken up into constituencies of ~70K voters - so any recount is scoped to that ( ~ 50K actual votes ).
smitty1e
11 hours ago
> Why?
For a non-trivial amount of ballots, the overhead of securely managing the ballots is substantial. You're casually driving up staffing costs all over the place, and legal challenges will ensue if everything is less than meticulous.
To your point, though, Virginia blows a great deal of money on elections. Check out all 19" of our local glory: https://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/elections/sites/elections/file...
DrScientist
3 hours ago
It cost just under 150 million to run the UK 2019 general election:
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/costs-of-the-2019...
So ~3 pounds per registered voter.
I'd say that's good value - I find US data harder to find- but I see estimates in the region of $10 per voter.
GJim
2 days ago
Rapid results?
In Blighty, we have paper voting. The polls close at 10pm, the manual count takes place overnight, and the result is typically known the next day.
How much more rapid do you need?
rjmunro
2 days ago
Even the next day is silly. If the election is Thursday, it seems reasonable to count on Friday and the weekend, and have the new MPs declared on Sunday, ready to travel to London on Monday and get sworn in.
In the US, the election is in November and the president doesn't get sworn in until January. It could take a couple of weeks to count the votes and it would be fine.
smitty1e
2 days ago
This is the United States, where the need to over-engineer everything is never suppressed.
RandomLensman
2 days ago
How do other larger countries manage it without scanners?
cyberge99
2 days ago
Smaller chunks.
rjmunro
2 days ago
> Even vote counting machines for paper ballots are a mistake in my view
I think machines are only acceptable if they sort ballots into multiple bins, not if you are using them for the actual count. The bins should be designed so you can casually see that the last ballot to be added is correct for that bin while the machine is working. Something to insert a marker every 100 ballots is probably a good idea, then you can count the number of hundreds, and randomly sample a few of them to check they are correct.
hanibrel
2 days ago
> In person, pure paper voting, in local community halls etc, run by volunteers is the best voting system.
Unless those volunteers are all die-hard fans of a particular party/candidate and thereby intimidating everybody that has a different opinion. (Not openly of course, but if everybody knows everybody, the mere presence suffices to sway people.)
GJim
2 days ago
In Blighty, the counters (paid volunteers from the local council working voluntery overtime) are supervised and audited. Not to mention representitives from the local political parties will be present as well as the local press to oversee the proceedings. Typically the returing officer will also allow anybody else to be present and observe the proceedings, space and practicalities permitting.
The process is quite fair and rigorous.
neffy
2 days ago
Certainly it´s possible to rig in person voting - but if you do, people will know that you did. And that also matters.
looperhacks
2 days ago
This would need at least a majority of die-hards present in a (near) majority of polling locations. At this point, the party can probably win the election without fraud.
jcmontx
2 days ago
For the counting process you have "auditors" from all the different parties. We have that system in Argentina and it works pretty well in terms of electoral transparency. People's choices are another thing.
nonethewiser
2 days ago
This seems both the least likely and easiest threat to remediate. Also the threat doesn’t scale.
RandomLensman
2 days ago
Could just draft people, for example. On a local level there is also more knowledge in voters that can be compared to counts etc.
roenxi
2 days ago
These volunteers will have a far easier time scaling their conspiracy if voting machines are involved. There are fewer points of failure to corrupt and it is easier to produce a plausible sketchy result where their guy wins by 100 votes.
jcrawfordor
2 days ago
They are using paper ballots. The problem identified here comes from the counting process, and hand counting with similar audit records could end up having the exact same problem if the count audit ledgers were shuffled by similar means. The ballots are shuffled in the audit logs because it is known that a time/order correlation problem exists (ballots tend to be counted in the order they are cast), but the reason that Dominion uses a poor method of randomization, and that some (but not all!) election administrators include count sequence numbers in their publicly released records at all, seem to come down to a lack of care.
RandomLensman
2 days ago
Hand counting paper ballots by a somewhat random assembly of people might make that less easy (as people might need to collude). Also, why would the ledgers be accessible to everyone counting? Other than using them to check off who voted/eligibility when a voter shows up, what are they needed for at the counting stage?
jcrawfordor
2 days ago
The decision to publish the ledger is one made by the election administrator in the interest of transparency - there is no requirement to do so, but it is believed to increase public trust in the process. Unfortunately these types of transparency measures haven't necessarily been rigorously evaluated and the tradeoffs with ballot secrecy may not be favorable. that is the real significance of this research to me, not really anything about the use of machines.
Some states do quite the opposite, e.g. seal ballots after the election and only allow inspection by court order. This has obvious benefits for secrecy, but then creates a lot of objections when people/organizations that doubt the election outcome are told that they cannot review the actual ballots (without meeting some threshold to justify such an order, which can be quite high since these rules were often put in place to try to counter pay-to-vote or voter intimidation schemes).
The existence of such a ledger isn't even required, but it makes it radically easier to audit the count process to detect errors. US election administrators demand a very high level of accuracy in vote counts (higher than what is typical in a lot of other countries), so in hand-count processes it's common to tabulate each ballot multiple times, and with machine tabulation there is usually some kind of automatic recount or risk limiting audit, either by retabulating with separate machines or hand-counting a sample. All of these are much easier processes when you can correlate a ballot to the previous time it was counted, so that errors discovered in auditing can be tracked to the specific ballot that was miscounted and corrected. Otherwise, if you count a batch of ballots twice and get different results (which is virtually guaranteed with hand counting), you will have to recount the entire batch over and over until you get satisfactory convergence. There are several different methods of doing this: some jurisdictions serialize ballots when they are printed so that tabulation can be tracked by that serial number. Other jurisdictions avoid this potential secrecy hazard by only serializing ballots after initial tabulation (e.g. ballots pulled for a sample audit have sequence numbers added on stickers or hand-written). Some tabulating machines can add sequence numbers as they run. All of these have different considerations as far as reliability and secrecy, but unfortunately there is next to zero funding or political interest in researching these issues and applying the resulting knowledge. The result is that everything is highly variable from state to state and some states continue to use processes that are known to have significant defects, most famously Louisiana with its ongoing use of non-auditable DRE machines (the only state that continues to do so).
yorwba
2 days ago
In this case, the ledgers were published on the internet, there was no collusion necessary to obtain them. The problem here is more the level of record-keeping and transparency about the counting process, not how the counting itself was done.
Maken
2 days ago
Pair that with voting machines that are always online and you have the easiest to tamper elections ever.