Why oil prices haven't gone crazy despite 6 months of US-Iran war

6 pointsposted 5 hours ago
by ck2

4 Comments

downrightmike

4 hours ago

Because there was no real scarcity. China has about 1 year reserve from what we can see on satellites, not including what they have buried in their cave reserve system. So when the war started, they stopped buying the 20m/ barrels a day which is the loss from the Straight. It balanced out. This is all just a play to increase oil prices for oil companies

ck2

4 hours ago

um, they went from 100 ships per day through the strait

to 3-8 per day

for SIX MONTHS

that most definitely causes shortages, not in US but rest of world

the market is being manipulated downward until it pops

click on YTD on this chart to see what I mean for proof, it is FLATLINED

* https://en.macromicro.me/charts/94482/imf-strait-of-hormuz-n...

* snapshot: https://i.imgur.com/zvBakus.png

downrightmike

2 hours ago

That was all media manipulation, supply didn't really constrain. The same amount of oil was always available, just not through the straight

ck2

4 hours ago

[dead]