Even AGI Can't Estimate a Jira Ticket

1 pointsposted 7 hours ago
by andsoitis

1 Comments

ben_w

an hour ago

> Why do models do this?

> Likely the pretrain datasets are at fault

They don't really know what hardware they're running on, or what load that hardware is under at the time you ask.

I use these "human time required" estimates a different way: compare against the METR time horizon, and breakdown tasks which are too long and therefore unlikely to succeed.