happytoexplain
10 hours ago
Does a balance that has not accrued interest count as debt for this measurement? I.e. people who always pay the statement.
panarky
10 hours ago
The $1.26 trillion Federal Reserve figure includes both balances paid in full every month and balances accruing interest.
Convenience spending by "transactors" (roughly 35% of cardholders) who pay in full every month is something like $200 billion of this.
happytoexplain
9 hours ago
I'm shocked how small that part of the pie is. That's concerning.
tokioyoyo
9 hours ago
There have been a couple of episodes of Simpsons where “credit card debt” was the subplot. Should give a good idea how “relatable” the experience it was even in the older days. Obviously I’m exaggerating, but you get the idea.
fhdkweig
9 hours ago
I can understand how someone right on the edge of disaster (and Homer was always on the edge) would get into debt, but those numbers would imply 2/3 of people are in what I would consider imminent financial collapse. Surely people couldn't exist in that state for lengthy periods of time. Right?
tzs
7 hours ago
There are people who most of the time only put stuff on the card that they can afford to pay off that month, but occasionally put something big on to pay off over time. They don't put anything else big on the card until they have brought that balance to near zero.
They are in the carrying a balance group but aren't necessarily in any financial trouble.
anonymars
9 hours ago
If I remember the stats correctly, I believe in the US the lowest 50% of households combined have maybe 2% of the wealth
jjav
7 hours ago
> those numbers would imply 2/3 of people are in what I would consider imminent financial collapse.
A suspect a lot of people also carry ongoing credit card debt because they're bad at math or just don't care, not all of them necessarily anywhere near financial collapse.
I have a friend who early in their career kept credit card debt for years, because he just liked to pay the minimum. As much as I tried to explain how dumb that was, it didn't help. Still, he was a software engineer making tons of money so nowhere near financial trouble, just financially dumb.
But of course there are also lots of people who truly are in credit card debt and can't afford to pay anything but the minimum.
anon7000
9 hours ago
I mean does it necessarily imply that? You could pay just the minimum payment for a very long time with no consequences, I think. The main problem is you’d hit the credit limit and would have super high interest payments. But even then the minimum payment may be viable.
But yeah, reality is that most people are not white collar workers with decent income. HN is probably one of the higher income forums on the internet just because of tech. Definitely a bubble here
squigz
9 hours ago
They could, and do.
tokioyoyo
9 hours ago
Sounds about right.
Fire-Dragon-DoL
5 hours ago
I don't get how people come up with the idea of paying interests on a credit card. The interests are extortion level, 20%? Wtf? A personal line of credit is like 8%
fhdkweig
10 hours ago
Do you have a citation for the 35% number? I wouldn't have thought it was that rare.
panarky
9 hours ago
Let me Google that for you ...
Ah, here it is https://bpi.com/missing-factors-in-the-cfpbs-analysis-of-ris...
9cb14c1ec0
10 hours ago
Technically, people who always pay the statement do have credit card debt until they pay, it's just free debt.
rootusrootus
9 hours ago
I'm still surprised they don't track it separately. According to my credit report I have what appears to be a running balance of 5 or 6 grand. I suspect a machine learning algorithm could watch the way the balance bounces around and accurately guess that I pay it off each month, but there's no distinction on the credit report at least. In my mind a balance where you only pay off a chunk each month is different entirely from one where you always pay the entire amount. And I'd put a third category in there, too, credit card debt for which you are only making the minimum payment. This all seems like valuable data when assessing creditworthiness.
twoodfin
9 hours ago
The credit bureaus score based on the % of credit you use (and of course that you pay on time).
This is basically equivalent from a credit risk perspective, the banks don’t really care what % is interest vs. principal.
rootusrootus
7 hours ago
> This is basically equivalent from a credit risk perspective, the banks don’t really care what % is interest vs. principal.
That seems counterintuitive. Someone carrying a growing balance at $5K making the minimum payment is obviously not the same kind of risk as someone who spends $5K/month on their credit card and then pays it off.
twoodfin
6 hours ago
Growing balance = greater % of credit used.
flowerthoughts
4 hours ago
So the metric GP is after is credit used per credit user? Normalizing the effect of an increase in credit users, and not assuming it's uniformly distributed.
Seems simpler to just publish the delinquent debt separately.
pocksuppet
9 hours ago
Not just technically. They literally have credit card debt in every sense of the word.
happytoexplain
5 hours ago
Not every sense - in the colloquial sense, people don't count that as being "in debt".
ticulatedspline
9 hours ago
while true the connotation of the title would imply meaningful debt. And people who simply use cards for convenience and never hold a past due balance isn't really meaningful debt.
It's almost like counting the "debt" between ringing up your items at wal-mart and paying. For those 30 seconds you owe money.
Based on some quick stats you could totally turn that into a useless headline "Americans accrued 4.1 billion dollars of debt every 30 seconds in 2025"
jjav
7 hours ago
> Not just technically. They literally have credit card debt in every sense of the word.
I mean technically yes that is absolutely correct. But we all know it's not what people think of as "debt", so as previous poster said, those should really be tracked separately. It is silly to consider the float between purchase time to payment time to be debt of the same type as debt carried over month to month.
For one thing, debt basically always (temporary offers aside) pays interest. The float between purchase to payment pays no interest.
But technicalities aside, the stats on credit card household debt would be much more revealing if they separated these numbers. They even indicate opposite things:
If the temporary float balances are going up, that suggests consumers are spending more and comfortably paying it, so the economy is doing well.
Whereas if the accruing monthly debt balances are going up, that's a sign the consumer is in trouble so the economy is probably doing badly.