oa335
5 hours ago
The number of ETFs isn't as relevant as the total % of funds invested in passive funds as opposed to single stocks or active funds.
https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5259427
> Passive capitalization-weighted index funds now surpass active management in aggregate investor allocations. Flows into passive strategies cause unrelated stocks to move synchronously, undermining diversification and potentially increasing systemic risk. New flows into passive products mechanically overweight overvalued stocks and underweight undervalued stocks due to market-price weighting, exacerbating momentum-driven price distortions. Rebalancing at the stock level to non-price-based anchor weights may mitigate these distortions and enhance long-term returns.
This is likely why large-cap stocks have outperformed over past decade.
jandrewrogers
5 hours ago
The shift to passive capitalization-weighted indexes may be making it easier for active investors to make money. The massive ballast of passive capital that has predictable reactive behavior provides a small degree of leverage.
oa335
5 hours ago
100%. i ran a trading desk predicated on this strategy, and know a couple of others who are still successfully running similar strats.