HerbManic
11 hours ago
I think Matt Bevens with his show 'If you are listening' summarized it perfectly. Trump got into the mind set that he could switch wars on and off as needed. The issue is that Iran was the third rail you do not touch and wasn't anything like the other nations he had a role in.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=irsF1W3StWk
It is called Risk Homeostasis, it is when you do something risky but do not experience the negatives. It is like driving through red traffic lights, if you do it 10 times and you do not have a crash then you start to think that you can ignore red lights. The risks and dangers are still there but you have just been lucky, until you aren't.
Trump has always had this mentality of, you can do awful things and get a lot of media attention but if it gets to hot then you can just back down. Iran is the one thing he cannot back down from and has no escape strategy. It is going to be the biggest of the black marks on Trumps legacy. Considering a lot of what he has done on the international stage, that is pretty damning.
DoctorOetker
10 hours ago
I think Risk Homeostasis is a very poorly chosen name.
Risk Desensitization would have been a lot better.
Homeostasis is the maintenance of a desirable home or set point.
Cell types are maintained by homeostasis, if we ignore gametes and white blood cells all the cells share the same genome, but the cell state (predominantly cell contents, i.e. concentrations in the cell and vacuoles) determines how the organism cell reacts and allows the cell to "remember" what type of cell it is, so the desirable feedback is towards multiple local loss minima each corresponding to a cell type, think spontaneous symmetry breaking.
One wouldn't say a cancer cell performs homeostasis with respect to the tissue, even if some bacterium or innate mutation drives it out of normal behavior.
HerbManic
7 hours ago
That is a fair assessment. Another name that has been given is Risk Compensation.