3 days ago
Finally, a way to settle the model wars that actually matters: Texas Hold'em. That 3D replay view is sick! ♠♦ I spent way too long watching the replay on Game 2a58900d. It’s wild to see the chain of thought mapped against the betting rounds. It really exposes when a model is hallucinating a strong hand versus actually calculating pot odds. This 'PokerBench' might actually become the standard for measuring agentic risk-taking.
3 days ago
yeah the 3d view is amazing
3 days ago
People looking into this a little too much, looks to me like random walk. You should try reinitiating the trial (or have multiple running) and see if the ranking is robust.
3 days ago
Wdym exactly? I ran 163 games, are you suggesting more games or something else?
3 days ago
You need to simulate 50k to 200k hands to get a true winrate
2 days ago
I'd love to run more games, just very expensive unfortunately.
3 days ago
Do you have any idea why the win rate for GPT-5.2 is higher than Gemini 3 Flash yet the former loses money while the latter earns money? Is it just bet sizing (betting more when it has a good hand) or something else?
3 days ago
There are a few reasons that come to mind, such as winning larger pots on average, and also playing more hands by virtue of not getting knocked out as frequently.
2 days ago
Really cool, I’m curious what would be the comparison versus a deterministic bot that uses probability tables.
3 days ago
What about the open source models? I remember from the trading benchmarks Deepseek performed pretty well.
3 days ago
I didn't incorporate any open weights/source models just to limit the number of API providers I had to juggle, but it is just a config change if somebody wants to try a run with them.
3 days ago
Very very fun. Just glancing at this quickly at lunch but is there any idea of incorporating tool use?
3 days ago
Not at the moment, do you have something in mind?
3 days ago
Fun, any idea how much would be the cost per game? I am worried 160 isnt a big enough sample size.
3 days ago
It greatly depends on the models. The 6-handed setup with Opus and Pro cost about $30/game. The 4-handed setup with just small models was $6/game. I'd love to run more but I already spent quite a bit as it is.
3 days ago
Do you have idea why smaller models are better then large ones?
3 days ago
I've seen some theories tossed around but I don't think I'm qualified to offer an authoritative answer. Gemini 3 Pro specifically seems to be consistently "tighter" and more passive than Flash.