aizk
a month ago
It's amusing to me watching devs talk about the breakneck pace of AI and LLMS, AGI all that sorts of stuff, what that wild future will give us - when there are far, far more difficult problems that lie directly in front of us, mainly getting public infrastructure projects done in normal spans of time, or hell, getting them done at all.
BurningFrog
a month ago
The problems with getting public infrastructure projects done in time or at all are political, not technical.
There typically are no technical solutions to rhose.
awesome_dude
a month ago
Kind of - the art of fortune telling plays a big part in things
It's not needed now, but we think that it will be needed in the future
It's needed now, but we don't know if we will use it in the future
How MUCH will it be needed in the future
Will there be a future technology that makes this investment unnecessary, or even obselete before the project ever completes
For the latter, a big argument of "No need to invest in commuter trains" argument was "self driving cars are 'just around the corner' and they will make mass transit a quaint thing of the past" was used to deny investment in trains.
rayiner
a month ago
> For the latter, a big argument of "No need to invest in commuter trains" argument was "self driving cars are 'just around the corner' and they will make mass transit a quaint thing of the past" was used to deny investment in trains.
People don’t want to invest in trains because Americans don’t like trains. We have only one real city, and that city’s population consistently has net domestic outmigration. The city’s population is kept stable by a steady supply of international migrants: https://www.cityandstateny.com/media/ckeditor-uploads/2025/0....
Most Americans don’t want to commute sitting next to strangers. It’s not complicated.
teleforce
a month ago
>There typically are no technical solutions to rhose.
Not that they can't, but they won't.
cwillu
a month ago
Yes, that's what a political problem is.
programjames
a month ago
There typically are, but sometimes the technical solution is bad for those in power, or they're unaware of it, or it hasn't been discovered yet.
8bitsrule
a month ago
If empirical observation is 'technical', then keen eyes can spot the grifters before they can be elected or corrupt the already-elected. Then we just need the will to permanently deter them.
pclmulqdq
a month ago
AGI is easier than getting New York City to complete an infrastructure project in less than a decade or less than a billion dollars.
The corruption and graft run so deep you would have to literally murder a lot of people to get that to happen.
woodruffw
a month ago
Call me crazy, but I don't think $6B for a 60-mile, deep-bore tunnel through the densest urban core in the US is that much money.
user
a month ago
mmooss
a month ago
What indication do you have that the construction time for tunnel 3 is due to corruption or even that it's taking longer than necessary? It seems like a very large engineering project; sometimes those take time.
bee_rider
a month ago
Yeah, I have no idea how long a tunnel of this size is supposed to take, and I’m surprised if many people here do.
It’s a big project, and it is tricky to patch it after release. The thing is supposed to last 300 years, and usually we use infrastructure well past it’s intended lifespan…
zdragnar
a month ago
Google claims the original build was supposed to take 50 years, and it will take 62 due to delays from a funding crisis before de blasio.
However, this is only the second phase of the plan, with two more phases broken out into separate projects. I've no idea if those were supposed to be a part of the original 50 year timeline or not.
deaux
a month ago
> What indication do you have that the construction time for tunnel 3 is due to corruption or even that it's taking longer than necessary?
These two questions are casually put next to each other in the same sentence but they're incredibly different. Personally, I don't think that corruption is a significant factor in how long it took. The second question is way too leading/framed - "necessary" doesn't exist past the physical limits.
For example, would the same project have taken the same time in China? No. Does that mean it should've taken as long as it would've in China, as clearly it took longer "than necessary"? Not by definition.
rayiner
a month ago
Why is NYC so corrupt when large cities like London, Munich, and even Paris are much less so?
woodruffw
a month ago
It isn't. No evidence has been presented to that effect. Here are some actual numbers[1].
(The classic form of griping over NYC corruption is the MTA which is notable for not being administrated by the city.)
[1]: https://www.vitalcitynyc.org/articles/how-corrupt-is-new-yor...
mmooss
a month ago
Why do people say NYC is more corrupt? I don't know of evidence or reports. To me, it doesn't seem more or less corrupt than other major cities in the US. It's hard to compare to other countries, where city government may have different roles.
Certainly NY's government and budget are larger than other US cities, for obvious reasons.
cyberax
a month ago
They are just as corrupt and/or incompetent. Have you tried Deutsche Bahn recently?
EdwardDiego
a month ago
If you think Munich isn't corrupt, you should ask a Münchner - hell, their airport is named after a corrupt politician. [0]
But as a few Germans have put it to me - sure, there's corruption here, but at least it still gets things built unlike _Italian_ corruption.
Which is an... ...interesting point of view.
[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Franz_Josef_Strauss
As for London, they built an entire industry around hiding money for oligarchs who stole it from their own countries. Maybe it's technically legal, but it's morally corrupt AF.
aizk
a month ago
Yes. That's exactly my point.
arjie
a month ago
That is true. In fact it relates to one of current America's greatest truths: coordination problems here are much more difficult than many technological problems. This is what makes many of those "oh so you take those autonomous vehicles, put them on a track for efficiency reasons, then link them together so they can transport more people, and voila! you have a train!" comments ring hollow.
Building a train requires coordination. Building an autonomous vehicle requires technological innovation and convincing a few people at the top levels of government. The specifics matter (and the Abundance guys have done a great job summarizing them) but it's due to an entrenchment of certain styles of laws.
So the answer to "why do Americans build self-driving cars to ease transport when Europeans just built subway systems?" is "we do these things not because they are hard, but because they're actually much easier than the other thing you find easy".
llbbdd
a month ago
The other answer is that Europe is tiny and subways are almost useless in America unless you are exceptionally poor
user
a month ago
potato3732842
a month ago
The "problem" here isn't the construction of a tunnel. It's the political reality of the people on top of it.
bongodongobob
a month ago
You have to deal with directly affecting real estate owners, potentially 100s of thousands of different ones in NYC. Not to mention 100s of years of underground infra and all the different companies that own that stuff without cutting service to anyone. It's insanely difficult and I'm not sure I understand why you think it wouldn't be.
aizk
a month ago
You're missing what I'm saying. I'm poking fun at devs that think AGI will magically solve all our problems - they have no idea just how insanely complicated physical infrastructure is.
bongodongobob
a month ago
I could definitely see it helping in this space though. I was a project manager for a telco for a bit and there's lots of data in different formats and systems that even today's AI would be great at splicing it all together for one coherent picture.
tsunamifury
a month ago
Haha the technical difficulty is not the hold up here sweet summer child
llbbdd
a month ago