ChuckMcM
9 hours ago
When Blekko was acquired by IBM in 2015 we had an "Integration Executive" assigned to us who was responsible for all the 'detail work' of the integration (if you can imagine a project manager for an integration that would describe their job). He had joined IBM in the '80s. I found his perspective on the Gerstner years pretty fascinating.
I had interned at IBM in the late 70's (as a high school kid of all things) and decided it was more of a real estate company than a computer company :-). Up until Gerstner, IBM had a policy of acquiring and holding real estate as a hedge. Often reported on the books under "cash equivalents" because real estate had the property that it could usually be liquidated when required into cash. When we were acquired in 2015 that had changed, nearly all of the places I had worked in the 70's were no longer owned (or operated) by IBM.
Our exec said that those property holdings were the only thing that kept IBM alive between 1990 and 2000. They had to ruthlessly re-tool the entire business and that required a lot of up front cash without a product revenue stream to fund it. That was Gerstner's legacy for him, he used that asset to re-invent the company around consulting services, business automation, enterprise data processing, and business insights driven by processing billions of metrics.
And it turned out that a lot of companies needed to understand their business better, and automate it, to adapt to this new fangled thing called the Internet.
We both agreed that they would be unlikely to do that again as they had used up their 'secret weapon' already.
tonyedgecombe
8 hours ago
It’s interesting that Apple is buying real estate like there is no tomorrow.
zabzonk
7 hours ago
> It’s interesting that Apple is buying real estate like there is no tomorrow.
Well, as the saying goes, they ain't making more of it.
alexjplant
6 hours ago
Residential real estate construction has lagged population growth for decades as the average age of the first-time homebuyer has gone up and real wages have stagnated. The largest generational cohort in the United States (the post-WWII one with the nickname that everybody is tired of hearing) is getting out of homeownership as they retire southward or head to assisted living. Many of their family homes are in areas in which young people can't or don't want to live. There's going to be a great value reckoning as this asset transfer takes place - I have trouble believing that "line go up" will apply as it has post-COVID with so many sellers and so few ill-equipped buyers.
On the other side of the coin commercial real estate is often treated as financial leverage and a store of value instead of a going concern. From what I understand commercial landlords very frequently use their existing properties to collateralize new loans in a daisy chain-type fashion. Recall all of the grumbling about the end of downtowns and what would happen to CRE paper if people didn't return to the office a few years back? We came pretty close to the precipice and avoided it by artificially propping up the utility of these buildings. What happens during COVID II: The Quickening?
Combine all of this with a broader economy that's been vigorously puffed down to the filter with two drags of AI smoke left in it and things don't look particularly rosy for RE as an appreciating asset class. Scarcity doesn't automatically imply value perceived or otherwise.
Not financial advice, not an economist, just my $.02.
aworks
5 hours ago
I worked for a large Silicon Valley company that took the exact opposite approach. They didnt think they had expertise to strategically manage real estate. So the company leased their facilities (and moved twice while I was there). They were also in a business where the original products were still generating lots of cash that was invested in adjacent product lines (and mostly successfully).