beej71
3 months ago
The fun is still there. I'm relearning Rust and generative AI is really useful to help with understanding concepts and improving code. But I'm still the one understanding and improving.
Still an infinite amount to learn and do. It's still not hard to have more skill than an AI. Of course AI can solve all the dumbbell problems you get in school. They're just there to build muscle. Robots can lift weights better than you, too, but that doesn't mean there's no value in you doing it.
quirino
3 months ago
It's Beej from the guides! I really appreciated the perspective you put forward here: https://beej.us/guide/bglcs/html/split/use-of-ai.html#ai-and....
imiric
3 months ago
> It's still not hard to have more skill than an AI.
Eh, today, maybe, and within specific domains. It's far from certain that this will remain true 5 or 10 years from now. The capability of these tools has improved greatly even compared to a year ago, so it's not far fetched to imagine that they will continue to gain ground.
> Of course AI can solve all the dumbbell problems you get in school. They're just there to build muscle. Robots can lift weights better than you, too, but that doesn't mean there's no value in you doing it.
That's a strange analogy. Technology, by definition, exists to facilitate human work. Relying on it has the opposite effect of "building muscle". "Muscles", in fact, atrophy the more we rely on technology.
Doing the work without technology can certainly be valuable. But it's a personal value appreciated at most by a niche community of people. The actual market value of the work collapses once the product becomes a commodity. This is the effect of "AI" tools on software. The quality of the fast and cheap version of the product is still inferior to the artisan product, but a) this can only improve, and b) most of the market can't tell the difference.
beej71
3 months ago
> It's far from certain that this will remain true 5 or 10 years from now.
I agree with this statement. But I also firmly believe that if AI gets good enough to replace software developers en masse, it will be good enough for basically everything and the global economy will collapse.
> Relying on it has the opposite effect of "building muscle". "Muscles", in fact, atrophy the more we rely on technology.
I also agree with that statement, but I'm not arguing to rely on it entirely, but to use it to become better at bigger things than it can possibly imagine.
Yes, there will be tons of boilerplate code and those jobs will go the way of the dodo. But half the businesses in the world are better than the other half, and they didn't get there by doing the exact same thing as everyone else.
Thought experiment: if there were an AI everyone had access to that was capable of designing and implementing a business that would crush all competition, how would you make your business succeed?
imiric
3 months ago
> Thought experiment: if there were an AI everyone had access to that was capable of designing and implementing a business that would crush all competition, how would you make your business succeed?
That's an interesting one, but it's based on a false premise.
Not everyone will have access to the same AI. This idea that "AI" is a single technology that will empower everyone equally is a fantasy sold to us by companies building these tools.
Instead, companies will carefully guard their secrets and use it to build their moat however they can, in order to increase wealth for their shareholders, just as they've always done.
What everyone else will get will be enough to make AI providers the richest companies on Earth, but not enough for their customers to build competitors. So the market of companies using AI will ultimately depend not on the skills or ingenuity of their people, but on the amount of resources they have to gain access to the best AI money can buy.
There are many factors at play there, but it's going to be a race to the bottom where leaders will be chosen by the capital they control. This is far from a market of equal opportunity that we still have, in some form, today.
But entertaining the idea that everyone were to have access to the same "AI": there would be a period of intense rivalry where companies try their hardest to distinguish their products from the competition. Since everyone would be able to build exactly the same quality of products, this would linger on marketing tactics, deception, corporate sabotage, and similar strategies.
Since the ultimate goal of AI companies is to build AGI, and assuming that is reached and equally accessible to everyone, then the value of human labor and our economies would collapse. There would be no point (from a business perspective) in humans doing any work that AGI hasn't been deployed to yet. Certainly all intellectual work like making business decisions would be the first to be delegated to AGI. Once it gets integrated into humanoid robots, then all physical human labor becomes worthless as well. So it's difficult to say what "business" even looks like in that scenario. One thing is certain: wealth and power will continue to be concentrated into a handful of companies that control AGI. Until one day the robots rebel, and we get Skynet, The Matrix, and all that fun stuff. :)
This is all highly speculative and science fiction at this point, of course, but I don't see this playing out any other way. What is your take on it?
beej71
3 months ago
> Since everyone would be able to build exactly the same quality of products, this would linger on marketing tactics, deception, corporate sabotage, and similar strategies.
Through good old fashioned, malicious, human ingenuity. :)
I could see it unfolding the way you said.
Or AGI is simply not achieved for another 100 years. Or maybe never.
Or Butlerian Jihad.
But yeah, I think the timeline's pretty fucked.
jimbokun
3 months ago
> Thought experiment: if there were an AI everyone had access to that was capable of designing and implementing a business that would crush all competition, how would you make your business succeed?
You won't. Because you placed in your condition that the AI would "crush all competition". That would include any business idea you come up with, which would be included in the category of "all competition".