ageitgey
16 hours ago
If they can operate in London, they will have really shown that autonomy is working. London is full of two-way roads that are only one car width wide, roads were you can just get stuck and have to fully back out, vehicles entirely blocking roads requiring complex cooperation between drivers to negotiate, etc. And that's not even considering the complex logic of figuring out where you can stop to let someone out.
JumpCrisscross
16 hours ago
> If they can operate in London, they will have really shown that autonomy is working
Go back through Waymo’s historic announcements on HN. This is said every time.
Autonomy works. Waymo has solved it. There isn’t yet a number 2, though China has strong candidates. But where you can find Waymo, it works so well that we need to see it in a familiar context to believe it really exists.
4ndrewl
15 hours ago
It's unclear as to where in London this is being rolled out, but central London traffic is notoriously slow, which may help. But we also don't have the concept of jaywalking - you can cross wherever, whenever and there is quite the cycling infrastructure to deal with.
xnx
11 hours ago
The linked article is bad. It would've been better to link to the official announcement or page (https://waymo.com/waymo-in-uk):
"select boroughs in London, including Barking and Dagenham, Brent, Camden, Ealing, Royal Borough of Greenwich, Hackney, Hammersmith and Fulham, Haringey, Islington, Royal Borough of Kensington and Chelsea, Lambeth, Lewisham, Newham, Redbridge, Southwark, Tower Hamlets, Waltham Forest, Wandsworth, City of Westminster, and the City of London."
verzali
11 hours ago
That's a big area, covering much of the centre of the city. It will be impressive to see it working well.
JumpCrisscross
14 hours ago
> we also don't have the concept of jaywalking - you can cross wherever, whenever and there is quite the cycling infrastructure to deal with
This is true in New York and, to a lesser degree, San Francisco.
tialaramex
10 hours ago
I mean, it's now technically true (since some point in 2024) in NYC, but historically it was merely practice to not uniformly enforce this rule and that's basically a more extreme version of the reality across the US.
However unlike a cop deciding whether to fine people for "jay walking" the Waymo doesn't care whether you're the mayor's grandmother or a wise-talking black teenager if you're in its path, those are both humans and it's not allowed to hit humans.
There aren't going to be many humans in the street in outer Phoenix because where would they even be going? But the Mission, just like Leicester Square, has plenty of pedestrians who might just run into the street in front of you given any reason or opportunity and you need to be ready for that.
So I agree this isn't novel for Waymo, but while technically jay walking is now legal in NYC that's not why Waymo (which also has pencilled in an NYC launch) needs to care about it already.
potato3732842
15 hours ago
Your comment is a slight of hand. Yes it "works" but it is an MVP. Everywhere it's rolled out people say yes it drives, but it drives like a rookie that can follow the rules but doesn't have any of the predictive power that every driver who doesn't suck has some of.
Like for example how traffic will often modulate its spacing or time its lane changes to reduce issues with merging or exiting traffic and certain intersections with most traffic doing the same thing become an efficient repetitive cycle, Waymo doesn't "get it".
So it works, in the same way a newly licensed teenager "works". It's no cabbie.
Edit: It's been over a year since I've ridden in one. Good to hear it's potentially better now.
sixhobbits
15 hours ago
After taking both Uber and Waymo in San Francisco I think I disagree with this. Only caught a few so maybe I didn't see the bad sides, but from what I saw it was able to predict flows and navigate far more smoothly than humans in many situations. Really comfortable and overall safe feeling ride.
It's different than human drivers for sure, but to me at least it's better.
I agree with MVP part, my understanding is that there's still a lot of Wizard of Oz stuff in terms of regularly mapping and remapping its routes and having a lot of human operators remotely checking and maybe controlling the fleet, but I'm impressed personally.
JumpCrisscross
14 hours ago
> Everywhere it's rolled out people say yes it drives, but it drives like a rookie
When did you last update this hypothesis?
The Waymos I’ve been in creep, honk and modulate their aggressiveness quite naturally. In the cities they operate in, they’re a premium product to cabs.
The part where you’re right is on freeways. But my point is that tends to be ignored when folks gatekeep “real” autonomy. Instead, it’s some random peculiarity of their city which humans traverse at low speeds. Exactly the thing Waymo has mastered.
minwcnt5
4 hours ago
> People say yes it drives, but it drives like a rookie
I think you just made this up. Almost every anecdote I've heard, and I spend a lot of time in two cities where it's launched, is that "it drives better than most humans". Which is exactly how I would characterize it too. It doesn't drive exactly like a human. But for every subtle human behavior it doesn't do, there are probably several things it does much more skillfully than a human.
chasd00
4 hours ago
I rode in one in Austin TX for the first time last weekend. I was going from UT back to a hotel in a different part of downtown. No complaints, it was a smooth experience granted it didn't face anything I would see as out of the ordinary or unexpected while driving. Edit: well one thing i thought was interesting, it came up behind a delivery truck stopped in the lane. Instead of just stopping and waiting forever, which is what i expected, it turned on the blinker and got in the oncoming traffic lane, passed the truck and then returned to the correct lane. It crossed two solid yellow lines on the road to do this which is usually a no-no but in this case fine. That stuck out to me as something rather advanced to automate (when to wait and when to pass/overtake)
ifwinterco
15 hours ago
All the existing places Waymo operate are in the US though, as OP says London is very different. Will be interesting to see if they can get it working or not
AlotOfReading
15 hours ago
They've been operating in Tokyo for a bit now.
IshKebab
14 hours ago
> This is said every time.
Sure, but in terms of traffic difficulty they've done like level 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and now they're jumping to 100! This is different.
It's not the most difficult place to drive (good luck in India, Turkey, southern Italy, etc.), but it's still far more challenging than any American city.
And it needs fundamentally new capabilities like being able to negotiate with other drivers visually and read implicit signals. You can't do it all just by following what the traffic lights say.
xnx
11 hours ago
> it needs fundamentally new capabilities like being able to negotiate with other drivers visually and read implicit signal
This is also important in the US and is a capability the Waymo Driver has.
> it's still far more challenging than any American city.
How would you rate the difficult of London vs. Boston?
eszed
6 hours ago
I've driven extensively in both, and London's hands-down more challenging°. Boston drivers are significantly more aggressive, though, so Waymo might find the reverse. I dunno.
——
°Which makes it more fun: I love driving in London, but I'm a weirdo. My biggest regret about my last / first visit to Delhi is that I let my wife talk me out of driving. It may indeed have been a prudent choice, but I think I was there long enough to "get" enough to manage next time.
leprechaun1066
15 hours ago
Wayve have been working on London streets for some time now. This is from a few months ago:
finolex1
14 hours ago
Residents of every city claim that they have the craziest drivers or toughest streets to navigate in. London isn't really that materially harder to drive in than San Francisco.
ageitgey
13 hours ago
Sure, people always claim "drivers in MY city..."
But I've lived in both places and London is very different than SF. I'd say the UK has better drivers on average (and much more strict licensing requirements), but driving in London is much more challenging due to the tiny roads you have to navigate. There is no road in SF that is as hard to navigate as the average suburban London two-way traffic single car width road with parking on both sides.
An I'm not saying London is "the worst" by any means. It's nothing like driving in Vietnam or India. But it is very different to SF.
Gigachad
4 hours ago
In some sense I think the "harder" roads might actually be easier since they just result in everyone moving slower and maybe worst case it gets stuck and requires manual control. While on "easier" roads when something goes wrong people are immediately killed.
minwcnt5
4 hours ago
> There is no road in SF that is as hard to navigate as the average suburban London two-way traffic single car width road with parking on both sides.
I think you just described the entire Bernal Heights neighborhood in SF (except with 20+ degree steepness on top of that).
tim333
11 hours ago
Driving in London is kind of weird these days in that you feel almost stationary. It's typically wait at lights for 2 min, drive at 15-20 mph for 40 seconds, repeat. I've mostly given up on it and use an ebike instead.
eszed
6 hours ago
Lived (and driven) both cities. 100% agree with you.
louthy
11 hours ago
That is just nonsense, sorry. San Francisco is a modern layout (grid) and London is an ancient city with road networks based on thoroughfares that are 500+ years old.
It may be true that all major cities have their own quirks, but London has significantly more complexity than San Francisco or any US grid based city with super wide roads.
Also, the US bought into the ‘Car is King’ idea whereas that’s never really been the case in the UK outside of a few places like Birmingham. It’s generally harder to be a driver in the UK.
Whether that causes significant problems for Waymo, who knows? But I am also of the opinion that if it works in London then that’s a pretty powerful tell that they’ve got it right. We’ll, at least for places where drivers generally stick to the rules.
Xss3
8 hours ago
Bahahaha
mavhc
14 hours ago
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EHLbuN6R6qg Tesla's video of FSD in London for comparison