Immigration raids leave crops unharvested and California farms at risk

41 pointsposted 4 days ago
by PaulHoule

75 Comments

acjohnson55

4 days ago

> "In the fields, I would say 70% of the workers are gone," she said in an interview. "If 70% of your workforce doesn't show up, 70% of your crop doesn't get picked and can go bad in one day. Most Americans don't want to do this work. Most farmers here are barely breaking even. I fear this has created a tipping point where many will go bust."

Presumably, there will be bigger pocketed entities waiting in the wings to snap up some distressed assets.

saalweachter

4 days ago

I assume there are indeed some buyers who will indeed snap up the assets, but I do wonder "and then what?"

They trust that their bigger political clout will let them continue to employee undocumented migrant workers at wages no one else will work for?

They wait for the political climate to change, and then they'll go back to business as usual?

They wait for produce prices to skyrocket/the job market to crater, and then pay minimum wage for the jobs?

Something something, AI/robots?

smilbandit

4 days ago

The cynic in me thinks that this is a way for bigger farms to gobble up smaller farms by calling in ice but knowing that they will be able to keep ice from raiding them unless a bigger farm pays to have them raided.

paxys

4 days ago

> They trust that their bigger political clout will let them continue to employee undocumented migrant workers at wages no one else will work for?

Yes, this is exactly what will happen.

2muchcoffeeman

4 days ago

I don’t think this is clear. They might just mechanise why have jobs when a machine can do the job just as well?

pseudo0

4 days ago

Illegal migration makes it infeasible to invest in technology to automate the work, because any business that wants to invest in automation will be undercut by a less ethical competitor employing illegal, artificially cheap workers. This also makes it hard to attract investment for companies building technology to automate this work, because investors assume that the government will continue to not enforce the law, leading to reduced demand for labor-replacing technology. We won't get significant innovation and investment in this field until the government sends a clear message that they will be consistently enforcing the law going forward.

paxys

4 days ago

If a machine could have done the job it would be doing it right now.

Gud

4 days ago

Not if using illegal workers is cheaper.

Arnt

4 days ago

This assumes that a machine can do the job, but the present owners don't understand it. The article doesn't say "this will force farmers to mechanise more", see?

JumpCrisscross

4 days ago

Wait it out. Cropland is a solid asset. Lots of soybean farmland for sale in my neck of the woods.

spankibalt

4 days ago

> "[...] but I do wonder 'and then what?'"

America's prison industry, one of the Trump administration's biggest profiteers, might have some relevant answers for you. ;)

sundaeofshock

4 days ago

At what quality? Most frameworks are paid by amount harvested so they bust their asses to pick all that fruit. What’s the motivation for prisoners to do more than the bare minimum? Related question, what will the other inmates do to the inmate who works much harder than everyone else?

spankibalt

4 days ago

I'm sure a nation with such a... shall we say... "colorful" and rich history in prison and slave labor can muster some experts on the matter to answer your questions. Satisfaction guaranteed, or your money back. Et cetera.

zdragnar

4 days ago

What American would want to do the work when you're competing with people who aren't subject to labor laws like minimum wage, break times and so forth?

beej71

4 days ago

But Americans are subject to labor laws and minimum wage and break times and so forth, so how is this a factor in whether or not they want to do the work? You'll get paid minimum wage and have breaks.

zdragnar

4 days ago

The implication is that undocumented laborers, or those who fear immigration enforcement, will not report illegal working conditions or wage theft. It is further implied that plenty of Americans would do the job with adequate pay and working conditions.

aksjsnxkkxx

4 days ago

And when people ask where is the money going to come from it’s very easy to point out the ever growing wealth gap and immoral levels of wealth our billionaire class has. But that never happens, and this meaningless left / right dichotomy continues to distract the population.

A few less iPhones and a few more automated farms. Billionaires would be hardest hit unfortunately.

babuloseo

4 days ago

do they have a source on many americans dont want to do this type of work part?

kersplody

4 days ago

Look at UC Davis Gifford Center’s April 2024 “Farm Labor Issues in the 2020s” summary report: https://gifford.ucdavis.edu/events/past/april-4-2024-farm-la...

Very few U.S.-born workers respond to job ads for seasonal crop work, Show up when work begins, or Stick around through the harvest season. "Even when wages reach—or exceed $20–$30 per hour, seasonal U.S. workers overwhelmingly opt out of field labor. That persistent gap is why American agriculture depends so heavily on immigrant and guest‐worker programs, and why mechanization continues to accelerate."

sys32768

4 days ago

Note that the same report says legal, temporary "H-2A workers are more productive and provide labor insurance for producers of perishable commodities, but cost $5 to $10 an hour more than settled farm workers because of recruitment, transportation, and housing costs."

aksjsnxkkxx

4 days ago

The simple counter is to offer higher wages. We absolutely have the capital and tech to ensure people can make a decent living doing farm labor.

It would require less billionaires and less chatgpt wrappers with billion dollar valuations.

msgodel

4 days ago

This. Labor markets cut both ways but you have to actually follow the rules for it to work.

2muchcoffeeman

4 days ago

Wait till you find out how much legal workers who make clothes in America make.

msgodel

4 days ago

Go move to South America if you think their workers have something we don't and will make your life so much better.

2muchcoffeeman

4 days ago

That’s a silly response. Why do you think workers are exploited? You say we need to play by the roles, but you’re going to balk at the cost of playing by those rules.

msgodel

4 days ago

We have absolutely decided we're fine with it. We'd prefer a functioning domestic economy to cheap luxuries.

s1artibartfast

4 days ago

or they just go out of business and we import our non mechanized crops to developing countries. Farming isn't a high margin business and if it were as simple are rising wages and prices, you wouldn't see the farms going out of business.

There is a reason European farmers are deeply subsidized.

dv_dt

4 days ago

We have the capital and tech to ensure out entire population has living wages, and yet and increasing swath of them do not

Arnt

4 days ago

The bigger-pocketed entities need a plan to make a profit before they buy. That plan isn't easy to make — that's why the present owners risk going bust.

e40

4 days ago

Do you have proof of this, because I seriously doubt it is true. The idea there are unused assets waiting in the wings is just absurd.

acjohnson55

4 days ago

This is what the private equity industry exists to do (particularly firms with strategies like distressed, roll-ups, take-privates, etc).

They raise funds from large pools of capital, like endowments and pension funds, and they invest it into assets they identify as undervalued or underproducing.

When there is a crash in an asset class, private equity has often stepped in to buy assets at firesale prices from forced sellers.

sebastiennight

4 days ago

Wait. Do you believe that right now, there are no large entities around with vast amounts of funds that they are looking to invest? None?

e40

4 days ago

I don't doubt that funds are available. The idea that a perishable commodity can be harvested in days by applying these funds is absolutely bonkers.

I'll turn it around: how long do you think the time to get those crops harvested is? People didn't show up for work, the clock is ticking.

I was responding to someone that seemed to imply that resources were on STANDBY to swoop in and harvest the crops. That is completely untrue and just dumb.

sebastiennight

3 days ago

Ah. I think there might be a misunderstanding.

I read GP's comment as saying that large investors will be happy to buy "distressed assets", eg. the bankrupt farm itself, after its ruined crops caused bankrupcy.

They don't care about the crop ; the same way that a speculator might have bought LA real estate for a symbolic dollar after the house itself had burnt down. They don't care about the family house, they care about buying the underlying asset (the land) for cheaper than its real value.

e40

2 days ago

Ah, yes, I think you're right. I didn't read it the same way as you (and others!) and I think my interpretation is wrong.

AnimalMuppet

4 days ago

Oh, it's parked somewhere - Treasury bonds, the stock market, or something. It's still liquid enough to buy a deeply discounted asset when you see one, though.

comrade1234

4 days ago

Maybe Americans will finally understand that their cheap food and lifestyle has been dependent on essentially illegal slave labor with no rights. You can harvest your crops with legal migrant workers with legal temporary visas and minimum wages and labor protections but you'll have to pay a few cents more for those strawberries.

burningChrome

4 days ago

Used to stay and work in ND during my Summers in college. One of the businesses I worked for was a bin sealing company. The owner was a successful farmer and during the Summer, he would have two large families get work visas and would come up and help from Mexico during the Summer harvest.

It was basically three months of sun up to sun down work. At the end of the Summer, the family would celebrate and put on a huge fiesta and cook food for everybody. The farmer paid them extremely well and they would leave and go back to Mexico in August, fondly talking about coming back again the following Summer when the farmer needed them again.

This was my first exposure to migrant labor. It was clear the farmer took the appropriate steps to get visas and paid the family well for their efforts. Likewise, the family was thankful for the work, good pay and with the relationship.

When I moved back to Minnesota after college, I started playing hockey again and two of my teammates had done something similar and worked on poultry and cattle farms in the southern part of the state. Their stories were the complete opposite of what I had experienced. Illegals were used all over the operation. They were paid roughly $3/hour cash to work 12-16 hour shifts. If they spoke up about safety issues or the pay, a supervisor would pick them up, buy them a ticket back to the border and drop them off at the bus station.

The stories they had were pretty eye opening to say the least. I felt dumb for being so naive to think farmers just did everything legally.

EA-3167

4 days ago

You famously the key point of slavery (at least the sort that existed in what would become The Confederacy) is that it was for life, heritable, and you had no way out, no human rights, and if you tried to escape you were hunted down and tortured.

It's possible to point out that there are problems with migrant labor without making such an inflammatory and inappropriate claim no one can really engage with you seriously.

JumpCrisscross

4 days ago

> essentially illegal slave labor

California’s farm workers are not slaves…

e40

4 days ago

It's not even that. Most Americans would not do that job for $25/hr ($52k/yr). It's hard, backbreaking work.

tzs

4 days ago

I heard a report on the radio about a similar situation with cherry farmers in Washington. Many farmers are in a cycle where they have to take out loans to pay for maintaining their orchards during the off-season, and then make enough during cherry season to pay those loans off but not enough that they won't need a loan for the next off-season.

So far there have not actually been any mass raids on farms in Washington, and not many cases of migrants being arrested when driving from California to Washington for the cherry harvest but the workers know what is happening in California and are afraid it will happen in Washington so many are staying away.

What was baffling is that many of the farmers put the blame for this is on bad actors on the left spreading fear among the workers.

tosser0001

4 days ago

I know little about farming or harvesting, but I’m curious what types of crops actually require manual harvesting?

Do we really need to rely on stoop labor to hand-pick crops, or has a relatively cheap labor pool allowed farmers to avoid the costs of automation?

If labor is to be in perennial short supply in the future, I wonder if American farmers will simply be forced to turn to crops that allow machine harvesting.

comrade1234

4 days ago

There are some crops that they've been trying for years to harvest robotically but they just require too many input variables that a human can see in seconds but a robot just can't do it yet. Do a search on harvesting cabbages with robots, for example they're close but not yet there.

korse

4 days ago

Things that are grown on trees and bushes and are also delicate. Most cereal crops and plenty of ground/root vegetable cultivation is already mostly automated.

analog31

4 days ago

Anything that's processed into something else is likely to be more readily automated, such as grains and canned or frozen produce.

tom89999

4 days ago

That was so crystal clear ...

netsharc

4 days ago

Wrecking the agricultural part of California's economy is probably part of the plan...

> One, age 54, has worked in U.S. agricultural fields for 30 years and has a wife and children in the country. He said most of his colleagues have stopped showing up for work.

> "If they show up to work, they don't know if they will ever see their family again," he said.

> The other worker in the country illegally said, "Basically, we wake up in the morning scared. We worry about the sun, the heat, and now a much bigger problem — many not returning home. I try not to get into trouble on the street. Now, whoever gets arrested for any reason gets deported."

Heh, heck of a job Donnie, creating an opressive regime. Anyone remember the 1990's Claire Danes/Leonardo DiCaprio "Romeo and Juliet", which is the Shakespeare play but set in the modern era, with cars and guns? Maybe somewhere out there is a little Latina girl doing a reimagining of "Diary of Anne Frank", but the book will be called Diary of Ana Franco?

chronoc7394

4 days ago

> That was so crystal clear ..

Yeah, people just don’t care. Myself included.

If you want to come to america, come here legally.

We all want a better life for ourselves and family. Illegal immigrants “dreamers” are no different in this regard.

Well, except the fact, they snuck into a different person’s home (country) while hundreds of thousands are waiting in the legal line.

toomuchtodo

4 days ago

I support your right to your position, but also support doing nothing as rural america infrastructure is rapidly evaporated, first healthcare and then whatever else remains (because what will when the closest medical provider is hours away). It’s the only way people who think this matters (“do it the legal way” even though it’s borderline impossible and extremely expensive) will then understand food supply infrastructure is more important than residency status of the only people who will do these jobs, but maybe not.

Unless you’re a Native American, you’re an immigrant too.

wrs

4 days ago

Well, I enjoy having food available, so I do care about the effect of throwing a bomb into the agricultural workforce without any apparent planning or regard for the consequences.

nitwit005

4 days ago

They, presumably, meant the side effects for the farm owners.

A lot of people voted to have their business ruined, and seem upset that it happened.

jcranmer

4 days ago

First, the plurality of illegal immigrants in the US are people who entered the country legally but have overstayed their visas. There's not a lot of sneaking into a different person's country to do work.

Second, there is no "legal line" for immigration. The closest you get is that some visas where conversion to a permanent residency (green card) has an annual quota that is so heavily oversubscribed that there is a permanent backlog which stretches, in the most extreme cases, to over 20 years long.

Third, even when you're dealing with the legal immigration processes, that process is a bureaucratic hell that I don't wish on anybody. If you don't have anybody willing to descend into paperwork hell for you, then there is no way for you to immigrate to the US.

foogazi

4 days ago

> Well, except the fact, they snuck into a different person’s home (country)

Not true - false analogy

> while hundreds of thousands are waiting in the legal line.

Again - the legal line is fake too

OkayPhysicist

3 days ago

Okay, so let's make it a lot easier to immigrate legally. Except that's not what the Right is doing at the moment. They're simultaneously attacking legal, "the right way" immigration, and illegal immigration, because they don't care about "fair and legal" anything, they're just racist.

acjohnson55

4 days ago

It would be one thing if it were some kind of sacrifice to have immigrants, but if all the undocumented immigrants disappeared, we would be substantially worse off as a country. We would have a shrinking, aging population.

The system of rules they are breaking is kept slow, arbitrary, and complex so that we can benefit from their labor without granting all the rights of being US citizens. This is so that they can be illegally exploited, but also because of the anxieties Americans have about the dilution of their culture (and to some, their bloodlines) by other ethnicities.

We didn't always have a system like this. It evolved into what it is, and now people feel morally righteous about upholding laws their own ancestors never were subject to.

And not a small number of people who did navigate the system but want everyone to have to pay the same dues. It's reminiscent to me of the folks with 4 year engineering degrees feeling salty that other folks have gotten into the industry through bootcamps, for a fraction of the time and money.

Ucalegon

4 days ago

This is just ignorant to how Congress has dropped the ball when it comes to funding a functional immigration system which provides for a speedy process. It is almost as if there is an economic interest to keep labor cheap via undocumented workers which is not alleviated at all through these raids, but does increase costs while undermining the US economy.

cinntaile

4 days ago

People care about their wallets though and this whole situation isn't exactly fattening them.

beej71

4 days ago

It'll be interesting to see how this "screw the farmers" tactic plays out in the midterms.

jfengel

2 days ago

I'm betting it'll turn out pretty well.

There aren't all that many farmers. Americans love the idea of them, but they aren't actually a significant voting bloc. If they had been, we'd have had a more realistic position on migrant farm workers. Any complaints the farmers may have will be drowned out by the sound of how happy people are with the raids.

Those farmers are mostly in deep-red districts. Even if they're unhappy, they're not going to vote for the Democrat -- if there's even one on the ticket. The few who cross party lines won't suffice to to change the outcome in the district.

For the rest of the country... if it results in higher food prices, that might make a difference. Though perhaps less than you'd think. People's perceptions of inflation are only loosely correlated with the actual cost of things. Inflation of "only" 5% doesn't result in massive sticker shock, by itself. It's filtered through people's expectations. If people are generally happy, even substantial inflation will be passed off as merely trying times (for which we must double down on our bootstraps). If people are generally unhappy, it's easy to single out some specific item that has gone up in price and make it the be-all and end-all of consumer budgets.

The balance is close enough that at least one house will likely turn next November. But I've seen nothing to suggest it will be any kind of landslide. It's just enough to nudge a few 51-49 districts to 49-51 instead.

yahoozoo

4 days ago

Why doesn’t the government subsidize wages/salaries as an incentive for “Americans who don’t want to do this work for such low pay”? Or I guess they could just automate more.

comrade1234

4 days ago

Americans don't have to do it. You can have legal seasonal workers on temporary visas. We do it every year here in Switzerland for the wine harvest and for the ski resorts with workers from Portugal for example.

yahoozoo

4 days ago

I think overstaying visas is a significant issue in America and one of the reasons they have so many illegal immigrants.

Ekaros

4 days ago

Why subsidise? If the plantation owners want the crops to be picked, they just have to pay enough to find willing worker. And then increase the price of food to still make same overall profit margin. It is how free market capitalism should work.