d_silin
7 hours ago
I wonder if we can get a flyby mission by 2031 from NASA or ESA.
Polizeiposaune
4 hours ago
Would be very challenging to get there in time.
11AU is outside Saturn's orbit. With the high inclination of the orbit (95 degrees) it's coming in on a more-or-less polar orbit of the sun. You might need a Jupiter flyby along the lines of what Ulysses did to fling it out of the ecliptic plane, but Jupiter might not be in the right place in its orbit to make that work..
And you'd need a very light spacecraft (not much mass budget for instruments) launched very fast, and it's far enough away from the sun that you'd want RTG power rather than solar panels.
JoeDaDude
2 hours ago
I can't make a fair comparison between the object in TFA and Oumuamua, the presumed interstellar object that passed through our Solar System not long ago. For the latter, a "Project Lyra" study [1] posits a combination of Earth and Jupiter gravitational assists to catchup with Oumuamua. Could a similar approach work for this comet?
[1]. https://i4is.org/project-lyra-a-solar-oberth-at-10-solar-rad...
vivzkestrel
18 minutes ago
what would it take to build and accelerate an object to 295000 kms/s? Like seriously, would it take nuclear propulsion or is it antimatter engine or solar sail?
Archelaos
2 hours ago
> With the high inclination of the orbit (95 degrees) ...
How can such a high inclination be explained?
Polizeiposaune
2 hours ago
The observed distribution of inclinations of long-period comets are why it's called the Oort cloud and not the Oort belt..
Short period comets are relatively close to the ecliptic, while very-long-period comets have evenly distributed inclinations suggesting that the objects in the Oort are more or less spherically distributed.
Discussed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oort_cloud#Development_of_theo...
TheSpiceIsLife
3 hours ago
I'm far enough away from the sun that I want an RTG rather than solar.
AlphaEsponjosus
7 hours ago
I wonder if NASA will still existing in 2028.
chgs
6 hours ago
NasaX, or maybe NAXA or something.
gnarlouse
4 hours ago
Department of Gaia Escape
Nevermark
5 hours ago
Well XASA obviously!
The government would save billions (tens of billions over the long haul), increase cadence, increase mission scope, and cut flight times, by cutting NASA’s build-&-burn rocket manned program in favor of SpaceX’s reusable manned craft and space refueling services.
SpaceX Starship could also reduce the cost and increase cadence of scientific missions, in two ways:
1) By reducing launch costs via greater system reuse.
2) And by increasing available launch volume, eliminate a lot of the design & manufacturing time, cost, complexity and risk created by today’s need to fit craft into toad’s more limited volumes.
Less need for craft miniaturization means (a) fewer risky/complex unfolding maneuvers in flight, (b) much easier radiation mitigation via more shielding, larger more resilient circuits, redundancy, etc. And (c) fewer craft, with more capabilities and higher longevity.
And as with the manned program, increase mission scope, while reducing transfer to target times, via in orbit refueling.
If only we could find someone with the incentives, plan, means and mandate, to cut government space spending while somehow also expanding its manned & scientific space exploration capabilities and scope.
The hardest part is to find such a uniquely capable person, who also has enough slack time to take this on. A rare trait combination, indeed. What are the chances of finding a genius reefer doom scrolling bloviating slacker? Who could put all that disposable time to better use?
Nevermark
2 hours ago
In case that all seemed too pro-SpaceX:
1) I think NASA does best when it focuses on the frontier of space, where private industry does not yet have the incentives or capabilities to increase our knowledge and access to space and solar system resources.
2) I think NASA does best, when it takes the greatest advantage of private industry, where ever industry is able to provide lower costs or higher performance.
I think this is more in line with how public money should be spent.
I think it reduces a lot of wasted money spent on unnecessary redundant and obsolete efforts.
I think it results in the greatest bang for the buck, for the government, and the greatest incentive to improve for industry.
At this time, I think the frontier NASA should be focused on (where industry is not yet incentivized enough), is manned space habitats, and unmanned and manned exploration of the solar system's potential manned sites and resources.
Where I think it should have already passed on the torch, is manned and unmanned orbital, lunar and solar system launch capabilities. Industry is already performing and incentivized to provide these capabilities better than NASA. NASA can best contribute to improving those capabilities, with the least investment, by being a demanding customer.
SpaceX happens to have put itself in the center of those principles, due to a lot of fine work. But the principles make just as good sense, regardless of who the industrial innovators are.
deprecative
an hour ago
If we actually funded public services to the required levels NASA and so forth would be fine to do things in house. We're just allergic to anything that makes actual sense when we have an oligarchy to support. That's it.
Dalewyn
4 hours ago
NASA and most of the unmanned space exploration programs will probably be fine.
It's the manned space exploration programs and all the space-as-in-vapid programs that could and should be cut with extreme prejudice.
And in case I need to make myself clear: There is no value in manned space exploration at this point, at least no value that can't be obtained with unmanned programs. I say that as someone who was and will always be fascinated by Apollo, Space Shuttle, et al.
vlovich123
4 hours ago
> It's the manned space exploration programs and all the space-as-in-vapid programs that could and should be cut with extreme prejudice.
The main thing on the chopping block is all rocket R&D and forcing NASA to contract out that work. It's unlikely Musk would suggest chopping the programs themselves as those are very lucrative contracts SpaceX would be bidding for.
> no value in manned space exploration at this point
Only if you ignore the value of inspiring the next generation of scientists and explorers.
Dalewyn
3 hours ago
>the chopping block is all rocket R&D and forcing NASA to contract out that work.
Nearly everything NASA does outside of operating the missions themselves is contracted out, especially the SLS which is all of it:
* The main stage (aka core stage), essentially a repurposed Space Shuttle external fuel tank with engines bolted on, is contracted out to Boeing, with so far one launch and two completed production units in at least ten years of production.
* The main engines, which are refurbished SSMEs used as throwaways, are contracted out to Aerojet Rocketdyne.
* The SRBs are contracted out to Northrop Grumman, and the first eight launches will all be reusing the old Space Shuttle SRBs.
* The second stage, a repurposed Delta IV second stage, is contracted out to United Launch Alliance which is basically Boeing and Lockheed Martin.
* Finally, the Orion is contracted out to Lockheed Martin and Airbus. Incidentally, this is the only "new" component of the program.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Launch_System
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_(spacecraft)
>Only if you ignore the value of inspiring the next generation of scientists and explorers.
Unmanned programs like Hubble and the other Great Observatories, New Horizons, Spirit/Opportunity/Curiosity, and the two Voyagers inspire the people far more than manned programs.
There was value in manned programs before, we needed to figure out WTF human bodies will do in space. We figured that out at least 20 years ago. Now we need to keep contriving excuses to keep ISS flying and there's barely enough commercial interest in manned space utilization.
No, cut it all. Until we reach the next paradigm shift where we have to send men out into the black again to gain answers, robots can do everything a man could for cheaper, safer, longer, and faster.