Starship Flight 5 license issued by FAA

261 pointsposted 9 months ago
by LorenDB

161 Comments

modeless

9 months ago

Someone made a game where you manually land the Super Heavy booster. It's fun! https://mechazilla.io/

The real landing will be incredible. I'm also very excited to see Starship make it all the way through reentry fully intact. We got some amazing video last time.

Anyone know if they plan to relight Starship's engines in space this time? I think the capability for a deorbit burn is the last thing they need to demonstrate before they can do orbital missions and deploy satellites. Looks like it's not on the mission timeline though.

TeMPOraL

9 months ago

That's a beatiful game. Mechanically it's simple enough, but the author seems to have put a lot of the work into failure effects. There are many different ways you can break the catcher, the booster, or both.

ordu

9 months ago

> Anyone know if they plan to relight Starship's engines in space this time?

No. I don't know why, but their plan for second stage is the same as before, go suborbital, reenter, soft splashdown into the Indian Ocean. Hopefully now without flaps burned through.

russdill

9 months ago

The autogen pressurization system for the liquid oxygen tank pollutes the tank with carbon dioxide and water ice. The same thing happens on the booster, but they have systems to manage the issue in place. Presumably they don't want to bother with this step for v1 ships or don't have the mass margin to do so.

It's not a problem for the landing as that sources from a separate clean tank.

cryptonector

9 months ago

CSI Starbase seems to think that Raptor v3 might stop using oxygen pre-burner gas for oxygen tank autogenous pressurization and use oxygen gas generated by using liquid oxygen as a coolant, like is already done on the methane side. That would reduce a lot of weight for filtering that they have had to add to prevent dry ice clogging of engine oxygen intakes.

verzali

9 months ago

I would guess they still need to learn more about the behaviour during reentry. Relighting the engines or opening the payload door could mean they lose proper attitude control like in the 3rd flight, so they get less info from reentry.

nuccy

9 months ago

Nice game. @author Please just consider removing super-thrust effect when booster is punctured. Obviously engines have much more thrust than the gas escaping through the puncture, so crazy rotations after puncture are not realistic at all. Better behaviour would be a rapid loss of oxygen or CH4 and loss of engine thrust.

LorenDB

9 months ago

See also SpaceX's own official Starship game: https://starshipthegame.spacex.com

khaki54

9 months ago

Does it always just say pending regulatory approval and get stuck that way? Is that the joke?

philwelch

9 months ago

Mine finished loading, but it’s a good joke.

justinclift

9 months ago

Finishes loading and runs here, using Firefox on Linux if that helps.

ilrwbwrkhv

9 months ago

"Optimized for Chrome". Why?

mardifoufs

9 months ago

Maybe it's because it's a small project about a specific event, and that whoever made it already uses Chrome and has mostly tested it on chromium?

Diti

9 months ago

Considering most of the HN crowd is likely to switch to Firefox because of the Manifest v3 debacle, the person you are replying to is asking a good question. Assuming whoever made the game is a HN nerd like us.

ilrwbwrkhv

9 months ago

This exactly. I am starting a shadow project to transfer people to Firefox and want to know what is going in people's heads when they do something like this.

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

xeromal

9 months ago

Wow, this game is great. Reminds me of a miniclip game

justinclift

9 months ago

Doesn't seem to work on Firefox?

tjoff

9 months ago

Works fine for me (linux, firefox)

justinclift

9 months ago

Interesting. For me it's not showing anything in the middle of the screen, just upper and lower stuff (like a ~header and ~footer).

Is that what you see?

tjoff

9 months ago

... no, that wouldn't be fine at all. I see a playable game, got to level 13 before giving up.

_Microft

9 months ago

"Starship's fifth flight test is targeted to launch on Sunday, October 13. The 30-minute launch window opens at 7 a.m. CT.",

https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=starship-...

Edit: that's 12p.m. UTC, I think.

dwaltrip

9 months ago

Tomorrow? It was issued only one day in advance?

rvnx

9 months ago

SpaceX provided information about the flight profile and its impact only in mid-August to FAA.

The FAA forwarded the requests to the related agencies and had to wait (for example, what happens to the polluted water).

According to 50 CFR § 402.13, the other agencies have 60 days to give back their answers to the FAA.

15 August + 60 days = now.

The FAA mentioned they positively collaborate with SpaceX despite "upper stage failure in July and unsuccessful landing in August".

Quite exciting to see!

dmix

9 months ago

Interesting how it took exactly the maximum limit they are alloted.

I wonder if the people in these agencies treat it like school projects where you use deadlines as a framework for how long you can screw around before it's absolutely necessary to get started. Where it's not treated as a worst case upper maximum.

bandyaboot

9 months ago

Alternatively, one or more agency may not have responded at all and so the FAA was obligated to wait the 60 days. Just speculation.

tgsovlerkhgsel

9 months ago

Sounds like a great way to get politicians to give the agency 3 days next time, under the guise of optimization but with the actual intent and effect to completely neuter the agency...

fallingknife

9 months ago

They absolutely do. It's a bureaucracy. Budget is on a use it or lose it basis. FAA is requesting a 36% budget increase next year. Wouldn't be able to justify that if they stopped wasting resources nitpicking every piece of the launch plan.

ein0p

9 months ago

“Malicious compliance”, sort of like CA is now refusing to allow more launches because they don’t like Elon’s support of the candidate they don’t approve of. Democracy!

spidersenses

9 months ago

Conspiracy thinking: Musk may have made some personal enemies by stealing Twitter from the left and siding with Trump's camp in the upcoming US presidential election.

JumpCrisscross

9 months ago

> 15 August + 60 days = now

Close enough. Sixty days is October 14. Today is the twelfth. Tomorrow, 13 October, is the launch.

mensetmanusman

9 months ago

“Wouldn’t want it to take the maximum amount of time now would we”

bewaretheirs

9 months ago

Not much different from the prior flights.

Flight 4 was licensed on June 4th, was originally scheduled to launch on June 5th, and actually launched on the 6th.

Flight 3 received its license on March 13th and launched on March 14th.

Flight 2 received its license on November 15th 2023, and launched on November 18th.

Flight 1 received its license on April 14th; it launched on April 20th.

mlindner

9 months ago

Should also be noted that Flight 1 was originally attempted to launch on April 17th.

JumpCrisscross

9 months ago

> It was issued only one day in advance?

Officially, yes. Practically, I was hearing earlier this week that this was coming, as obviously was SpaceX given they're ready to attempt.

bryanlarsen

9 months ago

SpaceX has claimed they'd been ready to fly since August. It's not a surprise they'll launch very quickly after receiving the license.

bewaretheirs

9 months ago

In August, they said the rocket was ready to fly .. but they were quite visibly still doing significant work to the catch mechanism on the launch tower.

jdiez17

9 months ago

Take that with a BIG grain of salt. When SpaceX says they are ready and the FAA is holding them up, it is actually Elon saying they are ready. For example, take a look at the "Starships are meant to fly" post from September: https://www.spacex.com/updates/

As someone who has been following these developments for a while, I can 100% detect Elon's fingerprints all over this post. They are basically completely dismissing government oversight as "unnecessary obstacles to progress". Keep in mind, the area where SpaceX operates Starship is a wildlife sanctuary and was only chosen because it is one of the few undeveloped, southernmost points of the US, which matters because the closer you are to the equator, the more advantage you can take of the Earth's rotational velocity.

BurningFrog

9 months ago

I think it's more that they launch as soon as they get the permit.

azernik

9 months ago

Other way around - with foreknowledge of how fast the FAA was working, SpaceX scheduled the launch last week to be one day after the expected license issue.

hughes

9 months ago

Flight 3 license was also issued only one day in advance.

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

zizee

9 months ago

As I write this comment, it is Oct 12, 3:30 pm Central time. So the launch window starts in 15 and a half hours.

https://mytime.io/7am/CT

justinclift

9 months ago

Hmmm, that mytime.io place doesn't seem super accurate.

It's using the wrong time zone for my location anyway, and therefore the gives the wrong local time.

zizee

9 months ago

How frustrating. Hopefully my comment above didn't lead anyone to miss any part of that historic event yesterday. Mea culpa!

notfried

9 months ago

This video explains how they plan to catch the booster with Mechazilla [1]. The team at SpaceX has some serious guts to be doing this!

[1] https://youtu.be/ub6HdADut50

slowmovintarget

9 months ago

The actual video now that it's succeeded is even cooler.

ilkkao

9 months ago

I like how SpaceX is willing to take risks. Their second launch tower is still months away from being finished, and now they're trying to catch the booster using the first one.

bpodgursky

9 months ago

If they blow up the first tower, it will be 3+++ months to get FAA flight clearance again, so no great loss.

dotnet00

9 months ago

FAA doesn't care if they blow up the tower, as long as SpaceX can explain why it happened and show that it didn't cause undue risk to the public.

People freaked out and said the same thing after IFT-1 dug up the concrete underneath the launch mount, and yet the investigation was closed within 6 months and SpaceX conducted IFT-2 2 months later.

chasd00

9 months ago

IFT-1 presented no danger to the public at all and it still took 6 months. That’s a long time to an actual technology company attempting to innovate. The FAA slow walks SpaceX because of Musk’s political views, it’s not even an “open secret” just a fact of life. Their only recourse is to shine a light on the FFA so the public can see the politics in display.

dmix

9 months ago

FAA is doing the testing, SpaceX is sitting around watching FAA

genidoi

9 months ago

This might be the first launch that tops the jaw-dropping excitement of the Falcon 9 LZ-1 landing way back in 2015. Godspeed starship and best of luck to all the SpaceX team.

grecy

9 months ago

… and the dual landings from the first Falcon Heavy flight. Even today that footage looks like cgi

lucianbr

9 months ago

The live view of a Starship fin being attacked by plasma during reentry was pretty close too.

vmasto

9 months ago

The dual landings for me were far superior. It was straight out of science fiction.

glitchcrab

9 months ago

I only got to see the tail end of the shuttle launches (too young) but I imagine watching the first launch/landing felt something like I experienced watching those two boosters land together.

genidoi

9 months ago

The FH synchronised side booster landing was visually epic and is timeless, but nothing quite tops the distinct feeling of actually seeing a the first stage of an orbital-class rocket return to Earth in a non-mangled up state. This video helps to relive the goosebumps: https://youtu.be/brE21SBO2j8?si=EZ8y5vcRTmG3eU75

allenrb

9 months ago

Short of the moon landings that I never got to experience, the dual landing (especially that first one!) is the coolest thing I’ve ever seen in space flight. Could watch again and again.

panick21_

9 months ago

The tower catch will be a highlight but technically just as important will be the second full reentry of the upper stage. Last time we had the amazing 'little flap that could' that was basically ripped apart put just valiantly continued to do its job. Musk said they had solutions for this in place, will be interesting to see how the hinge holds up. This could be a came changing flight test.

Because the rocket goes back to launch sites, lots of people will have really good cameras set up, lots of views. We will see this catch attempt with a lot of detail.

zizee

9 months ago

I don't think the ship being launched has all of the planned improvements to the fins/hinge. This launch is S30, with the big improvements coming with S33.

Newer versions of the ship have smaller flaps, hinging from points offcenter, so that they are protected by the body of the ship.

Images probably demonstrate this better than words.

Current: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?action=dlattach;...

New: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?action=dlattach;...

dotnet00

9 months ago

This one has a 'stronger' heat shield though, although they haven't clarified stronger in what sense. The tiles were stripped off and replaced shortly after IFT-4.

zizee

9 months ago

Good stuff. Fingers crossed this will help a bit.

electronbeam

9 months ago

1st stage reusability matters more so they can reach a cost model similar to F9, second stage is really just bonus.

If they never get the second stage working with reusability they could strip the design down to a simple S2

jjk166

9 months ago

If they struggle with first stage re-usability for a while, that merely adds cost. Further they probably want to iterate and scale anyways, so in the short term they're gonna be building a lot of first stages anyways.

Second stage reentry is necessary for this thing to ever carry people, ostensibly the mission the ship was designed for. It is a hard requirement.

cubefox

9 months ago

And a "SpaceX" fake stream (probably a crypto scam) has currently 260.000 viewers on YouTube:

https://youtube.com/watch?v=slu4rTF-Bz0

I reported it hours ago, but YouTube doesn't seem to be very good at preventing scams.

torginus

9 months ago

Omg, how is this the top result when searching for SpaceX on youtube?

Also the AI clone of Musk is eerily good, you can tell today (not just because the brazenly scammy script), but will you able to a year from now? Especially if the guys running the scams get a bit more subtle?

cubefox

9 months ago

After over 10 hours, the scam is still going. Something is really wrong at YouTube.

dotnet00

9 months ago

The viewer count isn't real people, it's mostly botted.

YuccaGloriosa

9 months ago

It's going to be one helluva show. Which ever way it goes. Best of luck to SpaceX

bun_terminator

9 months ago

I don't follow these things often: How is this different than the four before?

bewaretheirs

9 months ago

First attempt to catch the booster back at the launch site.

The "mechazilla" launch tower has two "chopstick" arms which are used to pick up and stack both stages and which are intended to be able to catch the returning booster and maybe also the returning Starship upper stage.

1659447091

9 months ago

> has two "chopstick" arms ... which are intended to be able to catch the returning booster

Do you mean this literally? As in something like Mr. Miyagi catching a fly with chopsticks in the orig Karate Kid?

bloopernova

9 months ago

What benefit does catching the booster provide? (Or, what's a good written guide to that system?)

sjm-lbm

9 months ago

This is the first time they are going to attempt to catch the booster using their launchpad.

Either you'll see one of the most impressive technical achievements in human history, or a very cool explosion.

Tuna-Fish

9 months ago

Their launch license requires them to initially aim at the water, and only shift to aiming at their tower if both the booster internally judges it's in perfect health, and they send the signal from their control system.

I think there is a reasonable possibility that something goes wrong enough at some point for the booster to go in the drink. But if that happens, maybe it'll be close enough to the shore that we'll get some nice video of it?

allenrb

9 months ago

Elon has pissed me off beyond all reason these last few years but when he says “excitement guaranteed”, it’s the truth.

ben_w

9 months ago

They're going to try to catch the first stage on part of its own launch tower.

pomian

9 months ago

There is a great app, called: next spaceflight. it seems to work great. Android and Apple. Simple settings, non invasive. (Thanks to cryptoz.) Of course there is a website, but for once I see a reason to have a notification setting, one hour or ten minutes before any launch.

9dev

9 months ago

Thank you, that is something I’ve been looking for for a long time!

ionwake

9 months ago

Fantastic app thank you

qwertox

9 months ago

This will be so exciting to watch, maybe as much as the first booster landing, or even more than it, if it succeeds.

What I wonder about is why they never tested catching boosters with the ones they've been using all along. They know these boosters inside out, so it would be a good platform to gain experience with.

xoa

9 months ago

>What I wonder about is why they never tested catching boosters with the ones they've been using all along. They know these boosters inside out, so it would be a good platform to gain experience with.

The Falcon 9 is incapable of hovering, because given the number of Merlins and their limited ability to throttle it cannot achieve a thrust/weight ratio (TWR) of 1 even on a single engine throttled to the lowest it can go. Rockets are almost entirely fuel by weight at launch, when empty they are very light. Since it has a TWR >1 when near-empty, lighting up an engine means F9 will want to go up again. So with F9 SpaceX must do a "hoverslam" to land, wherein the computer lights the engine at just the right point such that it hits relative velocity of zero right at the altitude of the landing pad (be it on ship or on land). That won't do for catching one however.

With Starship all of this was considered from the start. Raptor has better throttling capability (itself an amazing technical achievement), and of course on Super Heavy there are lots of them which is another advantage of the "many, smaller engines" approach. It means that they can effectively throttle it to just 1/33*min-throttle of max thrust. And SH is also just plain heavier construction, for good reason in an economics designed big rocket but also helpful here. Combined it is actually capable of hovering when near empty.

magicalhippo

9 months ago

Apparently they landed the SH booster within half a centimeter of the target position at the last attempt.

So I'd say they definitely have carried over some important lessons from Falcon 9.

The actual catching part might perhaps not have been very transferable, given how Falcon 9 can't roll using it's single engine unlike Starship booster, and the large difference in mass.

cubefox

9 months ago

It's more likely it was half a meter and he misspoke. Landing with half a centimeter accuracy seems highly improbable.

mavhc

9 months ago

how do they even measure a half centimetre accuracy?

magicalhippo

9 months ago

I assume they have access to the full GPS resolution. They had a ship in the vicinity AFAIK, so could use that to improve accuracy through data augmentation.

melodyogonna

9 months ago

They've been trying to launch and land the rocket at a precise point without explosion

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

stainablesteel

9 months ago

as for why they haven't done it yet i imagine its because you can easily over optimize for something out of order, they had bigger priorities with making the launch work in 100 other ways so until those hurdles were cleared even attempting to worry about catching wasn't worth their time and manpower yet

FL33TW00D

9 months ago

First attempt at catching the 230ft tall booster!

sbuttgereit

9 months ago

My official booster predictions for tomorrow:

  -  10% chance of an "FTS triggering event" on ascent.
  -  70% chance of an ocean landing, no catch attempted.
  -   5% chance of a successful catch (with leeway for after-catch problems). 
  -  15% chance of a catch attempt resulting in all the 
         windows on South Padre Island needing to be replaced.
Ship I think has much more chance of being substantially more successful than IFT4.

bberenberg

9 months ago

Watching us push forward in hard problems like this is important not only for the direct benefits, but the general belief in a better future it affords.

I appreciate anything that helps reignite wonder and hope in all of us, and a rocket launch and recapture is just more visceral (not better) than others.

Good luck to the team, I’ll be watching with bated breath.

larkinrichards

9 months ago

Based on the Oct 12 change log, "changed flight 4 to "starship super heavy" -- this reads that they can perform multiple flights with the same mission profile. So they can do a few quick test catches and avoid relicensing?

slwvx

9 months ago

The previous license also allowed multiple launches, so this license allowing multiple launches would be consistent.

madaxe_again

9 months ago

As I understand it, only if the test article is identical. Any modification, new permit required.

blackeyeblitzar

9 months ago

I love that SpaceX has these amazing broadcasts that connect us to what’s happening. I’m surprised that the older rocket companies have no video or low res pixelated video.

mncharity

9 months ago

And looking ahead, Deep Blue Aerospace does aerobatic chase drones.[1] Perhaps if someone in that space offered their services to SpaceX?

For Starship on orbit... photo/inspection cubesats are hard, but perhaps an externally-mounted 360 wifi camera ejector pack?

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H-g26Zt15lo

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

tjpnz

9 months ago

So many crypto scams masquerading as official SpaceX streams on YouTube right now. This has been going on for years.

cubefox

9 months ago

YouTube is so slow to react that the scam is long done before they do anything.

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

nukesinspace

9 months ago

[flagged]

Sysreq2

9 months ago

SpaceX and by extension Starship are critical for the entire western space industry. Last year SpaceX was responsible for something like 90% of the stuff sent up. Then China and then Russia. There is simply no one else in even in the market right now. SpaceX has lowered costs by an order of magnitude already and hopes Starship will drop it by another.

If you don’t like Elon Musk that’s fine. But his companies get stuff done. Blue Origin has been around longer, has gotten more from the government (Yeah, really) and been getting a billion a year from Bezos with nothing to show for it. It’s insane how much SpaceX has done while everyone else has been doing nothing.

cryptoz

9 months ago

I agree with all of that but it’s not like BO has nothing to show for it. They are likely to reach orbit soon with a new serious rocket. And I say this as a BO hater.

bigiain

9 months ago

> SpaceX and by extension Starship are critical for the entire western space industry.

That is both true, and monumentally depressing.

>If you don’t like Elon Musk that’s fine. But his companies get stuff done.

For extremely broad values of "stuff" <glances over it the dumpster fire Twitter has been reduced to, and the CyberTaxi launch, and and and>

Yeah, SpaceX has been mostly hitting it out of the park. Tesla kinda was for a while 5 or 10 years back, but way less so these days. I can't think of another example of an Elon company "getting stuff done" in a positive way. I'm more inclined to think SpaceX succeeds due to the huge amount of luck a billionaire benefactor can bring to a hard problem, and succeeds in spite of rather than because of any other influence from Elon.

concordDance

9 months ago

> I'm more inclined to think SpaceX succeeds due to the huge amount of luck a billionaire benefactor can bring to a hard problem, and succeeds in spite of rather than because of any other influence from Elon.

In my view its more because Musk's approach of first principles thinking works much better (compared to alternatives) in a highly conservative industry making complex physical things.

Twitter is a large part him failing to realize it is an ad company and thus he needs to make advertisers happy to spend money there, which means very active brand management and PR. He has had probably the most negative PR in history, in terms of volume of negative articles. That is an absolutely awful position from which to try and run an ad displaying business.

georgeg23

9 months ago

[flagged]

pests

9 months ago

Why is the project bad? Besides being a heritage foundation project?

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

user

9 months ago

[deleted]

EcommerceFlow

9 months ago

Note that this launch has been ready to go for weeks and the FAA were stalling SpaceX. Elon joked that it's easier to build self landing rockets than push papers through the FAA. I really hope if Trump wins he guts that regulatory body.

Renaud

9 months ago

To quote user rvnx:

> SpaceX provided information about the flight profile and its impact only in mid-August to FAA. [...]

> According to 50 CFR § 402.13, the other agencies have 60 days to give back their answers to the FAA.

> 15 August + 60 days = now.

You don't send a rocket without some sort of due diligence in terms of impact. Nobody likes bureaucracy, but I don't see how we're going to make the world a better place for everyone by letting billionaires basically do whatever they want with their toys without checks.

bpodgursky

9 months ago

> t I don't see how we're going to make the world a better place for everyone by letting billionaires basically do whatever they want with their toys without checks

There is legal recourse to get people to pay for real damages — civil penalties. This is used all the time. Perhaps too often, but that's a different conversation.

SpaceX would be perfectly happy to pay penalties proportionate to the real damage the FWS is worrying about — literally, the rocket landing on a whale, which has approximately a 0% probability. But they aren't allowed to take that (nonexistent) risk and then pay for anything that went wrong.

sumedh

9 months ago

> There is legal recourse to get people to pay for real damages — civil penalties.

Musk has the money to take any case to the Supreme Court, the court is controlled by Trump who is friends with Elon now. Any case against Elon will probably get thrown out or ruled in Elon's favour.

ETH_start

9 months ago

It's important to consider the broader implications of prolonged delays. They delay the potential benefits that these advancements could bring to society, for example in improved global communications, access to more natural resources in extraterrestrial sites, and the acquisition of more scientific knowledge through massively greater space exploration.

The cumulative effect of these delays will undoubtedlu outweigh the incremental safety benefits they provide. Each 30 days delayed sets back progress that will help address global challenges or catalyze economic growth through new industries and technologies.

And really, there is almost no downside to weigh faster approvals against. The checks you mention are already there, in the form of the deterrent effect of the threat of fines and lawsuits if they screw up. The checks should not come from centralized gatekeepers holding up progress by massively slowing the rate of iteration/experimentation.

Billionaires played a major part in the expansion of railroads, factories and the telegraph network in the 19th century. They played a major role in the expansion of private automobiles, the passenger plane fleet, and telecommunication networks, and the explosion of everyday consumer products, in the 20th century.

It is absolutely no surprise that they're now playing a leading role in pushing rocket technology forward, and the fact that they are shouldn't be used an excuse for obviously excessive restrictions on this enormously promising technology.

concordDance

9 months ago

60 days per change is really pretty slow when you want to iterate quickly. It's probably worthwhile to figure out if we can speed that up. Perhaps by letting SpaceX pay a expedite fee (say, 2x the salary costs of the beurocracy employees who would look at it) to get it looked at faster?

FredPret

9 months ago

That incentivizes the FAA to hire an army of pencil pushers and take even longer to approve things

chasd00

9 months ago

It’s not like there’s a line around the corner for launch licenses. The fee should be $0 and it should take two weeks tops. Taxes fund the FAA not application fees.

sbuttgereit

9 months ago

Sure, but its just not "billionaires" that need to be checked. Sometimes the checkers need some checking as well...

"California officials cite Elon Musk’s politics in rejecting SpaceX launches" (https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/10/california-reject-m...)

Whether you like Elon Musk or his politics... or not I hope you can see that these actions demonstrate the danger of an overly powerful regulatory body. California Costal Commission members acting in their regulatory capacity while citing Musk's politics is out of line, abusive of their power, and not consistent with guarantees of freedom of expression or the democratic process. You don't win against MAGA or Trump by becoming them... and if you try to beat Trump at his own game... you aren't any damn better.

philipwhiuk

9 months ago

1. It's not clear the California Costal Commission actually have veto over federal land. Federal land ultimately is not within the power of the state to regulate. So they might be powerless.

2. The federal land is aimed at launches for national defense. It's not clear how commercial Starlink missions to mostly server commercial interests fits into this mandate

3. They actually okay'd 36 just not the full 50 - still an increase.

4. There's a fit a proper test to run a company - at some point Musk is gonna get called on this at the current rate.

kiba

9 months ago

Based on this comment alone, Elon Musk's politics should have nothing to do with their rejection of SpaceX launches.

kortilla

9 months ago

60 days is already sheer stupidity but the FAA was also quoting November before, well past the 60 day time.

It should be a short 5 business day window where other agencies can quickly check to see if they might care and file to expand to 60 if they think it needs a review. Default hold open of 60 days just in case is purely anti progress reactionary conservatism.

jodleif

9 months ago

Can anyone explain what the point of starship is? It won’t be human rated - are they just keeping launching them for keeping the funding rounds going?

zizee

9 months ago

Falcon 9 (spacex's other rocket) wasn't human rated at first either.

The point of starship is to reduce the cost of kg to orbit, by being a fully, and rapidly reusable launch system.

The other long term and loftier) goal is to enable Mars colonization, a mission who's current main blocker is cost of kg to orbit.

By reducing the cost of putting things to orbit, you can do a whole lot more. Starlink is a good example, but if starship works it will be a paradigm shift that will result in a whole new space economy.

jodleif

9 months ago

But falcon 9 is using a time tested approach and has safety systems. The starship has no backup if for some reason the engines fail to start…?

(For the passenger angle)

I don’t think the limiter to mars is cost to orbit: - Having a vessel where people can live for a couple of years - finding someone willing to take the (most likely) one-way ticket to mars - all the challenges of having a mars habitat. Radiation, dust, etc

Reducing the cost: sure, starship has only been launched with no payload so far so the numbers are yet to be determined… and it’s only impressive (theoretical) numbers are to LEO.

zizee

9 months ago

The cost to orbit is the current limiter for a mars mission because no one will invest in solving all the other challenges until cost to orbit is solved. It's also a lot easier to solve the problems you raised when cost to orbit is lowered.

Early variants of starship will not be human rated. That will only happen once Starship has a proven track record. The is also no reason a human rated starship variant could not be built using the same safety systems seen with the dragon capsule.

It sounds like you are having trouble seeing merit in starship. Falcon 9, whilst great, is not going to the end of launch system development. SpaceX believes Starship will bring significant improvements/benefits. This process is no different to how Automobiles and aircraft have seen improvements to their capabilities over the years.

chasd00

9 months ago

Starship is still under development, these launches are just testing. It’s not a finished product at all.

2OEH8eoCRo0

9 months ago

Will it finally make it to orbit?

Will there be any simulated load or is it empty again?

kortilla

9 months ago

The previous one could have made it to orbit as well. They are intentionally not going there to derisk failed re-entry ignition since the focus of these tests is entirely behavior in atmosphere.

amichail

9 months ago

Do you think more than a billion people will watch the catch attempt, either live or later, in this Starship flight test?

whyenot

9 months ago

No, I don’t think one in every eight people on earth is going to see the catch attempt or even care about it. The launch and catch attempt is exciting but I don’t think it’s something that most of the planet is following. Even in the US, I doubt many people will watch it. It’s not the next moon landing.

7thpower

9 months ago

If we’re talking about the near future? No, most people do not care.

If it’s successful it will likely be in the history books, so maybe billions of martians will one day watch.

edm0nd

9 months ago

Over how long of a time span are we giving this? I don't think so.

https://www.youtube.com/@SpaceX/streams = most popular live stream has 33M views

https://www.youtube.com/@SpaceX/videos = most popular video has 29M views

I'm pretty sure this also includes embedded views from news articles that embed the videos.

So to answer the question: In the short term, unlikely it seems. Over the span of hundreds of years? Likely so.

bloopernova

9 months ago

Honestly I don't even see a future Moon landing garnering that many people.

Maybe a Mars landing would, but non-techie people just don't seem very interested in space.

stainablesteel

9 months ago

probably not live, i imagine that many people will hear news about it though

ETH_start

9 months ago

Repeating a previous comment on the FAA:

--

We need an administration that will greenlight Starship flights immediately, so that the pace of its development can increase. The FAA is currently far too conservative in approving launches, by overindexing on the local risks posed by launches relative to the global risks of delaying space expansion.

--

I'll also add that the US could potentially massively benefit if regulatory agencies like the FAA switched from pre-market approval to post-market surveillance. This article explains the difference and singles out the FAA and how we could have had actual "flying cars" by now had its regulatory approach been like the Department of Transportation's (DOT):

https://open.substack.com/pub/maximumprogress/p/how-the-faa-...

mandeepj

9 months ago

Worth a read https://www.npr.org/2024/10/10/nx-s1-5145776/spacex-texas-we...

Title: SpaceX wants to go to Mars. To get there, environmentalists say it’s trashing Texas

concordDance

9 months ago

Doesn't seem like a very good article... a good journalist puts statements in the appropriate context and that seems to be lacking here.

For instance, it mentions "high levels of potentially toxic chemicals like Zinc and hexavalent Chromium", but doesn't say what that means. What is "high"?

E.g. the quoted Prof says he "wouldn't recommend drinking it", but would he recommend drinking regular rainwater discharge from this (industrial) area (or even regular city rainwater?) and would he say its worse than that? How many grams/tons of these materials are in the discharge? What is the likely concentration by the time it gets to any animals, how much would actually get inside them and how does that compare with the known levels that would be damaging to health? How does it compare with the concentrations from rain runoff?

A good journalist should find an appropriate expert and ask these sorts of questions so they can include them in the article and give the reader context, otherwise the reader will often come away feeling informed when in fact they know nothing of substance because there is nothing to anchor these unquantified facts to.

threeseed

9 months ago

You seem to have a poor grasp for what makes a good journalist.

The whole point of the story would get lost if at every step the author is embedding irrelevant minutiae e.g. how many parts per million of Zinc versus the baseline, what constitutes normal etc. Information that an ordinary reader would not be able to make use of.

You need to make the story engaging, interesting and succinct whilst being factual.

teddyh

9 months ago

> You need to make the story engaging, interesting and succinct

Yes, that is the job of a journalist. I.e. it’s why they get paid.

> whilst being factual.

IIUC, there is no such requirement. Approximately nobody cares if what is written is strictly true or not. There are no negative consequences if something untrue is written. (Except for libel and other special cases.)

IshKebab

9 months ago

I read it. Wasn't worth a read.

This was a particularly funny quote:

> Musk “seems to care a lot more about 100,000 years from now than now here on Earth.”

I mean.. I think Musk is an arsehole and his plan to colonise Mars is insane, but this does not feel like a criticism! This environmentalist seems to care a lot more about short term issues than the long term viability of life on Earth.

> “At least one egg in every nest was either damaged or not there,” LeClaire says.

Ok let's assume that they are keeping count of the number of eggs in every nest... One egg? If these birds are going to die out because one egg in each nest breaks they aren't going to survive anyway.

I'm not saying the environment is unimportant, but I think you have to weight it against the importance of the thing you're stopping in the name of the environment.

It's like all the solar farm projects that get stopped in the UK because people think sticking some poles in a field is going to kill all the newts. Like, what do you think is going to happen to the newts when it's 40C in the summer?

concordDance

9 months ago

> “At least one egg in every nest was either damaged or not there,” LeClaire says.

I think this is another good example of the lack of context I complain about above. These are the closest nests, how far away is the average nest and what's the damage there? What is the normal rate of egg damage or disappearance? How many eggs do these birds lay?

whyenot

9 months ago

I hope it is more successful than their previous launch. I also hope that it does less damage to the wildlife sanctuary near the launch pad than the previous attempt. They are going to spray huge amounts of water to try and avoid destroying the launch pad. There is some concern that the water may become contaminated with harmful combustion products from the launch and flow into protected areas nearby. They will be doing some testing after the launch to better understand how big a problem this might be.

bewaretheirs

9 months ago

The water deluge system has been in operation for all launches save the first and has been functioning well, protecting the pad from damage. It uses drinking-quality water and outflow has been sampled after each launch, with negligible traces of contaminants detected.

There was a disagreement between the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality and the US EPA about the specific type of permit that SpaceX needed from TCEQ for the deluge system but that was a paperwork/documentation issue only.

see:

https://www.spacex.com/updates/#starships-fly

mlindner

9 months ago

The previous launch was completely successful.

No damage was significant done to the wildlife near the launch pad in any previous launch, at least no more than is done to the wildlife during any launch that happens anywhere in the world.

They only destroyed the pad on the very first launch. The pad has taken no notable damage during any of the subsequent three launches between that one and this one (this is the 5th launch).

The combustion products of Methane and Oxygen are Water and Carbon Dioxide so there is nothing to damage the nearby areas.

georgeburdell

9 months ago

The byproducts of this rocket’s combustion are CO2 and H2O

ritcgab

9 months ago

> harmful combustion products

Care to share what are they?