bunderbunder
a year ago
Housing decisions seem to be this weird place where people have a really hard time disentangling their thinking about various things. As someone who's rented most their life, I'm constantly reminded by others that the money I give to my landlord will never come back. But these same people tend to be a little surprised when I point out to them that the money spent on home loan interest, property taxes, the cost of maintenance and upkeep, etc., is also something you'll never get back. Or that a house you live in has some peculiarly unfortunate characteristics when viewed as an investment: extreme illiquidity, not being able to sell only a part of it, generally not being able to sell it without simultaneously buying (or renting) another asset in the same class so that you can keep a roof over your head, how property taxes function kind of like an expense ratio that would be considered highway robbery for any other investment class, etc.
But if you point all that out, people also go all weird and assume this must mean that you're trying to argue that owning a home must be categorically a bad idea. Possibly because we're so caught up in thinking of one's own domicile as an investment that we've lost the ability to think about it as just being another useful thing one might own. I've worked out the math and confirmed that, for the amount I drive, renting a car when I need one is much less expensive than owning one. But I own one, anyway, because I value the convenience, and that doesn't seem to be a difficult concept for anyone to grasp. Similarly, I currently own a home and it's much more expensive than my previous living arrangement, but it's worth it to me because I get to choose the appliances, decide whether or not I get to have decent insulation, etc. And that's valid, too. I just don't harbor any illusions that I'm saving any money by paying for these luxuries.
Sohcahtoa82
a year ago
> But these same people tend to be a little surprised when I point out to them that the money spent on home loan interest, property taxes, the cost of maintenance and upkeep, etc., is also something you'll never get back.
Right...but all those things you mentioned are less than rent, and at the end of the mortgage, my continued monthly costs are significantly less than what rent would be.
When I put $15K down and borrowed $323K at 4% for 30 years. Over the course of 30 years, including interest and the down payment, I'll pay about $570K.
At the time I bought, the rental value was estimated to be $1,800/month. Over 30 years, that's $648K.
Property tax is about 1.5%, so that'll add about $152K to what I pay, bringing my total to $730K.
But rents go up. I've been in my house 9 years and rental value is currently $2,700/mo. If we say you pay $1,800 for 10 years, $2,700 for another 10 years, then likely $3,600 for the final 10 years, then over 30 years, you'll pay a whopping $932K in rent.
Home value goes up, too, which does mean my property tax goes up, though I live in Oregon where the assessed value of my house for property tax purposes cannot rise more than 3% per year. So no matter how much my actual value goes up, after 30 years, my house can only be taxed on a value of $820K, which at a 1.5% tax rate, is $1,230/month.
So after 30 years, my mortgage is paid off, I'm only paying property tax of $1,230/mo, while you're continuing to rent at likely $3,600+. The early savings you had is now being absolutely devoured. Meanwhile, I'm holding an asset worth at least $820K. It's illiquid, I'll give you that, but if I found myself needing an influx of cash, I can use it as collateral. Or I can sell it and downsize.
I'm open to being proven wrong, but in the long term, I think it's abundantly clear that renting will cost more.
panarky
a year ago
Thank you for using numbers in your argument. Too often all the rent-vs-buy discussion is little more than magical aphorisms about "flushing rent money down the toilet" and "at least I'm building equity" and "buying always works better in the long run".
The point is that relative prices change over time. There is no one answer that is always correct. Sometimes relative prices renting is clearly cheaper, even long-term. Sometimes relative prices mean buying is clearly cheaper, even short-term.
Housing prices don't necessarily increase every year forever. Rents don't necessarily increase every year forever. Interest rates rise and fall. Economic booms and busts are unpredictable and can outlast your personal planning horizon.
Sohcahtoa82
a year ago
> Housing prices don't necessarily increase every year forever. Rents don't necessarily increase every year forever.
There will be dips here and there, but I think the general trend will always be up because inflation will always be a thing.
> your personal planning horizon.
That's really the only thing that matters. And I also think it's why rent vs buy arguments are people talking past each other. The "rent" people are likely assuming a sub-10 year horizon, possibly even sub-5 year, whereas the "buy" people are assuming 15+ years.
Fire-Dragon-DoL
a year ago
Oh ok, you started and made me think it wasn't acknowledging the benefits of owning, like: I want to drill in the damn walls (this is a stupid rule that was disallowed in every rent contract)
drewcoo
a year ago
Don't forget the sudden/emergency expenses of ownership, too. This year I had to re-roof a garage, fix a leaking upstairs shower and the damage that cost, and buy a washer and dryer.